Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FELICIA-21
Off-shore
16 Jul 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FELICIA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 0 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (16 Jul 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 0 km/h 0.2 m 256 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 58 km/h 0.4 m 748 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

58 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2United States189 
CAT. 1United States13 
Tropical StormUnited States01 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Jul 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2021 00:00 - Few people
United States
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Jul 2021 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 16 Jul 2021 00:00 158 Few people
- - - United States
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmUnited States5,994 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Jul 2021 12:00 291 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2021 00:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2021 12:00 266 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 316 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Jul 2021 12:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Jul 2021 00:00 371 -
- - - - - United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Olowalu, United States. This height is estimated for 16 Jul 2021 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Olowalu United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Maalaea United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Waihee United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Hyashi Village United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Wailuku United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Kahului United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Kihei United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Puunene United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Keawakapu United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Village Eight United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Makena United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Hawaiian Village United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Ulupalakua United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Paia United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Haiku United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Pauwela United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Keoneoio United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 04:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 02:15 Dimas Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 02:30 Marmol Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 02:30 Florida Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Lahaina United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 04:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 04:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 04:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 04:00 Cunano Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Kaanapali United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Puukolii United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 10:00 Crater Village United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 03:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 03:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 03:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 03:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 03:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 03:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 03:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 03:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 03:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 03:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 03:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 04:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 00:00 Kahakuloa United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 00:00 Ulumalu United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 09:45 Honokahua United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 09:45 Mahinahina Camp United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 09:45 Kapalua United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 09:45 Pukoo United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 03:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 04:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 03:45 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 03:45 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1