Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for IGNACIO-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IGNACIO-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (05 Aug 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 97 km/h 0.4 m 182 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 65 km/h 0.7 m 464 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Aug 2021 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Aug 2021 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 02 Aug 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Aug 2021 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 03 Aug 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Aug 2021 12:00 97 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
Download:





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico374 
50-100 mmMexico1,015,673 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Aug 2021 00:00 264 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 01 Aug 2021 12:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 02 Aug 2021 00:00 281 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 02 Aug 2021 12:00 344 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 03 Aug 2021 00:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 03 Aug 2021 12:00 187 Few people
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 05 Aug 2021 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Aug 2021 04:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
05 Aug 2021 03:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 03:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.3
04 Aug 2021 06:15 Cedros Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 16:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 16:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 16:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 08:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 05:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 05:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 20:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 20:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 00:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 20:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 01:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 01:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 01:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 11:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 11:30 El Barril Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 09:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 09:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 20:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 20:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 20:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 20:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 20:15 La Boca Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 00:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 00:30 Dimas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 16:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 00:15 Quinones Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 11:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 11:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 09:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 09:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 09:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 04:15 Empalme Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 00:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 04:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 04:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 11:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 20:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 04:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:15 San Jose Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 04:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 03:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 04:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 03:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 00:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 04:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 03:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 03:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 03:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 16:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 03:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 23:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 23:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 09:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 09:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 09:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 21:30 Chola Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 01:00 Chamela Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 04:15 Liliba Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 12:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 12:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 00:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 23:45 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 21:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 09:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 20:30 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 20:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 20:30 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 01:45 La Playa Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 11:00 Corrales Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 11:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 11:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1