Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SEAN-23
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SEAN-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (11 Oct 05:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 0.2 m 123 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 119 km/h 1.0 m 533 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

119 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2023 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 11 Oct 2023 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2023 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 11 Oct 2023 00:00 356 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Caledonia, Guyana. This height is estimated for 11 Oct 2023 05:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2023 00:00 UTC
    
Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Oct 2023 05:45 Caledonia Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 05:45 Parika Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 05:45 Leguan I Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 05:45 De Kinderen Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 05:45 Den Amstel Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 05:45 Georgetown Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 De Kinderen Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Perth Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Mahaicony Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Belladrum Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Weldaad Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Number Forty Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Courida Park Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Buxton Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Belfield Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Enmore Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Helena Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Onverwagt Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Fort Wellington Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 06:00 Brighton Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 06:00 Goldspie Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 06:00 Number Forty-six Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 06:00 Leeds Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 06:00 Crabwood Creek Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 06:00 Number Sixty-one Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 06:00 Number 80 Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 06:00 Corriverton Suriname  0.2
11 Oct 2023 06:00 Nieuw Nickerie Suriname  0.2
11 Oct 2023 05:00 Waterloo Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 05:45 Blairmont Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 05:45 Everton Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 05:45 Rosignol Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 05:45 New Amsterdam Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 05:45 Fyrish Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 05:45 Rosehall Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Bounty Hall Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Queenstown Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Taymoutn Manor Place Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Anna Regina Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Hampton Court Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Capoey Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 05:30 Tarlogie Farm Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Suddie Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Marlborough Guyana  0.2
11 Oct 2023 03:15 La Linea Venezuela  0.2
11 Oct 2023 04:15 Hackney Guyana  0.1
11 Oct 2023 05:00 Burnside Suriname  0.1
11 Oct 2023 05:00 Totness Suriname  0.1
11 Oct 2023 05:00 Hamilton Suriname  0.1
11 Oct 2023 06:00 Euca Brazil  0.1
11 Oct 2023 06:00 Aurora Guyana  0.1
11 Oct 2023 06:00 Maria Johanna Guyana  0.1
11 Oct 2023 06:00 Agua Doce Brazil  0.1
11 Oct 2023 05:15 Coppenamepunt Suriname  0.1
11 Oct 2023 06:00 Minerva Brazil  0.1
11 Oct 2023 06:00 Nazare Brazil  0.1
11 Oct 2023 05:15 Langamankondre Suriname  0.1
11 Oct 2023 05:15 Galibi Suriname  0.1
11 Oct 2023 05:15 Les Hattes French Guiana  0.1
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Aouara French Guiana  0.1
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Jenipapo Brazil  0.1
11 Oct 2023 06:00 Maye Brazil  0.1
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Organabo French Guiana  0.1
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Fleche French Guiana  0.1
11 Oct 2023 04:45 Mamaribo French Guiana  0.1
11 Oct 2023 04:00 Cayenne French Guiana  0.1
11 Oct 2023 04:00 Remire French Guiana  0.1
11 Oct 2023 04:00 Montjoly French Guiana  0.1
11 Oct 2023 05:00 Pomona Suriname  0.1
11 Oct 2023 05:00 Camp de Coswine French Guiana  0.1
11 Oct 2023 05:00 Clevia Suriname  0.1
11 Oct 2023 05:00 Nieuw Amsterdam Suriname  0.1
11 Oct 2023 05:00 Geertruidenberg Suriname  0.1
11 Oct 2023 04:00 Roche Brigandin French Guiana  0.1
11 Oct 2023 04:00 Sinnamary French Guiana  0.1