Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FELICIA-21
Off-shore
17 Jul 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FELICIA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 223 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (18 Jul 03:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 223 km/h 0.4 m 172 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 241 km/h 0.5 m 502 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Jul 2021 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2021 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Jul 2021 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 15 Jul 2021 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 15 Jul 2021 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Jul 2021 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 16 Jul 2021 06:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 16 Jul 2021 12:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 16 Jul 2021 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 17 Jul 2021 00:00 216 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 17 Jul 2021 06:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 17 Jul 2021 12:00 241 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 17 Jul 2021 18:00 223 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

502 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Jul 2021 06:00 327 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2021 12:00 153 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2021 18:00 198 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 325 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Jul 2021 06:00 249 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Jul 2021 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 15 Jul 2021 18:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Jul 2021 00:00 248 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 16 Jul 2021 06:00 336 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 16 Jul 2021 12:00 260 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 16 Jul 2021 18:00 259 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 17 Jul 2021 00:00 311 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 17 Jul 2021 06:00 182 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 17 Jul 2021 12:00 219 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 17 Jul 2021 18:00 307 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Olowalu, United States. This height is estimated for 18 Jul 2021 03:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 Jul 2021 03:15 Olowalu United States  0.4
18 Jul 2021 03:15 Kahakuloa United States  0.4
18 Jul 2021 03:15 Waihee United States  0.4
18 Jul 2021 03:15 Hyashi Village United States  0.4
18 Jul 2021 03:15 Wailuku United States  0.4
18 Jul 2021 03:15 Kahului United States  0.4
18 Jul 2021 03:15 Puunene United States  0.4
18 Jul 2021 03:15 Village Eight United States  0.4
18 Jul 2021 03:15 Hawaiian Village United States  0.4
18 Jul 2021 03:15 Paia United States  0.4
18 Jul 2021 03:15 Haiku United States  0.4
18 Jul 2021 03:15 Pauwela United States  0.4
19 Jul 2021 17:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.3
19 Jul 2021 17:45 Dimas Mexico  0.3
18 Jul 2021 01:15 Marmol Mexico  0.3
18 Jul 2021 01:15 Florida Mexico  0.3
19 Jul 2021 04:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.3
19 Jul 2021 18:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.3
19 Jul 2021 18:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.3
19 Jul 2021 18:00 Cunano Mexico  0.3
19 Jul 2021 04:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 06:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 08:15 Maalaea United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 08:15 Kihei United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 08:15 Keawakapu United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 08:15 Makena United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 08:15 Keoneoio United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 08:15 Ulupalakua United States  0.2
19 Jul 2021 03:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 03:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 03:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 03:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 14:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 14:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 07:00 Ulumalu United States  0.2
19 Jul 2021 21:30 Kailua United States  0.2
19 Jul 2021 21:30 Wailua United States  0.2
19 Jul 2021 04:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 05:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 05:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 03:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 03:00 Laupahoehoe United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 03:00 Papaaloa United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 03:00 Weloka United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 03:00 Ninole United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 03:00 Hakalau United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 03:00 Honomu United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 03:00 Pepeekeo United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 03:00 Wainaku United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 03:00 Papaikou United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 03:00 Paukaa United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 03:00 Hilo United States  0.2
19 Jul 2021 21:15 Waialua United States  0.2
19 Jul 2021 21:15 Halawa United States  0.2
19 Jul 2021 21:15 Kaanapali United States  0.2
19 Jul 2021 21:15 Puukolii United States  0.2
19 Jul 2021 21:15 Crater Village United States  0.2
19 Jul 2021 21:15 Honokahua United States  0.2
19 Jul 2021 21:15 Mahinahina Camp United States  0.2
19 Jul 2021 21:15 Kapalua United States  0.2
19 Jul 2021 18:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 18:15 El Pescadero Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 21:45 Makapala United States  0.2
19 Jul 2021 21:45 Niulii United States  0.2
19 Jul 2021 21:45 Waipio United States  0.2
19 Jul 2021 21:45 Kukuihaele United States  0.2
19 Jul 2021 21:45 Honokaa United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 07:45 Paauilo United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 03:30 Lahaina United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 22:00 Pukoo United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 03:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
18 Jul 2021 08:30 Hawaiian Paradise Park United States  0.1
18 Jul 2021 08:30 Makuu United States  0.1
18 Jul 2021 08:30 Hawaiian Beaches United States  0.1
18 Jul 2021 08:30 Opihikao United States  0.1
18 Jul 2021 08:30 Pohoiki United States  0.1
18 Jul 2021 08:30 Koae United States  0.1
20 Jul 2021 11:15 Ookala United States  0.1
18 Jul 2021 00:30 El Tule Mexico  0.1
18 Jul 2021 20:30 Mahaiula United States  0.1
18 Jul 2021 20:30 Kaupulehu United States  0.1
18 Jul 2021 20:30 Kiholo United States  0.1
18 Jul 2021 20:30 Weliweli United States  0.1
18 Jul 2021 20:30 Anaehoomalu United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 18:15 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
19 Jul 2021 18:15 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 18:30 Nahiku United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 18:30 Kaeleku United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 18:30 Hana United States  0.1
20 Jul 2021 01:30 Kukaiau United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 10:15 Puako United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 10:15 Waikoloa Village United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 10:15 Kawaihae United States  0.1
18 Jul 2021 14:45 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
20 Jul 2021 12:00 Hawi United States  0.1
20 Jul 2021 12:00 Kapaau United States  0.1
20 Jul 2021 12:00 Halaula United States  0.1
18 Jul 2021 20:45 Mahukona United States  0.1
20 Jul 2021 11:00 Kipahulu United States  0.1
20 Jul 2021 11:00 Muolea United States  0.1
20 Jul 2021 11:00 Haou United States  0.1
20 Jul 2021 11:00 Puuiki United States  0.1