Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NORA-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORA-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (01 Sep 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 61 km/h 0.3 m 189 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 86 km/h 0.5 m 838 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

86 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Aug 2021 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Aug 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 26 Aug 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Aug 2021 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 27 Aug 2021 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 27 Aug 2021 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Aug 2021 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Aug 2021 12:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 29 Aug 2021 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 10 29 Aug 2021 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmMexico18,761 
250-500 mmMexico726,973 
100-250 mmMexico1,685,400 
50-100 mmMexico12,306,879 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Aug 2021 00:00 175 70 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 2 25 Aug 2021 12:00 215 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 26 Aug 2021 00:00 597 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 26 Aug 2021 12:00 664 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 5 27 Aug 2021 00:00 218 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 6 27 Aug 2021 12:00 144 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 28 Aug 2021 00:00 215 30 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 8 28 Aug 2021 12:00 177 570 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 9 29 Aug 2021 00:00 299 160 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 10 29 Aug 2021 12:00 730 2.4 million
- - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 01 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Sep 2021 12:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
29 Aug 2021 15:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 20:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 22:15 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.2
01 Sep 2021 12:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 04:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 04:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 20:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:30 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 15:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 03:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 15:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 20:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
01 Sep 2021 11:45 La Choya Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 17:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
01 Sep 2021 11:45 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 21:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 15:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 15:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2021 01:00 La Playa Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 00:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 14:30 El Tule Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 14:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 20:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 15:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 15:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 16:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 15:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 07:00 Ojo de Liebre Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 12:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 12:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 07:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 17:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 15:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 15:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Empalme Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 15:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 15:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 14:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 11:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 15:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 15:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:30 La Florida Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 19:45 Coronado United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 19:45 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 19:45 Boal United States  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 14:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2021 16:30 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 17:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 17:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 15:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 20:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 02:30 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 17:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 17:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Mulege Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 San Jose Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
01 Sep 2021 10:15 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 04:45 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 14:45 Barron Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:30 Rosario Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 15:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:45 La Paz Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:15 Azure Vista United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:15 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:15 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:15 Roseville United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:15 Loma Portal United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:15 San Diego United States  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:45 Datilito Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:45 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 15:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:30 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:30 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 19:00 Monteon Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:45 Erendria Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 16:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 23:30 Molino Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 15:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:30 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 14:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 23:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:45 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 04:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 22:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 17:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 17:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2021 15:00 Cedros Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2021 04:15 El Barril Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:15 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:00 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1