Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PADDY-21
Off-shore
24 Nov 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PADDY-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (21 Nov 23:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 58 km/h 0.5 m 662 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 58 km/h 0.5 m 662 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

58 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Nov 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 Nov 2021 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Nov 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Nov 2021 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Nov 2021 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Nov 2021 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Nov 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Nov 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndonesia21,898 
100-250 mmIndonesia6,881,673 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Cocos Islands77,114,999
+
Indonesia77,114,380 
Cocos Islands618 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 Nov 2021 12:00 526 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Nov 2021 00:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Nov 2021 12:00 330 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 4 23 Nov 2021 00:00 319 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 5 23 Nov 2021 12:00 158 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 6 24 Nov 2021 00:00 279 520 thousand
- - - - Indonesia, Cocos Islands




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Blimbing, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 21 Nov 2021 23:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Nov 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mIndonesia2,112,675 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Nov 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 Nov 2021 23:30 Blimbing Indonesia  0.5
21 Nov 2021 23:30 Dadapan Indonesia  0.5
21 Nov 2021 23:30 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.5
21 Nov 2021 23:30 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.5
21 Nov 2021 23:30 Soega Indonesia  0.5
21 Nov 2021 23:30 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.5
21 Nov 2021 23:30 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.5
21 Nov 2021 23:30 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.5
21 Nov 2021 23:30 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.5
22 Nov 2021 01:30 Menango Indonesia  0.4
22 Nov 2021 01:30 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.4
22 Nov 2021 01:30 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.4
22 Nov 2021 01:30 Tarahan Indonesia  0.4
22 Nov 2021 18:45 Muntjar Indonesia  0.4
22 Nov 2021 01:15 Kiluan Indonesia  0.4
22 Nov 2021 01:15 Kekatang Indonesia  0.4
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Gresik Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Pangkalan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Batoe Porong Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Kebanjar Indonesia  0.3
22 Nov 2021 18:45 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.3
22 Nov 2021 18:45 Cupel Indonesia  0.3
22 Nov 2021 18:45 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.3
22 Nov 2021 18:45 Prancak Indonesia  0.3
22 Nov 2021 18:45 Negara Indonesia  0.3
22 Nov 2021 06:30 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Losan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Cilancang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Cirebon Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:45 Tambajangan Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:45 Kajuwaru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Karangampel Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 09:00 Pasuruan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 09:00 Bayeman Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:00 Sidoardjo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:30 Baliga Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:30 Laboean Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:00 Indramaju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 01:15 Taju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 01:15 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 01:15 Batangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 01:15 Rembang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Klampok Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 09:00 Sumberkuning Indonesia  0.3
22 Nov 2021 04:45 Kencong Indonesia  0.3
22 Nov 2021 04:45 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Sapulu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Tlagabiru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Banjoeates Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:45 Tegal Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:45 Wanasari Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 22:45 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 22:45 Djomblang Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 22:45 Semarang Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 22:45 Karangroto Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Pemalang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Podang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Brondong Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Sidja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:45 Sampang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:45 Probolinggo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Gending Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Kraksaan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Karagajar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Remen Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Plosokere Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Djenu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Tuban Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Semanding Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Kendal Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Sidaju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Sigedang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 23:15 Wedung Indonesia  0.3
21 Nov 2021 23:15 Brassan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Galis Indonesia  0.3
22 Nov 2021 03:45 Chilachap Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 03:45 Adipala Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 03:45 Binangoen Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Prenduan Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 16:45 Djangdjangan Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 16:45 Puteran Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 16:45 Lombang Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 16:45 Banraas Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 16:45 Sokaramme Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Karangsari Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Aermata Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Klampis Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 05:15 Guring Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 05:15 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:00 Patrol Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 10:15 Ambunten-timu Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 10:15 Belukares Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 10:15 Sumenep Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 10:15 Batuputihkenek Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Bugel Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Besuki Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Djate Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Bluto Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Saroka Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Bundan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Gedugan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Jepara Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:15 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:15 Cangkring Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Mandingan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:00 Sokabana Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 15:45 Songai Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:15 Lasem Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Kalipang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:15 Kelapang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Situbondo Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:00 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:45 Ardjasa Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:00 Kesambirampak Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:00 Tambak Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:00 Sangkapura Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Sumberwaru Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Sonok Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Grajam Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Gajam Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Katupat Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Djoengkat Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 18:15 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 18:15 Cijulang Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 18:15 Cikalong Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 18:15 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 19:45 Sunberanjar Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 11:15 Onslow Australia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Brakas Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 00:15 Kalianda Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:30 Gretek Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:00 Tianjar Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:00 Kubu Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Tjulik Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Bandjargondol Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Gerokgak Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:00 Boengkoelan Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:00 Kubutambahan Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Pandji Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Singaradja Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:30 Tejakula Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:30 Tedjakula Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Soekasade Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Buleleng Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Tegallengah Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Bubunan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Banjar Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Temoekoes Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Goa-daja Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Badjulmati Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Wangsaredja Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Djoelah Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 20:15 Karangasem Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 01:45 Maringgai Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 19:30 Tenganan Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 19:30 Amlapura Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 15:15 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 15:15 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 15:15 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 15:15 Labuhan Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 15:15 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 19:45 Karbang Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 19:45 Walur Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 19:45 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 19:45 Wainapal Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 19:45 Krui Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 19:45 Kerbang Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 19:45 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 19:45 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:30 Lembongan Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:30 Tojapakeh Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:30 Batoemadeg Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:30 Batoemoenggoel Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:30 Tanglad Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:30 Manggis Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 09:15 Ajah Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:45 Lungkung Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Glenroy Australia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:30 Labih Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:30 Bandjarangkan Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 18:30 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 18:30 Sumur Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 08:45 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 09:15 Seseh Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 09:15 Kuta Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 09:15 Djimbaran Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 09:15 Boealoe Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 09:15 Benua Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 09:15 Denpasar Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 09:15 Sukawati Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 19:15 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 09:00 Learmonth Australia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 19:15 Putih Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 09:00 Petanahan Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 19:15 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 19:15 Karangberak Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:30 Petjatu Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 15:30 Cardabia Australia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 13:45 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 13:45 Popoh Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:30 Kabue Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:30 Belowa Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:30 Taoabi Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:30 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Mendaja Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 19:30 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.2
21 Nov 2021 19:30 Tampang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 14:15 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 08:45 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Tanara Indonesia  0.1
21 Nov 2021 19:15 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 09:30 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.1
21 Nov 2021 15:30 Bakau Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 01:15 Domas Indonesia  0.1
21 Nov 2021 15:15 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 10:15 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 04:00 Badjera Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 04:00 Krambitan Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 04:45 Condro Indonesia  0.1
21 Nov 2021 19:30 Belimbing Indonesia  0.1
21 Nov 2021 15:30 Merak Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Batuulo Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 08:30 Boeloelawang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 03:45 Jehembang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 03:45 Pulukan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 08:15 Bendungan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 08:15 Galur Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 08:15 Srandakan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 08:15 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 08:15 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.1
21 Nov 2021 14:15 Bandaragung Indonesia  0.1
21 Nov 2021 14:15 Tjampang Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 04:15 Grajagan Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 04:15 Gradjagan Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 08:30 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 08:30 Panggul Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 04:00 Guying Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 04:00 Sidomukti Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 04:00 Chikalong Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 04:00 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.1
21 Nov 2021 19:15 Plotot Indonesia  0.1
21 Nov 2021 14:15 Marang Indonesia  0.1
21 Nov 2021 14:15 Bandjarnegeri Indonesia  0.1
21 Nov 2021 14:15 Ngaras Indonesia  0.1
21 Nov 2021 14:15 Negeriratoe Indonesia  0.1
21 Nov 2021 14:15 Kotodjawa Indonesia  0.1
21 Nov 2021 14:15 Biha Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 06:30 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 04:00 Lungurdowo Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 04:00 Pudjihardjo Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 04:30 Patjitan Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 08:30 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 08:30 Deliugo Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 08:30 Kalak Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 04:00 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 10:00 Tambaksari Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 07:45 Bande-alit Indonesia  0.1
21 Nov 2021 19:15 Karanghawu Indonesia  0.1
21 Nov 2021 19:15 Tjimadja Indonesia  0.1
21 Nov 2021 19:15 Tjiateul Indonesia  0.1