Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mauritius
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (29 Jan 01:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 90 km/h 0.9 m 190 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 227 km/h 0.8 m 2013 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

227 km/h

Up to 40 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius41,388 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 166 -
- - - - - Mauritius
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMauritius17,335 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 370 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 447 -
- - - - - Mauritius




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 29 Jan 2022 01:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Voloina Madagascar  0.9
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Manambia Madagascar  0.9
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.9
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.9
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.9
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.9
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.9
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Benjana Madagascar  0.9
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Rantabe Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.7
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Tampolo Madagascar  0.7
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Antalavia Madagascar  0.6
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Fananehana Madagascar  0.6
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Anoromby Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 04:30 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 04:30 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 04:30 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 04:30 Mandrony Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 04:30 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 04:30 Anompaka Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 04:30 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 04:30 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 04:30 Andamoty Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 04:30 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 04:30 Bevoay Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 04:30 Maromandia Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Mananara Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Seranambe Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Manakalana Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Antunes Mozambique  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Beira Mozambique  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.3
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Manica Mozambique  0.3
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Tanambe Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Manompana Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Antseranana Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Andasoa Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Vatobe Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Manambato Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.3
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Marovoha Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Ampitily Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Singalana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Antaribao Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 04:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Antanambe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 04:15 Marofototra Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Andohonko Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Antsahalalina Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Andranovondronina Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 03:45 Manampatra Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 03:45 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 04:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 04:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 04:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 04:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 01:15 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 01:15 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Irodo Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampondrabe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Lokia Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Andringahely Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Androlavy Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 04:00 Onara Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 04:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 04:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 04:45 Behavoa Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 04:45 Befamata Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 04:45 Zavo Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 04:45 Lavanono Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 03:45 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 03:45 Manampea Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 03:45 Antsafy Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 04:30 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 02:45 Rupia Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 02:45 Machesse Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Jo Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Ananalava Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 06:00 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 06:00 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 04:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Maniroka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:45 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:45 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:45 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:45 Bevatry Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Carramali Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:45 Meronvi Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:45 Quissengue Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:45 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Ambalanosy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 05:15 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 05:15 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 05:15 Marosiky Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 05:15 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 05:45 Farafangana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 05:45 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Natalia Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 03:45 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 03:45 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:30 Nantapa Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:30 Muaco Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:30 Quinga Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:30 Metula Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Farahalana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Catine Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Ambatonjanahary Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Tataho Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Mandrorohabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 04:30 Bevoalavo Est Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Afonso Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Asneira Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 05:30 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 05:30 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 05:30 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 04:15 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 04:15 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Caulino Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Pebane Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 03:30 La Ferme Mauritius  0.1
29 Jan 2022 03:30 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:30 Ambinanivolo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:30 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:30 Masomeloka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:30 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Mauala Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Arire Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Macalopa Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Ampanakana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Fararano Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Antsorokaka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Antanifatsy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Amado Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:15 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:15 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:15 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:15 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:15 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:15 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:15 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:30 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:30 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:30 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Mipande Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Mucojo Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Foque Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Pangane Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 05:30 Ambatoharanana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 05:30 Andrafiamadinika Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 04:45 Ampalaza Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Mabsil Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Guiducua Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Ambariomena Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Antotoro Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampohana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:00 Gueima Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 03:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Ampatsinakoho Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Ampataka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Amboboka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Sambava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:15 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:15 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Barra Mozambique  0.1