Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ZETA-20
in United States, Mexico, Cuba
24 Oct 2020 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ZETA-20 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Cuba
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (24 Oct 23:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 83 km/h 0.3 m 353 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 173 km/h 2.3 m 720 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

173 km/h

Up to 5 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormCuba5,435 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Oct 2020 18:00 176 -
- - - - - Cuba
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmCuba20 
100-250 mmCuba, Cayman Islands191,884
+
Cuba161,170 
Cayman Islands30,714 
50-100 mmCuba, Mexico, Cayman Islands611,767
+
Cuba435,420 
Mexico152,147 
Cayman Islands24,200 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Oct 2020 18:00 833 190 thousand
- - - Cuba, Mexico, Cayman Islands




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in El Cuyo, Mexico. This height is estimated for 24 Oct 2020 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Oct 2020 23:00 El Cuyo Mexico  0.3
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Chipepte Mexico  0.3
24 Oct 2020 22:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:30 Rio Lagartos Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Rio Platano Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Huarta Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:30 Chabihau Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:30 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Cerrito Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Majana Cuba  0.2
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Guanimar Cuba  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Corozo Guatemala  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Baranca Belize  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:00 San Juan Guatemala  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Cocoli Guatemala  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Livingston Guatemala  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Cozumel Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Punta Molas del Norte Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:15 Chisahcab Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Cambalache Guatemala  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Corozo Guatemala  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:30 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Machacal Guatemala  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:30 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.2
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Guasimal Cuba  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:45 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Paso Real Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:00 Noham Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:45 El Cajio Cuba  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:45 Sabancuy Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla Guatemala  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Piedra Parada Guatemala  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Progreso Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Pixoy Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Champoton Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:45 San Juan Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:45 Tela Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:45 Colorado Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Limera Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Balfate Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:00 Chelem Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2020 23:15 Claura Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:15 Patlaya Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:15 Uhi Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Aguas Claras Cuba  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Almacen Cuba  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:30 Santa Rosa Aguan Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:30 Limon Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:45 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:00 New Haven Belize  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:30 Cuero Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:30 Boca del Toro Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:30 El Porvenir Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:30 La Ceiba Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Surgidero de Batabano Cuba  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Batabano Cuba  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Victoria Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Balchacah Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:30 Bella Vista Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Barnegat United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 South Toms River United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Pebble Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Waretown United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Toms River United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Pine Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Pineward United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Forked River United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Brookside Heights United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Bayville United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Oak Glen United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Cedar Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Island Heights United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Sunrise Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Ocean Gate United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Beachwood United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Harvey Cedars United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Barnegat Bay Estates United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Bay Shore United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Barnegat Light United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Island Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Seaside Park United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Seaside Heights United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Lavallette United States  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Kaski Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Dapat Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:15 Miranda Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:15 Betulia Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:15 Santa Fe Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:15 Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:15 Pital Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:15 Empalme Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:15 Trujillo Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Beach Haven West United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Ship Bottom United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Surf City United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Long Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:45 Sisal Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 20:30 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 20:30 San Pedro Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Aubry Haiti  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Port-au-Prince Haiti  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Raya Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Clubki Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Irlaya Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:30 Monkey River Belize  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Chacmuchuch Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Cancun Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Puerto Juarez Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:45 Arrozal Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:45 Maya Beach Belize  0.1
24 Oct 2020 20:45 Majahual Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Bellevue Haiti  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:30 Belize City Belize  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:30 Farallones Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 El Naranjo Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Boca Vieja Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Piedra Pintada Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Agua Dulce Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Quebrada Grande Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Canco Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Kanko Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Alabama Wharf Belize  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Mocobila Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:15 Buenaventura Cuba  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:15 El Jiqui Cuba  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:15 Playa Giron Cuba  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Donel Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Bruner Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Tasbarraya Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Barranco Blanco Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Barra de Chapagua Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 La Gloria Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 El Horno Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Riohacha Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Pirpir Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Juskare Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Mayapo Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Arbol del Descanso Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Urachikarein Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:00 Freetown Area Belize  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Tulum Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Chacalal Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Arcahaie Haiti  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Commerce Bight Village Belize  0.1
24 Oct 2020 20:15 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 20:15 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:15 Tuckerton United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:15 West Creek United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:15 Holgate United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:15 Beach Haven United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:15 Spray Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:15 North Beach Haven United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:15 Brant Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:45 Baltimore Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Chichibacoa Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Guaguri Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Punta Espada Colombia  0.1