Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
03 Feb 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 184 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (03 Feb 07:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 184 km/h 0.6 m 225 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Feb 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMadagascar, Mauritius, Reunion2,070,598
+
Madagascar1,459,755 
Mauritius36,504 
Reunion574,338 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 01 Feb 2022 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 01 Feb 2022 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 01 Feb 2022 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 02 Feb 2022 00:00 187 -
- - - - - Mauritius
GREEN 26 02 Feb 2022 06:00 198 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
GREEN 27 02 Feb 2022 12:00 187 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
GREEN 28 02 Feb 2022 18:00 205 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
GREEN 29 03 Feb 2022 00:00 216 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
GREEN 30 03 Feb 2022 06:00 194 -
- - - - - Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

889 mm

Up to 6.6 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Feb 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMadagascar, Reunion2,354,609
+
Madagascar1,980,219 
Reunion374,390 
100-250 mmMadagascar, Reunion4,256,078
+
Madagascar3,769,315 
Reunion486,763 
50-100 mmComoros, Madagascar, Mozambique, Malawi, Zimbabwe, Mauritius4,047,996
+
Comoros337,428 
Madagascar3,317,780 
Mozambique24,670 
Malawi352,224 
Zimbabwe28 
Mauritius15,865 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 131 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 167 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 278 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 286 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 312 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 01 Feb 2022 06:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 01 Feb 2022 12:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 01 Feb 2022 18:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 02 Feb 2022 00:00 222 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 02 Feb 2022 06:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 02 Feb 2022 12:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 02 Feb 2022 18:00 241 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 03 Feb 2022 00:00 236 -
- - - - - Reunion
Blue 30 03 Feb 2022 06:00 585 6.6 million
- - - Comoros, Madagascar, Mozambique, Malawi, Zimbabwe, Mauritius, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 03 Feb 2022 07:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Feb 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Voloina Madagascar  0.6
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Manambia Madagascar  0.6
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.6
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.6
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.6
03 Feb 2022 08:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.6
03 Feb 2022 08:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.6
03 Feb 2022 08:00 Benjana Madagascar  0.6
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Rantabe Madagascar  0.5
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.5
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Tampolo Madagascar  0.5
03 Feb 2022 07:30 Fananehana Madagascar  0.4
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Antalavia Madagascar  0.4
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Anoromby Madagascar  0.4
03 Feb 2022 08:00 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.3
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.3
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.3
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.3
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Tampolo Madagascar  0.3
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.3
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Mananara Madagascar  0.3
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.3
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Seranambe Madagascar  0.3
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Manakalana Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Ampasina Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Antakobola Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 08:00 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 08:00 Le Port Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 08:00 La Possession Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 08:00 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 08:00 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:15 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:15 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:15 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 08:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:00 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:00 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Mahambo Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:15 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:15 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:15 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:15 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Tanambe Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Manompana Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Vatobe Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Maniroka Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 06:00 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
03 Feb 2022 06:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:30 Vatomandry Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:30 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:30 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 11:30 Ampitabe Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Manambato Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 07:30 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Antanambe Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:30 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:30 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:30 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:30 Mandrony Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:30 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:30 Anompaka Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:30 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:30 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:30 Andamoty Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:30 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:30 Bevoay Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:30 Maromandia Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:30 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:30 Taratasy Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 07:30 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 07:30 Ampaha Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 07:30 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 07:30 Ambinany Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 07:30 Antalaha Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Manica Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Ambodiharina Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Mahanoro Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:30 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:30 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:30 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 06:30 Saint-Benoit Reunion  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Ampanotoamaizina Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Tampina Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 06:15 Les Avirons Reunion  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Vavony Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 10:00 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:00 Ambinanivolo Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:00 Masomeloka Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:30 Etang Sale Reunion  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Saint-Louis Reunion  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:15 Ambatoharanana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:15 Andrafiamadinika Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:15 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:15 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 07:45 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Ampataka Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Amboboka Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Tsivala Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Saint-Pierre Reunion  0.1
03 Feb 2022 10:30 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 10:30 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 10:30 Sambava Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 10:30 Farahalana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 10:30 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:15 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:30 Ambodihariha Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Tamatave Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Marofinaritra Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Ankarefo Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 06:45 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.1
03 Feb 2022 06:45 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:45 Mendozo Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:45 Magromane Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 10:15 Inhampsi Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 10:15 Contra Costa Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 10:15 Jacob Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 10:15 Chavanine Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Marosiky Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Mahela Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Andranomahitsy Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Ambohitsara Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Antanambao Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Ampondra Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Vohemar Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Amboanio Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 10:00 Gueima Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:15 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Ambila-Lemaitso Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:45 Natalia Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:45 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:30 Maintinandry Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:00 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:00 Jo Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:30 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:30 Itenina Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Manambotra Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:45 Farafangana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:30 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:30 Marofototra Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:30 Voalavo Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 10:45 Marohita Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 10:45 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 10:45 Mananjary Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:30 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:30 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:30 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 11:30 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 09:15 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 10:45 Mahupe Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 10:45 Induna Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 06:00 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.1
03 Feb 2022 12:00 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.1