Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DARIAN-22
Off-shore
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DARIAN-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (02 Jan 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 61 km/h 0.5 m 34 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 209 km/h 0.6 m 926 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

209 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 18 Dec 2022 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Dec 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Dec 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 19 Dec 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 19 Dec 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 19 Dec 2022 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Dec 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 20 Dec 2022 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 20 Dec 2022 06:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 20 Dec 2022 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 20 Dec 2022 18:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 21 Dec 2022 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 21 Dec 2022 06:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 21 Dec 2022 12:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 21 Dec 2022 18:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 22 Dec 2022 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 22 Dec 2022 06:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 22 Dec 2022 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 22 Dec 2022 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 23 Dec 2022 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 23 Dec 2022 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 23 Dec 2022 12:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 23 Dec 2022 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 24 Dec 2022 00:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 24 Dec 2022 06:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 24 Dec 2022 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 24 Dec 2022 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 25 Dec 2022 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 25 Dec 2022 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 25 Dec 2022 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 25 Dec 2022 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 26 Dec 2022 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 26 Dec 2022 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 34 26 Dec 2022 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 35 26 Dec 2022 18:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 36 27 Dec 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 37 27 Dec 2022 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 38 27 Dec 2022 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 39 27 Dec 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 40 28 Dec 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 41 28 Dec 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 42 28 Dec 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 43 28 Dec 2022 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 44 29 Dec 2022 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 45 29 Dec 2022 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 46 29 Dec 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 47 29 Dec 2022 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 48 30 Dec 2022 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 49 30 Dec 2022 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 50 30 Dec 2022 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 51 30 Dec 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 52 31 Dec 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 53 31 Dec 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 54 31 Dec 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia5,551 
50-100 mmIndonesia76,713 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 18 Dec 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Dec 2022 12:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Dec 2022 18:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 19 Dec 2022 00:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 19 Dec 2022 06:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 19 Dec 2022 12:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 19 Dec 2022 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 20 Dec 2022 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 20 Dec 2022 06:00 151 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 20 Dec 2022 12:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 20 Dec 2022 18:00 160 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 21 Dec 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 21 Dec 2022 06:00 184 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 21 Dec 2022 12:00 235 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 21 Dec 2022 18:00 253 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 22 Dec 2022 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 22 Dec 2022 06:00 234 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 22 Dec 2022 12:00 194 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 22 Dec 2022 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 23 Dec 2022 00:00 142 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 23 Dec 2022 06:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 23 Dec 2022 12:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 23 Dec 2022 18:00 203 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 24 Dec 2022 00:00 218 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 24 Dec 2022 06:00 184 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 24 Dec 2022 12:00 232 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 24 Dec 2022 18:00 186 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 25 Dec 2022 00:00 211 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 25 Dec 2022 06:00 167 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 25 Dec 2022 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 25 Dec 2022 18:00 225 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 26 Dec 2022 00:00 192 - - - - - - -
Blue 33 26 Dec 2022 06:00 156 - - - - - - -
Blue 34 26 Dec 2022 12:00 164 - - - - - - -
Blue 35 26 Dec 2022 18:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 36 27 Dec 2022 00:00 109 - - - - - - -
Blue 37 27 Dec 2022 06:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 38 27 Dec 2022 12:00 102 - - - - - - -
Blue 39 27 Dec 2022 18:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 40 28 Dec 2022 00:00 63 - - - - - - -
Blue 41 28 Dec 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 42 28 Dec 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
Blue 43 28 Dec 2022 18:00 56 - - - - - - -
Blue 44 29 Dec 2022 00:00 46 - - - - - - -
Blue 45 29 Dec 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
Blue 46 29 Dec 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
Blue 47 29 Dec 2022 18:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 48 30 Dec 2022 00:00 60 - - - - - - -
Blue 49 30 Dec 2022 06:00 66 - - - - - - -
Blue 50 30 Dec 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
Blue 51 30 Dec 2022 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
Blue 52 31 Dec 2022 00:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 53 31 Dec 2022 06:00 32 - - - - - - -
Blue 54 31 Dec 2022 12:00 224 6 thousand
- - - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Pasirganting, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 02 Jan 2023 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Pasirganting Indonesia  0.5
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Gati Indonesia  0.5
02 Jan 2023 03:45 Pasapuat Indonesia  0.5
02 Jan 2023 03:45 Simagandjo Indonesia  0.5
02 Jan 2023 03:45 Taikaguru Indonesia  0.5
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Airdikit Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Bantal Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Pondoklintang Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Airberau Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Seai Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Beleratsok Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Tapuraukat Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Bahatmonga Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Mapoupou Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Sigoisooinan Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Patdarai Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Silaoinan Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Gigitji Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Beriolou Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Kaliet Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Siberimanua Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Muaraterusanbunga Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 03:45 Katiet Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Pasarsebelah Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Mukomuko Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Ipuh Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Ipun Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Airrami Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Pinempet Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Buriai Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:15 Seblat Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:15 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.4
01 Jan 2023 15:00 Penampung Indonesia  0.4
01 Jan 2023 15:00 Lais Indonesia  0.4
01 Jan 2023 15:00 Baru Indonesia  0.4
01 Jan 2023 15:00 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.4
01 Jan 2023 15:00 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.4
01 Jan 2023 15:00 Kerkap Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Tiop Indonesia  0.4
01 Jan 2023 15:15 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Ketaun Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2023 04:00 Serangai Indonesia  0.4
01 Jan 2023 15:00 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.3
02 Jan 2023 04:15 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.3
02 Jan 2023 04:15 Ngalam Indonesia  0.3
02 Jan 2023 04:15 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.3
02 Jan 2023 04:15 Belowa Indonesia  0.3
02 Jan 2023 04:15 Taoabi Indonesia  0.3
02 Jan 2023 04:30 Sabeugukgung Indonesia  0.3
02 Jan 2023 05:00 Taigebgem Indonesia  0.3
02 Jan 2023 04:30 Kabue Indonesia  0.2
02 Jan 2023 04:30 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2022 22:15 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
31 Dec 2022 22:15 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
02 Jan 2023 05:15 Maileppet Indonesia  0.2
02 Jan 2023 04:30 Bulasat Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2022 13:15 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.2
31 Dec 2022 13:15 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.2
01 Jan 2023 10:15 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.2
02 Jan 2023 00:15 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.2
31 Dec 2022 19:30 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.2
31 Dec 2022 19:30 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.2
31 Dec 2022 21:15 La Ferme Mauritius  0.2
01 Jan 2023 05:30 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.2
31 Dec 2022 20:00 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.2
31 Dec 2022 20:00 Maheboug Mauritius  0.2
02 Jan 2023 16:15 Port Louis Mauritius  0.1