Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FELICIA-21
Off-shore
17 Jul 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FELICIA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 216 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (17 Jul 03:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 216 km/h 0.2 m 311 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 241 km/h 0.5 m 502 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Jul 2021 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2021 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Jul 2021 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 15 Jul 2021 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 15 Jul 2021 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Jul 2021 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 16 Jul 2021 06:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 16 Jul 2021 12:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 16 Jul 2021 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 17 Jul 2021 00:00 216 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

502 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Jul 2021 06:00 327 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2021 12:00 153 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2021 18:00 198 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 325 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Jul 2021 06:00 249 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Jul 2021 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 15 Jul 2021 18:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Jul 2021 00:00 248 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 16 Jul 2021 06:00 336 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 16 Jul 2021 12:00 260 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 16 Jul 2021 18:00 259 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 17 Jul 2021 00:00 369 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Olowalu, United States. This height is estimated for 17 Jul 2021 03:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Jul 2021 03:30 Olowalu United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 03:30 Kahakuloa United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 03:30 Waihee United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 03:30 Hyashi Village United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 03:30 Wailuku United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 03:30 Kahului United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 03:30 Puunene United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 03:30 Village Eight United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 03:30 Hawaiian Village United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 03:30 Paia United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 03:30 Haiku United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 03:30 Pauwela United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 05:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 05:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 05:45 Cunano Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 05:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 02:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 03:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 03:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 03:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 02:30 Marmol Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 02:30 Florida Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 02:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 02:45 Dimas Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 03:45 Laupahoehoe United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:45 Papaaloa United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:45 Weloka United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:45 Ninole United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:45 Hakalau United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:45 Honomu United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:45 Pepeekeo United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:45 Wainaku United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:45 Papaikou United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:45 Paukaa United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:45 Hilo United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 02:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:30 Ulumalu United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 04:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:15 Maalaea United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:15 Kihei United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:15 Pukoo United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:15 Waialua United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:15 Halawa United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:15 Kaanapali United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:15 Puukolii United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:15 Crater Village United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:15 Honokahua United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:15 Mahinahina Camp United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:15 Kapalua United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:00 Lahaina United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 03:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1