Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for IGNACIO-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IGNACIO-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (02 Aug 04:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 101 km/h 0.7 m 272 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 65 km/h 0.7 m 464 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Aug 2021 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Aug 2021 12:00 112 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
Download:





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico04 
50-100 mmMexico971,771 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Aug 2021 00:00 264 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 01 Aug 2021 12:00 529 Few people
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 02 Aug 2021 04:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Aug 2021 04:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.7
02 Aug 2021 03:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
02 Aug 2021 03:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.4
02 Aug 2021 09:00 Cedros Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 03:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 04:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 22:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 22:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 22:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 22:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 El Barril Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 00:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Mulege Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 05:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 18:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Empalme Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 22:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 05:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 05:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 San Jose Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 23:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Liliba Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 10:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 10:15 La Boca Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 23:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 23:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 23:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Loreto Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Ligui Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 21:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 21:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Tripui Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 22:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 02:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 22:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 14:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 19:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 07:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 22:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 22:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 23:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 08:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 06:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 23:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 23:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 23:15 Monteon Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 06:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 15:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 09:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 09:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 09:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 09:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 14:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 14:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 22:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 15:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 15:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 22:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 21:15 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 23:30 San Blas Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 19:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 18:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 07:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 07:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 22:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 22:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 22:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 19:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 17:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 10:30 Chola Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 16:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 01:15 La Playa Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 21:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 21:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 18:15 Barron Mexico  0.1