Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KARL-22
in Mexico
11 Oct 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KARL-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (11 Oct 22:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 76 km/h 0.2 m 208 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 86 km/h 0.4 m 392 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

86 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 11 Oct 2022 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico497,360 
50-100 mmMexico2,585,564 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 11 Oct 2022 18:00 936 500 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Anton Lizardo, Mexico. This height is estimated for 11 Oct 2022 22:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Oct 2022 22:30 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 22:30 Salinas Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 22:30 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 22:30 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 20:30 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 20:30 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 22:30 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 21:30 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 21:30 San Pedro Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 21:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Champoton Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 20:30 Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 22:45 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 22:45 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 20:45 Laja Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 21:15 Tamiahua Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 20:15 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 23:30 Paso Real Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Noham Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 21:30 Veracruz Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 20:15 Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
11 Oct 2022 20:15 Tonala Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 20:15 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 20:15 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 20:15 Nautla Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 22:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 22:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 22:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 22:00 Port Isabel United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 22:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 22:00 South Padre Island United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 22:00 Boca Chica United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 20:45 Chiltepec Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 19:45 Conejo Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Campeche Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:00 El Martillo United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:00 Yarborough United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 20:45 El Tular Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Fripp Landing United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Bolon Hall Landing United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Copp Landing United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Riverdale United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Pinckney Landing United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 South Beach Villas United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Greenwood Forest United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Calibogue Cay United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Spanish Wells United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Bay Pines United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Sea Pines Plantation United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Broad River Bluff United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Hickory Bluff United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Shell Point United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Forest Beach United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Hilton Head Island United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Long Cove Plantation United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Burton United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Seabrook Landing United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Battery Marina Village United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Bram Landing United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Palmetto Dunes United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Hilton Head Plantation United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Gator Field United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Parris Island United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Folly Field United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Port Royal United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Fort Fremont United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Scott United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Longwood United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Frogmore United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Colonia Simon Bolivar Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Ejido Lavaderos Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 20:15 El Laurel Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 20:45 El Naranjal Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:15 Maudlowe United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:15 Spanish Village United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:15 Austwell United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:15 Seadrift United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 20:15 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Bennetts Point United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Cedar Reef Villas United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Seabrook United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Edisto Beach United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Edisto Island United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Freedman United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 20:45 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.1
11 Oct 2022 20:45 Belize City Belize  0.1
11 Oct 2022 22:15 Sapelo Island United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 22:15 Raccoon Bluff United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:30 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:30 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:30 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:30 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:00 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:00 Salmoral Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:00 Monkey River Belize  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:00 Alabama Wharf Belize  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:00 Maya Beach Belize  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Neyac Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Valton Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:15 America Nicaragua  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:15 Barra Costa Rica  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:15 Colorado Costa Rica  0.1
11 Oct 2022 19:15 Vega de Alatorre Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 19:15 Emilio Carranza Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:45 Amerisco Nicaragua  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:45 Buena Vista Nicaragua  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:45 Fruta de Pan Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Graytown Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Awastara Nicaragua  0.1
11 Oct 2022 22:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Back Landing United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 High Point United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Saint Simons United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 The Meadows United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla Guatemala  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Piedra Parada Guatemala  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
11 Oct 2022 21:45 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:30 Hoskins United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:30 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:30 Port Morris United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:30 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:30 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:30 Sea Isle United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:30 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
11 Oct 2022 20:45 Gales Point Belize  0.1
11 Oct 2022 20:45 Mullins Belize  0.1
11 Oct 2022 20:45 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 North Beach United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Doyle United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Portland United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Gregory United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1