Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JULIAN-21
Off-shore
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JULIAN-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (30 Aug 05:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 76 km/h 1.1 m 141 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 72 km/h 1.3 m 132 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

72 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 30 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 28 Aug 2021 12:00 65 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 2 29 Aug 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 29 Aug 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Aug 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 30 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 28 Aug 2021 12:00 69 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Aug 2021 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 29 Aug 2021 12:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Aug 2021 00:00 182 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.1m in Great Brule, Canada. This height is estimated for 30 Aug 2021 05:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Aug 2021 05:15 Great Brule Canada  1.1
30 Aug 2021 05:15 Spencers Cove Canada  1.1
30 Aug 2021 05:15 Come By Chance Canada  1.1
30 Aug 2021 05:15 Sunnyside Canada  1.1
30 Aug 2021 05:15 Chance Cove Canada  1.1
30 Aug 2021 05:15 Woody Island Canada  1.1
30 Aug 2021 05:15 Sound Island Canada  1.1
30 Aug 2021 05:15 Swift Current Canada  1.1
31 Aug 2021 15:15 Bartletts Harbour Canada  0.9
31 Aug 2021 15:15 Bird Cove Canada  0.9
31 Aug 2021 15:15 Saint Barbe Canada  0.9
30 Aug 2021 05:15 Tacks Beach Canada  0.9
31 Aug 2021 17:30 Bellevue Canada  0.8
31 Aug 2021 17:30 Chapel Arm Canada  0.8
31 Aug 2021 17:30 Dildo Canada  0.8
31 Aug 2021 17:30 New Harbour Canada  0.8
31 Aug 2021 17:30 Greens Harbour Canada  0.8
31 Aug 2021 17:30 Cavendish Canada  0.8
31 Aug 2021 17:45 Heart's Delight-Islington Canada  0.7
30 Aug 2021 05:45 Harbour Buffet Canada  0.7
31 Aug 2021 15:15 Flower Cove Canada  0.7
31 Aug 2021 17:45 Heart's Content Canada  0.7
31 Aug 2021 17:45 Little Heart's Ease Canada  0.7
31 Aug 2021 17:45 Saint Jones Within Canada  0.6
31 Aug 2021 17:45 Southport Canada  0.6
31 Aug 2021 15:45 Forteau Canada  0.6
31 Aug 2021 15:45 L' Anse-au-Loup Canada  0.6
31 Aug 2021 17:45 New Perlican Canada  0.6
31 Aug 2021 17:45 Winterton Canada  0.6
31 Aug 2021 16:15 Green Island Cove Canada  0.6
31 Aug 2021 16:15 Eddies Cove Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 06:45 Hickman's Harbour Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 06:45 Deer Harbour Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 06:45 Hants Harbour Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 06:45 Victoria Canada  0.6
31 Aug 2021 14:45 Cooks Harbour Canada  0.6
31 Aug 2021 14:45 Raleigh Canada  0.6
31 Aug 2021 14:45 Ship Cove Canada  0.6
30 Aug 2021 08:30 Seal Cove Canada  0.6
30 Aug 2021 08:30 Little Bay Canada  0.6
30 Aug 2021 08:30 Hermitage-Sandy Hill Canada  0.6
30 Aug 2021 08:30 Hermitage Canada  0.6
30 Aug 2021 08:30 Harbour Breton Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 06:45 Burgoynes Cove Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 06:45 Ivanhoe Canada  0.6
31 Aug 2021 16:00 West St Modeste Canada  0.6
31 Aug 2021 16:00 Pinware Canada  0.6
30 Aug 2021 05:45 Clattice Harbour Canada  0.6
30 Aug 2021 05:45 Monkstown Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 06:45 Old Bonaventure Canada  0.6
31 Aug 2021 16:00 Red Bay Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 16:30 Leading Tickles Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 16:30 Leading Tickles South Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 16:30 Point Leamington Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 16:30 Paradise Cove Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 16:30 Cottrells Cove Canada  0.6
30 Aug 2021 05:45 Little Barasway Canada  0.6
30 Aug 2021 05:45 Placentia Canada  0.6
30 Aug 2021 05:45 Argentia Canada  0.6
30 Aug 2021 05:45 Dunville Canada  0.6
30 Aug 2021 05:45 Fox Harbour Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 06:45 Brownsdale Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 16:30 Little Bay Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 16:30 Port Anson Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 16:30 Roberts Arm Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 16:30 Little Bay Island Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 16:30 Lushes Bight Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 16:30 Pilley's Island Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 16:30 Beaumont Canada  0.6
31 Aug 2021 15:00 North Boat Harbour Canada  0.6
01 Sep 2021 06:30 Southern Bay Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 06:30 Princeton Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 06:30 Trinity Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 06:30 Port Rexton Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Big Brook Canada  0.5
30 Aug 2021 05:45 Merasheen Canada  0.5
30 Aug 2021 05:45 Red Island Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Change Islands Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Frederickton Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Island Harbour Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Little Seldom Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Fogo Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Seldom Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Joe Batt's Arm Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Gander Bay Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Carmanville Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Triton West Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 06:45 Old Perlican Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 06:45 Lower Island Cove Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 06:45 Caplin Cove Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Harry's Harbour Canada  0.5
30 Aug 2021 17:45 Herring Neck Canada  0.5
30 Aug 2021 17:45 Hornwood Canada  0.5
30 Aug 2021 17:45 Port Albert Canada  0.5
30 Aug 2021 17:45 Victoria Cove Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 06:45 Grates Cove Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 06:45 Bay de Verde Canada  0.5
31 Aug 2021 16:30 Ladle Cove Canada  0.5
30 Aug 2021 17:30 Moreton's Harbour Canada  0.5
30 Aug 2021 17:30 Summerford Canada  0.5
30 Aug 2021 17:30 Birchy Bay Canada  0.5
30 Aug 2021 17:30 Boyds Cove Canada  0.5
01 Sep 2021 02:00 Indian Tickle Canada  0.5
30 Aug 2021 17:15 Musgrove Harbour Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 01:45 Bonavista Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 01:45 Port Union Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 01:45 Catalina Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 01:45 Elliston Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Nipper's Harbour Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 16:45 Sop's Arm Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 16:45 Browns Cove Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 16:45 Jackson's Arm Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 16:45 Purbeck's Cove Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 16:45 Westport Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 16:45 Bear Cove Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 16:30 Coney Arm Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 22:15 Pools Cove Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 22:15 Belleoram Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 22:15 Rencontre East Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:15 Fleur de Lys Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:15 Coachman's Cove Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:15 Woodstock Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:15 Pacquet Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 16:30 Seal Cove Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 17:15 Main Brook Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Conche Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Croque Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Saint Juliens Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Burlington Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 17:30 Exploits Canada  0.4
30 Aug 2021 06:30 Holyrood Canada  0.4
30 Aug 2021 06:30 Indian Pond Canada  0.4
30 Aug 2021 06:30 Kelligrews Canada  0.4
30 Aug 2021 06:30 Foxtrap Canada  0.4
30 Aug 2021 06:30 Bell Island Canada  0.4
30 Aug 2021 06:30 Wabana Canada  0.4
30 Aug 2021 06:30 Topsail Canada  0.4
30 Aug 2021 06:30 Portugal Cove Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 00:45 Grady Harbour Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Wild Cove Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 07:15 Packs Harbour Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 22:00 Grand Bank Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 22:00 Grand Beach Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:15 Round Harbour Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:15 Tilt Cove Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:15 La Scie Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:15 Shoe Cove Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 06:15 Bay Roberts Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 06:15 Harbour Grace Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 06:15 Conception Harbour Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 06:15 Colliers Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 06:15 Carbonear Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 06:15 Brigus Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 06:15 Upper Island Cove Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 06:15 Harbour Main Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Canada Harbour Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Roddickton Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Englee Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 06:15 Bauline Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 06:15 Freshwater Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 06:15 Salmon Cove Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 06:15 Perrys Cove Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 21:45 Barrasway de Plate Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Twillingate Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 15:45 Pouch Cove Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 15:45 Torbay Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 15:45 Flat Rock Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 15:45 St. John's Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 15:15 Henley Harbour Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 21:30 Fortune Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Grey Islands Harbour Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:15 Horse Islands Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Little Harbour Deep Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 17:45 Tilting Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Baie Verte Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 20:30 Saint Pierre St. Pierre and Miquelon  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:30 Great Harbour Deep Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 06:15 Western Bay Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 21:45 English Harbour West Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:30 Williamsport Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 07:00 Marys Harbour Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 07:00 Lodge Bay Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 07:00 Carrolls Cove Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 07:00 Saint Lewis Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 07:00 Loran Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 07:00 Battle Harbour Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 22:00 Garnish Canada  0.4
30 Aug 2021 15:00 Rexons Cove Canada  0.4
30 Aug 2021 15:00 Georges Cove Canada  0.4
30 Aug 2021 15:00 Snug Harbour Canada  0.4
30 Aug 2021 15:00 Square Island Canada  0.4
30 Aug 2021 15:00 Fishing Ships Harbour Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 08:00 Mosquito Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 08:00 Admirals Beach Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 08:00 Gaskiers Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 08:00 Saint Mary's Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 08:00 Riverhead Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 08:00 Saint Josephs Canada  0.4
31 Aug 2021 22:00 Marystown Canada  0.4
30 Aug 2021 05:30 Ship Cove Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:30 Goose Cove Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 08:00 Trepassey Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 08:00 Portugal Cove South Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 08:00 Saint Vincent's Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 17:00 Saint Lunaire-Griquet Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 17:00 Quirpon Canada  0.4
01 Sep 2021 16:00 Petty Harbour Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 08:15 Saint Shotts Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 03:00 Batteau Harbour Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 03:00 Spotted Island Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 03:00 Black Tickle Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 19:00 Rock Harbour Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 19:00 Baine Harbour Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 19:00 Parkers Cove Canada  0.3
31 Aug 2021 21:00 Pass Island Canada  0.3
31 Aug 2021 21:00 Pushthrough Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 16:00 Bay Bulls Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 06:30 Badger's Quay Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 06:30 Lumsden Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 06:30 Greenspond Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 06:30 Wesleyville Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 06:30 Newtown Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 06:30 Cape Freels Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 16:00 Witless Bay Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 19:00 Saint Josephs Canada  0.3
31 Aug 2021 21:00 McCallum Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 07:30 Spear Harbour Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 16:15 Saint Anthony Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 16:15 Great Brehat Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 16:15 Saint Anthony Bight Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Cape Broyle Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Ferryland Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Tors Cove Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Mobile Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Fermeuse Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Cappahayden Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 16:45 Renews Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 06:45 Saint Brendan's Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 02:30 Newman's Cove Canada  0.3
31 Aug 2021 21:15 Francois Canada  0.3
31 Aug 2021 21:15 Rencontre West Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 18:30 Miqeulon St. Pierre and Miquelon  0.3
01 Sep 2021 07:45 Cape Race Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 08:15 Branch Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 18:15 Angels Cove Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 18:15 Saint Bride's Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 15:00 Tickle Cove Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 15:00 Open Hall Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 15:00 Keels Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 08:30 Point Lance Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 01:30 Plate Cove Canada  0.3
30 Aug 2021 15:00 Williams Harbour Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 15:00 Salvage Canada  0.3
31 Aug 2021 09:00 Point Crewe Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 15:45 Venison Island Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 15:45 Comfort Bight Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 15:45 Flat Islands Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 15:45 Frenchmans Island Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 18:30 Burin Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 19:45 Lawn Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 19:45 Saint Lawrence Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 20:00 Lamaline Canada  0.3
31 Aug 2021 21:45 Point May Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 19:15 Little Burnt Bay Canada  0.2
01 Sep 2021 19:15 Lewisporte Canada  0.2
01 Sep 2021 19:15 Campbellton Canada  0.2
01 Sep 2021 19:15 Loon Bay Canada  0.2