Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for IGNACIO-21
Off-shore
03 Aug 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IGNACIO-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (03 Aug 21:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 72 km/h 0.8 m 148 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 112 km/h 0.8 m 613 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

112 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Aug 2021 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Aug 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 02 Aug 2021 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Aug 2021 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 02 Aug 2021 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Aug 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Aug 2021 18:00 211 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 02 Aug 2021 00:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 02 Aug 2021 06:00 586 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 02 Aug 2021 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 02 Aug 2021 18:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 03 Aug 2021 00:00 237 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 03 Aug 2021 21:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Aug 2021 21:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.8
03 Aug 2021 21:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.5
03 Aug 2021 15:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.4
03 Aug 2021 21:30 Cedros Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 16:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 22:30 Novillero Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 11:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 22:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 22:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 18:15 Monteon Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 18:15 La Lima Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 02:30 Altata Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 02:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 14:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 14:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 14:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 14:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 06:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:45 San Blas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 01:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 01:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 18:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 18:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 04:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 11:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 11:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 02:15 Marmol Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 02:15 Florida Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 03:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 02:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 22:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 03:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 03:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 11:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 06:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 06:45 Dimas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 19:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:15 Empalme Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 15:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 00:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 05:30 Quinones Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 02:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 07:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 22:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 22:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 22:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 22:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 05:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 05:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 01:15 Ligui Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 22:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Chola Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 04:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 18:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 18:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 18:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 01:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 01:30 Loreto Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 01:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 01:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 22:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 01:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:45 Liliba Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 02:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 02:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 11:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 11:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 22:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 07:45 Chamela Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 19:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 03:45 El Tule Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 19:45 Pizota Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 02:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 02:00 La Playa Mexico  0.1