Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FELICIA-21
Off-shore
21 Jul 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FELICIA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (22 Jul 01:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 176 km/h 0.3 m 562 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 0.3 m 562 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Jul 2021 06:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2021 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Jul 2021 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 15 Jul 2021 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 15 Jul 2021 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Jul 2021 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 16 Jul 2021 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 16 Jul 2021 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 16 Jul 2021 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 17 Jul 2021 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 17 Jul 2021 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 17 Jul 2021 12:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 17 Jul 2021 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 18 Jul 2021 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 18 Jul 2021 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 18 Jul 2021 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 18 Jul 2021 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 19 Jul 2021 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 19 Jul 2021 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 19 Jul 2021 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 19 Jul 2021 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 20 Jul 2021 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 20 Jul 2021 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 20 Jul 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 20 Jul 2021 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 21 Jul 2021 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 21 Jul 2021 06:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 21 Jul 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 21 Jul 2021 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

562 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico, United States11,179
+
Mexico7,923 
United States3,255 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Jul 2021 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2021 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2021 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Jul 2021 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Jul 2021 12:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 15 Jul 2021 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Jul 2021 00:00 134 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 16 Jul 2021 06:00 165 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 16 Jul 2021 12:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 16 Jul 2021 18:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 17 Jul 2021 00:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 17 Jul 2021 06:00 156 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 17 Jul 2021 12:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 17 Jul 2021 18:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 18 Jul 2021 00:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 18 Jul 2021 06:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 18 Jul 2021 12:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 18 Jul 2021 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 19 Jul 2021 00:00 105 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 19 Jul 2021 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 19 Jul 2021 12:00 88 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 19 Jul 2021 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 20 Jul 2021 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 20 Jul 2021 06:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 20 Jul 2021 12:00 179 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 20 Jul 2021 18:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 21 Jul 2021 00:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 21 Jul 2021 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 21 Jul 2021 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 21 Jul 2021 18:00 474 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Perihuete, Mexico. This height is estimated for 22 Jul 2021 01:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mMexico4,296 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Jul 2021 01:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.3
22 Jul 2021 01:15 Dimas Mexico  0.3
21 Jul 2021 13:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.3
21 Jul 2021 13:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.3
21 Jul 2021 13:30 Marmol Mexico  0.3
21 Jul 2021 13:30 Florida Mexico  0.3
22 Jul 2021 16:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.3
21 Jul 2021 08:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.3
24 Jul 2021 05:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.3
24 Jul 2021 05:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.3
19 Jul 2021 19:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.3
22 Jul 2021 02:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.3
21 Jul 2021 13:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 13:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 13:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 13:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 01:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 06:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 06:00 Cunano Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 18:45 Maalaea United States  0.2
21 Jul 2021 18:45 Kihei United States  0.2
21 Jul 2021 18:45 Keawakapu United States  0.2
21 Jul 2021 18:45 Makena United States  0.2
21 Jul 2021 18:45 Keoneoio United States  0.2
21 Jul 2021 18:45 Ulupalakua United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 05:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
23 Jul 2021 09:00 Kaanapali United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 09:00 Puukolii United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 09:00 Lahaina United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 09:00 Crater Village United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 09:00 Honokahua United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 09:00 Mahinahina Camp United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 09:00 Kapalua United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 09:00 Olowalu United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 09:00 Kahakuloa United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 09:00 Waihee United States  0.2
21 Jul 2021 19:00 Hyashi Village United States  0.2
21 Jul 2021 19:00 Wailuku United States  0.2
21 Jul 2021 19:00 Kahului United States  0.2
21 Jul 2021 19:00 Puunene United States  0.2
21 Jul 2021 19:00 Village Eight United States  0.2
21 Jul 2021 19:00 Hawaiian Village United States  0.2
21 Jul 2021 19:00 Paia United States  0.2
21 Jul 2021 19:00 Haiku United States  0.2
21 Jul 2021 19:00 Pauwela United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 23:15 Pukoo United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 23:15 Waialua United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 23:15 Halawa United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 16:30 Todos Santos Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 13:45 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 21:45 Ulumalu United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 04:45 Kailua United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 04:45 Wailua United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:30 Ninole United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:30 Hakalau United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:30 Honomu United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:30 Pepeekeo United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:30 Wainaku United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:30 Papaikou United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:30 Paukaa United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:30 Hilo United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 17:00 El Tule Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 23:15 Nahiku United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 23:15 Kaeleku United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 23:15 Hana United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 08:00 Ookala United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 08:00 Laupahoehoe United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 08:00 Papaaloa United States  0.2
18 Jul 2021 08:00 Weloka United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 16:30 El Pescadero Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 16:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
22 Jul 2021 22:15 Makapala United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 22:15 Niulii United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 22:15 Waipio United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 22:15 Kukuihaele United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 22:15 Honokaa United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 22:45 Paauilo United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 22:45 Kukaiau United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 11:00 Mahukona United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 11:00 Hawi United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 11:00 Kapaau United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 11:00 Halaula United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 16:30 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
22 Jul 2021 16:15 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
22 Jul 2021 09:30 Mahaiula United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 09:30 Kaupulehu United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 09:30 Kiholo United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 09:30 Weliweli United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 09:30 Anaehoomalu United States  0.1
18 Jul 2021 21:00 Puako United States  0.1
18 Jul 2021 21:00 Waikoloa Village United States  0.1
18 Jul 2021 21:00 Kawaihae United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 13:30 Kipahulu United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 13:30 Muolea United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 13:30 Haou United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 13:30 Puuiki United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 11:30 Hawaiian Paradise Park United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 11:30 Makuu United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 11:30 Hawaiian Beaches United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 11:30 Opihikao United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 11:30 Pohoiki United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 11:30 Koae United States  0.1