Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
01 Feb 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 119 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (01 Feb 05:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 119 km/h 0.9 m 180 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius, Reunion1,237,753
+
Mauritius860,466 
Reunion377,286 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 158 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

889 mm

Up to 540 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmReunion540,570 
50-100 mmMalawi, Tanzania, Zambia, Mauritius, Reunion861,340
+
Malawi259,996 
Tanzania139,779 
Zambia779 
Mauritius140,202 
Reunion320,583 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 131 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 167 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 278 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 286 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 312 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 524 540 thousand
- - - - Malawi, Tanzania, Zambia, Mauritius, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 01 Feb 2022 05:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Feb 2022 05:45 Voloina Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2022 05:45 Manambia Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2022 05:45 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2022 05:45 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2022 05:45 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2022 06:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2022 06:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2022 05:45 Benjana Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2022 05:45 Rantabe Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2022 05:45 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.8
01 Feb 2022 06:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.8
01 Feb 2022 06:00 Fananehana Madagascar  0.7
01 Feb 2022 06:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.7
01 Feb 2022 06:00 Anoromby Madagascar  0.6
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.6
01 Feb 2022 06:00 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.5
01 Feb 2022 05:45 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.5
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.5
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Tampolo Madagascar  0.5
01 Feb 2022 00:15 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.4
01 Feb 2022 00:15 Mananara Madagascar  0.4
01 Feb 2022 00:15 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.4
01 Feb 2022 00:45 Seranambe Madagascar  0.4
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.4
01 Feb 2022 06:00 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.3
01 Feb 2022 06:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 00:45 La Ferme Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 00:45 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 00:15 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Anompaka Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Antanambe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 00:15 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 00:15 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 04:15 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 04:15 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 04:15 Ampaha Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 04:15 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 03:30 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 03:30 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 03:30 Manica Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 03:30 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 01:45 Machesse Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 01:15 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Mahambo Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 03:15 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 03:15 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Antunes Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Beira Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Jonja Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Bingue Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Rupia Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Maheboug Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 03:30 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Maniroka Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 05:15 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 05:15 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 05:15 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 05:15 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 05:15 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Tama Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:15 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:15 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:15 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:15 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:15 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:30 Le Port Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:30 La Possession Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:30 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:30 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:30 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:45 Ambinany Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:45 Antalaha Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 01:00 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 01:00 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:15 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:15 Ambatonjanahary Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:15 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:15 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Vatobe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Manakalana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Ampitily Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:15 Antseranana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:15 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:15 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:15 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 05:00 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 05:00 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 05:00 Marosiky Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 05:00 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 01:00 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 05:30 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 05:30 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 05:30 Sambava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 05:30 Farahalana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 05:30 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Ampanotoamaizina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Tampina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Marofinaritra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Ankarefo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:30 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 00:15 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 00:15 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 00:15 Tanambe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Vatomandry Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Ampitabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 05:45 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:15 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:15 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 02:30 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 02:30 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 02:30 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:30 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:30 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 02:45 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Ampana Kanana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 02:30 Voalavo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 02:15 Marofototra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 02:30 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 05:15 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 05:15 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 05:15 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 05:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 05:00 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 05:00 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 02:00 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 02:00 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 02:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 02:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Maintinandry Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 05:15 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 05:15 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Tataho Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:45 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:15 Andasoa Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:15 Ampondra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:15 Antsahotompy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:15 Amboanio Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:15 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 02:30 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:15 Manambondro Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:15 Amboananto Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:15 Vodivola Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:15 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:15 Bemahala Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:30 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:30 Tsivala Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:30 Manambotra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:30 Farafangana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 00:30 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Ampondrabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Lokia Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Ambodiharina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:45 Mahanoro Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 02:15 Mabsil Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 02:15 Guiducua Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:30 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:30 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:30 Androlavy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Vavony Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Ambodihariha Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 04:00 Taratasy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:30 Kalomalala Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 03:30 Ambila-Lemaitso Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 01:30 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.1