Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JAWAD-21
Off-shore
02 Dec 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JAWAD-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (02 Dec 19:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 54 km/h 0.2 m 155 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 58 km/h 0.4 m 329 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

58 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Dec 2021 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia176,672 
100-250 mmChina, Nepal, India21,110,760
+
India21,109,330 
Nepal1,363 
China66 
50-100 mmIndia, Nepal, China, Bangladesh, Indonesia43,931,613
+
India43,710,999 
Nepal5,447 
China4,552 
Bangladesh59,367 
Indonesia151,246 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Dec 2021 12:00 400 21.3 million
- - - India, Nepal, China, Bangladesh, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Gyeiktaw, Myanmar. This height is estimated for 02 Dec 2021 19:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Dec 2021 19:15 Gyeiktaw Myanmar  0.2
02 Dec 2021 19:15 Mawyen Myanmar  0.2
02 Dec 2021 17:00 Karen India  0.2
02 Dec 2021 19:15 Kakinada India  0.1
02 Dec 2021 20:30 Payyoli India  0.1
02 Dec 2021 20:30 Quilandi India  0.1
02 Dec 2021 20:30 Talakkolattur India  0.1
02 Dec 2021 20:30 Kozhikode India  0.1
02 Dec 2021 20:15 Beypore India  0.1
02 Dec 2021 18:30 Owa Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 18:30 Thitpon Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 18:30 Kyaukiwe Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 18:30 Kokkabyin Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 20:15 Chaliyam India  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Thabyichaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Nga Thamok Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Kyaungbyin-ok Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:15 Taikkyua Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 20:15 Tirurangadi India  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:30 Aunghlaing Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:30 Polaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:30 Kadonkani Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:30 Yegyawgyi Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Gyibyin Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Temauk Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Shwehle Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:45 Kelambakkam India  0.1
02 Dec 2021 20:00 Tanur India  0.1
02 Dec 2021 18:00 Kyeintali Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 20:15 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
02 Dec 2021 15:30 Durgarajupatnam India  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:15 Magyi-ywa Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 15:00 Therunattam India  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 18:30 Ywathitke Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 18:30 Sittwe Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 18:30 Kangyaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 18:30 Aindin Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 18:30 Pyaingdaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 18:30 Kyaukpyinseik Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 18:30 Myaukpyin Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Amaw Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 16:45 Hngetkyidaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 16:45 Thegondan Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 16:45 Thaunggon Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 16:45 Kyauktan Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 16:45 Mibya Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 16:45 Kala-ywa Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 16:45 Ase-ywa Myanmar  0.1
02 Dec 2021 20:00 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1