Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GUILLERMO-21
Off-shore
17 Jul 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GUILLERMO-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (17 Jul 06:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 94 km/h 0.2 m 123 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 104 km/h 0.3 m 427 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

104 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Jul 2021 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico78,481 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Jul 2021 00:00 211 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Puerto Charley, Mexico. This height is estimated for 17 Jul 2021 06:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Jul 2021 06:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 06:15 Quinones Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 10:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 10:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 10:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 11:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 10:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 10:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:15 Mulege Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 06:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 06:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 06:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 11:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 11:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 10:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 10:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 10:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 07:45 Datilito Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 07:45 La Paz Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 07:45 Rosario Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 07:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:00 Ligui Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 06:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 07:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 08:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 10:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 06:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 11:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 11:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 11:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2021 06:15 Novillero Mexico  0.1