Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FELICIA-21
Off-shore
16 Jul 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FELICIA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (16 Jul 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 133 km/h 0.2 m 165 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 0.3 m 562 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 16 Jul 2021 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Jul 2021 06:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2021 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Jul 2021 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 15 Jul 2021 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 15 Jul 2021 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Jul 2021 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 16 Jul 2021 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

562 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 16 Jul 2021 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Jul 2021 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2021 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2021 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Jul 2021 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Jul 2021 12:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 15 Jul 2021 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Jul 2021 00:00 134 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 16 Jul 2021 06:00 389 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Marmol, Mexico. This height is estimated for 16 Jul 2021 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Jul 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Jul 2021 06:00 Marmol Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:00 Florida Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:00 Dimas Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:00 Cunano Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 06:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 06:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 06:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 06:00 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 06:00 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 06:00 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 06:30 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 09:30 Laupahoehoe United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 09:30 Papaaloa United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 09:30 Weloka United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 09:30 Ninole United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 09:30 Hakalau United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 09:30 Honomu United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 09:30 Pepeekeo United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 09:30 Wainaku United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 09:30 Papaikou United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 09:30 Paukaa United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 09:30 Hilo United States  0.1