Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KARL-22
in Mexico
12 Oct 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KARL-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (12 Oct 05:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 61 km/h 0.3 m 150 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 76 km/h 0.5 m 489 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

76 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico26,706 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 11 Oct 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Oct 2022 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico3,101 
100-250 mmMexico, Panama2,245,627
+
Mexico2,238,650 
Panama6,977 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Colombia, Costa Rica, Panama9,929,239
+
United States499,730 
Mexico2,772,163 
Guatemala484,503 
El Salvador42,170 
Nicaragua105,565 
Colombia33,841 
Costa Rica3,312,285 
Panama2,678,977 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 11 Oct 2022 18:00 60 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Oct 2022 00:00 380 2.2 million
- - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Colombia, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Tecomate, Mexico. This height is estimated for 12 Oct 2022 05:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 Oct 2022 05:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
12 Oct 2022 05:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.3
12 Oct 2022 00:30 Champoton Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:30 Haltunchen Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 01:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 01:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 01:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:45 Sabancuy Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:45 Noham Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:30 Balantanche Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:30 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:15 Neyac Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:15 Campeche Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Valton Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 03:15 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 03:15 Salinas Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 03:15 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 03:15 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 02:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 02:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:15 Real de Salinas Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:15 Celestum Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:30 El Mogotillo El Salvador  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:30 El Cacao El Salvador  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:30 La Union El Salvador  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Murucagua Honduras  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Guerrero El Salvador  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:30 El Capulin Honduras  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:30 El Zapote Honduras  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:30 El Ajustillo Honduras  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Puerto Grande Honduras  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:30 El Volcancillo Honduras  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Gualora Honduras  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Las Piletas Honduras  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:30 El Moray Honduras  0.2
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Flake United States  0.2
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Oak Island United States  0.2
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Elmgrove United States  0.2
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Patton United States  0.2
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Caplen United States  0.2
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Gilchrist United States  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:15 Guerrero Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:30 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Kanko Honduras  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Raya Honduras  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Clubki Honduras  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Irlaya Honduras  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Laja Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Hitchcock United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Nadeau United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Texas City United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Virginia Point United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Galveston United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Fort Travis United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 High Island United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:15 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:15 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:15 Graytown Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:15 Awastara Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:15 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:15 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:15 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:15 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:15 Canco Honduras  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:15 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla Guatemala  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Piedra Parada Guatemala  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:45 Smith Point United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:30 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:30 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:30 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:30 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:30 Baranca Belize  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:30 San Juan Guatemala  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:30 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:30 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:30 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:15 Conejo Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:00 Tasbapauni Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:00 Set Net Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:45 Freeport United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:45 Quintana United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:45 Surfside United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:45 Mims United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:45 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Karata Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Huahua Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Lama Laya Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Crucira Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:15 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Wounta Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:15 El Tular Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:00 Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:15 Tonala Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:00 Arrozal Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:45 New Haven Belize  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:45 Monkey River Belize  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:15 Garrote Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:15 La Guayra Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:15 El Cano Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:15 Nombre de Dios Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:15 Viento Frio Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:15 Palenque Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:15 Miramar Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:15 Cuango Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:15 Playa Chiquita Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:15 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:15 San Pedro Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:00 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:45 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:30 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:30 Constance Beach United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:30 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:30 Holly Beach United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Point Comfort United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Indianola United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Olivia United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Weedhaven United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Port Alto United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Carancahua United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:15 America Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:15 Barra Costa Rica  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:15 Colorado Costa Rica  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Amerisco Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Buena Vista Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Fruta de Pan Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Fort Sherman Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Fuerte Sherman Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Cristoba Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Colon Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Rainbow City Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Coco Solo Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Cativa Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Bahia Las Minas Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Sabanita Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Puerto Pilon Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Villa Alondra Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Maria Chiquita Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Marco Antonio Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Guanche Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Iguanita Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Buenaventura Panama  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:15 Peary Place United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:15 El Martillo United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:15 Yarborough United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:30 Cameron United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Belize City Belize  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Limera Honduras  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Balfate Honduras  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Miranda Honduras  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:45 Gulf Park United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:45 Hoskins United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:45 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:45 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:00 North Beach United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:00 Doyle United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:00 Portland United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Alabama Wharf Belize  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Maya Beach Belize  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Sabine United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Sabine Pass United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:45 Kukra Hill Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:45 Haulover Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 00:45 Laguna de Perlas Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:15 El Bluff Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Gales Point Belize  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Mullins Belize  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:15 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:15 Nautla Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:15 El Laurel Mexico  0.1