Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FELICIA-21
Off-shore
17 Jul 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FELICIA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (17 Jul 06:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 97 km/h 0.3 m 123 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 58 km/h 0.4 m 748 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

58 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Jul 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2021 00:00 - Few people
United States
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Jul 2021 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 16 Jul 2021 00:00 - -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 7 16 Jul 2021 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 17 Jul 2021 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmUnited States1,368 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Jul 2021 12:00 291 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2021 00:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2021 12:00 266 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 316 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Jul 2021 12:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Jul 2021 00:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 16 Jul 2021 12:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 17 Jul 2021 00:00 210 -
- - - - - United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Perihuete, Mexico. This height is estimated for 17 Jul 2021 06:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Jul 2021 06:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.3
17 Jul 2021 06:45 Dimas Mexico  0.3
17 Jul 2021 12:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 12:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 12:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 01:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 06:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 06:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 06:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 01:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 12:00 Marmol Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 12:00 Florida Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 06:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 06:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 00:30 Kahakuloa United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 00:30 Maalaea United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 00:30 Waihee United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 00:30 Hyashi Village United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 00:30 Wailuku United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 00:30 Kahului United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 00:30 Kihei United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 00:30 Puunene United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 00:30 Village Eight United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 00:30 Hawaiian Village United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 00:30 Paia United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 00:30 Haiku United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 00:30 Pauwela United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 00:30 Ulumalu United States  0.2
17 Jul 2021 06:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 06:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 06:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 06:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 00:30 Olowalu United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 00:30 Keawakapu United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 00:30 Makena United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 00:30 Ulupalakua United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 06:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 12:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 06:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 06:30 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 06:30 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 07:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 06:45 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 09:15 Keoneoio United States  0.1
17 Jul 2021 06:15 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 06:15 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1