Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PADDY-21
Off-shore
23 Nov 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PADDY-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (25 Nov 00:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 61 km/h 0.3 m 158 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 58 km/h 0.5 m 662 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

58 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 23 Nov 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 Nov 2021 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Nov 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Nov 2021 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Nov 2021 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Nov 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Nov 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia785,738 
50-100 mmIndonesia12,873,450 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 Nov 2021 12:00 526 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Nov 2021 00:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Nov 2021 12:00 330 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 4 23 Nov 2021 00:00 319 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 5 23 Nov 2021 12:00 282 790 thousand
- - - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Menango, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 25 Nov 2021 00:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Nov 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Nov 2021 00:30 Menango Indonesia  0.3
25 Nov 2021 00:30 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.3
25 Nov 2021 00:30 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.3
25 Nov 2021 00:30 Tarahan Indonesia  0.3
25 Nov 2021 01:15 Kiluan Indonesia  0.3
25 Nov 2021 01:15 Kekatang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Soega Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Gresik Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Pangkalan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Batoe Porong Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Kebanjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Cilancang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Cirebon Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Losan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Karangampel Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:45 Tambajangan Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:45 Kajuwaru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:30 Baliga Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:30 Laboean Indonesia  0.3
25 Nov 2021 00:30 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 01:15 Taju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 01:15 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 01:15 Batangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 01:15 Rembang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:00 Sidoardjo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:15 Klampok Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:00 Indramaju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:45 Tegal Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:45 Wanasari Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 22:45 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 22:45 Djomblang Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 22:45 Semarang Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 22:45 Karangroto Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Pasuruan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Bayeman Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Pemalang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Muntjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Sumberkuning Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Sidja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:45 Sigedang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:45 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:15 Wedung Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:15 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:15 Kendal Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 09:00 Sampang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:45 Probolinggo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Bugel Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Karangsari Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Jepara Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Gending Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:45 Kraksaan Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 16:45 Djangdjangan Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 16:45 Puteran Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 16:45 Lombang Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 16:45 Banraas Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 16:45 Sokaramme Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Galis Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:00 Karagajar Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Prenduan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 11:30 Sidaju Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:45 Djate Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:45 Bluto Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Podang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Brondong Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:45 Saroka Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:45 Sumenep Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:45 Besuki Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Bundan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Gedugan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Sapulu Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Tlagabiru Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Banjoeates Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:00 Patrol Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Mandingan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:15 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:15 Cangkring Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 15:45 Songai Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 21:15 Tuban Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 21:15 Semanding Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 10:15 Ambunten-timu Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 10:15 Belukares Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 10:15 Batuputihkenek Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 21:30 Remen Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 21:30 Plosokere Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 21:30 Djenu Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Situbondo Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:15 Lasem Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Aermata Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Klampis Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Kencong Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Ardjasa Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 00:45 Kalipang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 00:45 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 00:45 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:00 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 04:15 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 04:15 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Kesambirampak Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Kelapang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Sokabana Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 06:00 Onslow Australia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Cupel Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Prancak Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Negara Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Sumberwaru Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 18:45 Sonok Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Brassan Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 19:45 Sunberanjar Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 00:15 Kalianda Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 01:45 Maringgai Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:30 Gretek Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:00 Tianjar Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:00 Kubu Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Katupat Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Djoengkat Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Brakas Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Tjulik Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Bandjargondol Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:00 Boengkoelan Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:00 Kubutambahan Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Pandji Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Singaradja Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:30 Tejakula Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:30 Tedjakula Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Grajam Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Gajam Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Badjulmati Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Wangsaredja Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:30 Soekasade Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:30 Buleleng Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Gerokgak Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Tegallengah Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Bubunan Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Banjar Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Temoekoes Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Goa-daja Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Djoelah Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Karangasem Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 01:30 Tambak Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 19:30 Tenganan Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 19:30 Amlapura Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 01:30 Sangkapura Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 06:15 Glenroy Australia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 08:45 Learmonth Australia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 13:30 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 13:30 Cijulang Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 13:30 Cikalong Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 13:30 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 12:45 Chilachap Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 12:45 Adipala Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 23:45 Guring Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 23:45 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 13:45 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 13:45 Popoh Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 13:15 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Lungkung Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Lembongan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Manggis Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Batoemoenggoel Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 18:30 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 18:30 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 18:30 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 18:30 Labuhan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 18:30 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 07:15 Tojapakeh Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 07:15 Batoemadeg Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 07:15 Tanglad Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Mendaja Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Sumur Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 13:00 Binangoen Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 01:15 Domas Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 18:45 Karbang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 18:45 Walur Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 18:45 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 18:45 Wainapal Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 18:45 Krui Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 18:45 Kerbang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 18:45 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 18:45 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Labih Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Bandjarangkan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 16:15 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 12:45 Ajah Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 20:45 Cardabia Australia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:45 Petanahan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 07:15 Sukawati Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 13:15 Seseh Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 13:15 Kuta Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 13:15 Djimbaran Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 13:15 Boealoe Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 13:15 Benua Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 13:15 Denpasar Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Kabue Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Belowa Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Taoabi Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 22:45 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Karangberak Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 00:15 Bakau Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 00:00 Merak Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:45 Batuulo Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Petjatu Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Jehembang Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Putih Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 07:15 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Tampang Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Bendungan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 22:30 Belimbing Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Pulukan Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 07:45 Lungurdowo Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 07:45 Pudjihardjo Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 07:45 Guying Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 07:45 Sidomukti Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 07:45 Condro Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 08:15 Badjera Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 08:15 Krambitan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 16:00 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 07:00 Exmouth Australia  0.1