Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NORA-21
in Mexico
30 Aug 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORA-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 47 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (31 Aug 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 47 km/h 0.3 m 356 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 86 km/h 0.5 m 838 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

86 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 30 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Aug 2021 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Aug 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 26 Aug 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Aug 2021 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 27 Aug 2021 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 27 Aug 2021 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Aug 2021 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Aug 2021 12:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 29 Aug 2021 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 10 29 Aug 2021 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 30 Aug 2021 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico29,199 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico1,684,303
+
United States26,056 
Mexico1,658,247 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico16,719,579
+
United States2,894 
Mexico16,716,685 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Aug 2021 00:00 175 70 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 2 25 Aug 2021 12:00 215 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 26 Aug 2021 00:00 597 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 26 Aug 2021 12:00 664 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 5 27 Aug 2021 00:00 218 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 6 27 Aug 2021 12:00 144 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 28 Aug 2021 00:00 215 30 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 8 28 Aug 2021 12:00 177 570 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 9 29 Aug 2021 00:00 299 160 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 10 29 Aug 2021 12:00 189 590 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 11 30 Aug 2021 00:00 445 1.7 million
- - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 31 Aug 2021 00:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 Aug 2021 00:45 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
31 Aug 2021 00:30 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:15 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 03:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 04:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 04:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
01 Sep 2021 19:00 La Choya Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 03:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 16:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
01 Sep 2021 19:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 03:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 01:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 00:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 20:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 00:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 07:00 Ojo de Liebre Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 01:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 07:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 05:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 05:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 03:00 La Playa Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 01:15 Liliba Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 20:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 17:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 08:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 08:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 23:30 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Empalme Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 08:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 04:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:00 Coronado United States  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:00 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:00 Boal United States  0.1
30 Aug 2021 16:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 02:15 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 21:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
01 Sep 2021 03:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 16:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 04:30 San Diego United States  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 02:30 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:45 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:45 La Florida Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Mulege Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 04:45 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:45 Azure Vista United States  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:45 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:45 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:45 Roseville United States  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:45 Loma Portal United States  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 20:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 21:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 23:30 Molino Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 04:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 23:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 06:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:30 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:30 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:30 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 04:30 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:45 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 02:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 20:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 20:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:00 Ligui Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 07:15 El Barril Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 07:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 05:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 El Tule Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2021 20:00 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2021 20:00 El Marques Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:45 Cedros Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:45 Mission Beach United States  0.1
30 Aug 2021 20:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 07:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 16:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 04:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1