Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FELICIA-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FELICIA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (15 Jul 10:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 130 km/h 0.1 m 155 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 0.3 m 562 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2021 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Jul 2021 06:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2021 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Jul 2021 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

562 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2021 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Jul 2021 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2021 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2021 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Jul 2021 06:00 532 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Olowalu, United States. This height is estimated for 15 Jul 2021 10:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Jul 2021 10:15 Olowalu United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 10:15 Maalaea United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 10:15 Waihee United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 10:15 Hyashi Village United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 10:15 Wailuku United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 10:15 Kahului United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 10:15 Kihei United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 10:15 Puunene United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 10:15 Keawakapu United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 10:15 Village Eight United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 10:15 Makena United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 10:15 Hawaiian Village United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 10:15 Ulupalakua United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 10:15 Paia United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 10:15 Haiku United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 10:15 Pauwela United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 10:15 Keoneoio United States  0.1