Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FELICIA-21
Off-shore
15 Jul 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FELICIA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (15 Jul 18:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 176 km/h 0.2 m 305 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 241 km/h 0.5 m 502 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Jul 2021 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2021 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Jul 2021 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 15 Jul 2021 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 15 Jul 2021 18:00 180 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

502 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Jul 2021 06:00 327 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2021 12:00 153 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2021 18:00 198 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 325 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Jul 2021 06:00 249 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Jul 2021 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 15 Jul 2021 18:00 507 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Perihuete, Mexico. This height is estimated for 15 Jul 2021 18:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Jul 2021 18:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2021 19:15 Marmol Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2021 19:15 Florida Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2021 19:45 Olowalu United States  0.2
15 Jul 2021 19:45 Kahakuloa United States  0.2
15 Jul 2021 19:45 Waihee United States  0.2
15 Jul 2021 19:45 Hyashi Village United States  0.2
15 Jul 2021 19:45 Wailuku United States  0.2
15 Jul 2021 19:45 Kahului United States  0.2
15 Jul 2021 19:45 Puunene United States  0.2
15 Jul 2021 19:45 Village Eight United States  0.2
15 Jul 2021 19:45 Hawaiian Village United States  0.2
15 Jul 2021 19:45 Paia United States  0.2
15 Jul 2021 19:45 Haiku United States  0.2
15 Jul 2021 19:45 Pauwela United States  0.2
15 Jul 2021 18:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2021 18:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2021 18:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2021 20:45 Maalaea United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 20:45 Kihei United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 20:45 Keawakapu United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 20:45 Makena United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 20:45 Ulupalakua United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 20:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2021 19:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2021 22:45 Keoneoio United States  0.1
15 Jul 2021 20:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2021 18:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2021 22:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1