Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FELICIA-21
Off-shore
21 Jul 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FELICIA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 47 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (21 Jul 08:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 47 km/h 0.3 m 133 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 0.3 m 562 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

176 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Jul 2021 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Jul 2021 06:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2021 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Jul 2021 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 15 Jul 2021 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 15 Jul 2021 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Jul 2021 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 16 Jul 2021 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 16 Jul 2021 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 16 Jul 2021 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 17 Jul 2021 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 17 Jul 2021 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 17 Jul 2021 12:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 17 Jul 2021 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 18 Jul 2021 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 18 Jul 2021 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 18 Jul 2021 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 18 Jul 2021 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 19 Jul 2021 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 19 Jul 2021 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 19 Jul 2021 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 19 Jul 2021 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 20 Jul 2021 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 20 Jul 2021 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 20 Jul 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 20 Jul 2021 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 21 Jul 2021 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 21 Jul 2021 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 21 Jul 2021 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Jul 2021 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2021 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2021 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Jul 2021 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Jul 2021 12:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 15 Jul 2021 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Jul 2021 00:00 134 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 16 Jul 2021 06:00 165 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 16 Jul 2021 12:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 16 Jul 2021 18:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 17 Jul 2021 00:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 17 Jul 2021 06:00 156 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 17 Jul 2021 12:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 17 Jul 2021 18:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 18 Jul 2021 00:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 18 Jul 2021 06:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 18 Jul 2021 12:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 18 Jul 2021 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 19 Jul 2021 00:00 105 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 19 Jul 2021 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 19 Jul 2021 12:00 88 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 19 Jul 2021 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 20 Jul 2021 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 20 Jul 2021 06:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 20 Jul 2021 12:00 179 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 20 Jul 2021 18:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 21 Jul 2021 00:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 21 Jul 2021 06:00 249 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Ensenada de los Muertos, Mexico. This height is estimated for 21 Jul 2021 08:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Jul 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 Jul 2021 08:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.3
21 Jul 2021 08:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 08:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 08:15 Marmol Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 08:15 Florida Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 08:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 08:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 08:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 08:00 Dimas Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 08:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 07:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 07:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 07:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 07:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 08:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 08:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 07:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 08:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 08:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 08:45 Cunano Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 10:15 Maalaea United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:15 Kihei United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:15 Keawakapu United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:15 Makena United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:15 Keoneoio United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:15 Ulupalakua United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 08:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
21 Jul 2021 08:15 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:30 Kaanapali United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:30 Puukolii United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:30 Lahaina United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:30 Crater Village United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:30 Olowalu United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:30 Waihee United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:30 Hyashi Village United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:30 Wailuku United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:30 Kahului United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:30 Puunene United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:15 Pukoo United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:15 Waialua United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:15 Honokahua United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:15 Mahinahina Camp United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:15 Kapalua United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 06:15 Kahakuloa United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 07:45 El Tule Mexico  0.1
21 Jul 2021 07:45 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
21 Jul 2021 07:30 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:45 Village Eight United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:45 Hawaiian Village United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:45 Paia United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:45 Haiku United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:45 Pauwela United States  0.1
21 Jul 2021 10:45 Ulumalu United States  0.1