Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MAWAR-23
in Guam
20 May 2023 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAWAR-23 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Micronesia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (20 May 11:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Guam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 68 km/h 0.4 m 179 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 245 km/h 0.6 m 964 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

245 km/h

Up to 3 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 May 2023 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMicronesia2,683 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 May 2023 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 May 2023 06:00 144 -
- - - - - Micronesia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 May 2023 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMicronesia495 
100-250 mmChina, Micronesia, Indonesia328,233
+
China315,868 
Micronesia11,422 
Indonesia942 
50-100 mmChina, Japan, Philippines, Micronesia, Malaysia, Palau, Indonesia26,215,337
+
China22,876,918 
Japan25,771 
Philippines3,161,534 
Micronesia38,121 
Malaysia8,213 
Palau142 
Indonesia104,635 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 May 2023 00:00 153 -
- - - - - Micronesia
Blue 2 20 May 2023 06:00 692 330 thousand
- - - China, Japan, Philippines, Micronesia, Malaysia, Palau, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Concepcion, Philippines. This height is estimated for 20 May 2023 11:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 May 2023 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 May 2023 11:00 Concepcion Philippines  0.4
20 May 2023 11:00 Alabat Philippines  0.4
20 May 2023 11:00 Amontay Philippines  0.4
20 May 2023 11:00 Mascarina Philippines  0.4
20 May 2023 11:00 Apad Philippines  0.4
20 May 2023 11:00 Gumaca Philippines  0.4
20 May 2023 11:00 Argosino Philippines  0.4
20 May 2023 11:00 Lopez Philippines  0.4
20 May 2023 11:00 Calauag Philippines  0.4
20 May 2023 11:00 Calaguikhik Philippines  0.4
20 May 2023 11:00 Atimonan Philippines  0.4
20 May 2023 11:00 Perez Philippines  0.4
20 May 2023 11:00 Cavilla Philippines  0.4
20 May 2023 09:00 Garchitorena Philippines  0.3
20 May 2023 09:00 Adiagnao Philippines  0.3
20 May 2023 09:00 Bagas Philippines  0.3
20 May 2023 09:00 Bitaogan Philippines  0.3
20 May 2023 09:00 Caramoan Philippines  0.3
20 May 2023 09:00 Guijalo Philippines  0.3
20 May 2023 09:00 Bikal Philippines  0.3
20 May 2023 09:00 Pandanan Philippines  0.3
20 May 2023 09:00 Colongcogong Philippines  0.3
20 May 2023 11:00 San Jose Philippines  0.3
20 May 2023 11:00 Cabag Philippines  0.3
20 May 2023 12:00 Feng-p'u-ao China  0.3
20 May 2023 12:00 Ch'iu-wang China  0.3
20 May 2023 12:00 Ch'ing-shui-hu China  0.3
20 May 2023 12:00 Hsieh-fu China  0.3
20 May 2023 12:00 Wantang China  0.3
20 May 2023 12:00 Chen-hai China  0.3
20 May 2023 12:00 Zhenhai China  0.3
20 May 2023 12:00 Shigaotang China  0.3
20 May 2023 12:00 Jiangjia China  0.3
20 May 2023 12:00 Beiqigen China  0.3
20 May 2023 12:00 Ligang China  0.3
20 May 2023 12:00 Beilungang China  0.3
20 May 2023 11:00 Mauban Philippines  0.3
20 May 2023 11:00 Calamias Philippines  0.3
20 May 2023 11:30 Sizhoutou China  0.2
20 May 2023 11:30 Xianxiang China  0.2
20 May 2023 11:30 Sanshan China  0.2
20 May 2023 11:30 Daxu China  0.2
20 May 2023 11:30 Zhuxi China  0.2
20 May 2023 11:30 Qiancang China  0.2
20 May 2023 09:00 Union Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 09:00 Tinambac Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 09:00 San Vicente Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 09:00 Gongonan Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 09:00 Mapid Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 09:00 Balaton Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 11:45 Daniwan China  0.2
20 May 2023 11:45 Xiaoli'ao China  0.2
20 May 2023 11:30 Ch'ai-ch'iao China  0.2
20 May 2023 11:30 Guoju China  0.2
20 May 2023 11:30 Talingting Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 11:30 Apad Lutao Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 11:30 Capuluan Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 10:45 Caluekan Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 12:00 Vinzons Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 12:00 Daet Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 12:00 Talaga Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 12:00 Tagontong Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 12:00 Mambongalon Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 09:15 Dingtang China  0.2
20 May 2023 09:15 Danmen China  0.2
20 May 2023 09:15 Shihphu China  0.2
20 May 2023 08:45 Kasai Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2023 08:45 Pegat Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2023 08:45 Oelingan Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2023 07:00 Barceloneta Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 07:00 Mandao Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 07:00 Barana Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 07:00 Fundado Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 07:00 Karigsa Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 07:00 Calabanga Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 11:30 Buenavista Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 11:30 Matas Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 11:30 Cadgianao Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 11:30 Layagoang Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 09:15 Luomen China  0.2
20 May 2023 09:15 Ta-chan China  0.2
20 May 2023 09:15 P'u-t'o China  0.2
20 May 2023 10:30 Ngalan Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 10:30 Binibitinan Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 10:30 Polillo Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 10:30 Cabungalunan Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 10:30 Magdalo Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 10:30 Abucay Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 10:30 Calutcot Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 10:30 Patnanongan Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 09:45 Djoeata Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2023 09:45 Lingkas Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2023 12:00 Miguel Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 12:00 Tandoc Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 07:15 Magtang Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 07:15 Lamon Philippines  0.2
20 May 2023 08:45 Lipu China  0.2
20 May 2023 08:45 Chien-t'iao China  0.2
20 May 2023 08:45 Dahu China  0.2
20 May 2023 08:45 Ch'ang-chieh China  0.2
20 May 2023 08:45 Hepu China  0.2
20 May 2023 11:15 Chiao-t'ou China  0.2
20 May 2023 08:15 Kpg Kunak Malaysia  0.2
20 May 2023 08:15 Kampong Pangi Malaysia  0.2
20 May 2023 08:45 Nunukan Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2023 10:30 Tarakan Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2023 10:30 Peningki Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Kpg Sapang Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Gago Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Kpg Lihak Lihak Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Kampong Bakong Bakong Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Kampong Kababak Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Silam Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Sepagaya Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Lahad Datu Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 09:30 Da'ao China  0.1
20 May 2023 10:30 Chung-tse China  0.1
20 May 2023 11:45 Tagana-an Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 11:45 Placer Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 11:45 Kinabutan Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 11:45 Gigaquit Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 11:45 Talavera Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 11:45 Claver Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 11:45 Urbistondo Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 11:45 Taganito Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 11:15 Nan'ao China  0.1
20 May 2023 11:15 Ch'en-chia-lu China  0.1
20 May 2023 09:30 Litang China  0.1
20 May 2023 10:15 Adlay Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:15 Sapa Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:15 Carrascal Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:15 Cantilan Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:15 Carmen Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:15 Lanuza Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:15 Sibahay Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:15 Tuburan Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:15 Burgos Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:15 Tigao Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:15 Madrelino Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 08:30 Silawa Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 08:30 Bahru Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Punta Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Balza Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Buguey Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Gonzaga Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Silibukan Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Kilang Balak Bakapit Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 11:30 Valencia Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 08:45 San-chiao-t'ang China  0.1
20 May 2023 07:45 Kpg Sungai Pendak Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 07:45 Kpg Indah Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 07:45 Tawau Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 07:45 Kpg Menbalua Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 07:45 Tandjoengbatoe Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Pamosaingan Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Socorro Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Numancia Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Cabugao Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 San Benito Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 09:00 Banacboc Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Dapa Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 San Isidro Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Pilar Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Caridad Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Pangas Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Binauangan Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Mactang Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 11:45 Paracale Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Sapao Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Beilon Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 09:30 Sichalu China  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Narandong Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Taburan Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 09:30 Shangpan China  0.1
20 May 2023 08:45 Chiu-nan-t'ien China  0.1
20 May 2023 10:00 Daraga Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:00 Legaspi Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:00 Malilipot Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:00 Libog Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:00 San Francisco Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:00 Pili Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:00 Manito Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:00 Pagnanitojan Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:00 Osiao Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:00 Gaba Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:00 Sawanga Bacon Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:00 Sagorong Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:00 Bina Francia Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Bawa Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Cabiraoan Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 11:30 Buenavista Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Pekan Muara Brunei Darussalam  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Sundar Bazaar Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Tianqian China  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Zhelang China  0.1
20 May 2023 06:30 Bagahupi Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 06:30 Bagacay Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 06:30 Palo Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 06:30 Tacloban Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 06:30 Santa Elena Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 06:30 San Antonio Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 06:30 Mongabong Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 06:30 Tanauan Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 06:30 Basey Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 06:30 Nouvelas Oriental Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 06:30 Osmena Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 06:30 Binocyahan Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 06:30 Icting Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 06:30 Marabut Philippines  0.1
20 May 2023 10:30 Bundu Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 10:30 Kampong Kekansa Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 10:30 Kuala Penyu Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 10:30 Binsulok Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 10:30 Kampong Madang Pimping Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Jieshi China  0.1
20 May 2023 08:00 Kampong Wakuba Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 08:00 Kpg Indarasabak Malaysia  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Magong China  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Jizhongtuo China  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Shanwei China  0.1
20 May 2023 12:00 Jiesheng China  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Lingmen China  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Aohuan China  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Dalu China  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Guan'ao China  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Shih-t'ang China  0.1
20 May 2023 08:15 Songmen China  0.1