Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for IGNACIO-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IGNACIO-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (01 Aug 07:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 90 km/h 0.4 m 264 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 65 km/h 0.7 m 464 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Aug 2021 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico62 
50-100 mmMexico742,345 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Aug 2021 00:00 563 Few people
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 01 Aug 2021 07:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Aug 2021 07:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
01 Aug 2021 11:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
01 Aug 2021 11:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
01 Aug 2021 11:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.3
01 Aug 2021 05:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 05:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 05:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 06:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 05:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 12:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 11:45 Cedros Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 05:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 05:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 05:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 10:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 05:45 Quinones Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 11:30 La Florida Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 11:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 05:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 06:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 08:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 10:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 10:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 10:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 10:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 10:30 Monteon Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 10:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 05:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 10:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 10:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 10:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 06:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 06:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 06:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 06:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 06:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 06:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 06:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 11:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 08:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 10:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 10:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 06:30 Altata Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 06:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 10:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 10:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 05:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 05:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 05:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 05:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 05:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 05:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 06:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 05:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 10:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 10:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 07:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 10:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1