Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for SEAN-23 Off-shore from 11 Oct 2023 03:00 UTC to 16 Oct 2023 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SEAN-23

Off-shore

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SEAN-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	94 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (14 Oct 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	94 km/h	0.4 m	156 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	119 km/h	1.0 m	533 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

119 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2023 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	11 Oct 2023 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	11 Oct 2023 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	11 Oct 2023 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	11 Oct 2023 18:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	12 Oct 2023 00:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	12 Oct 2023 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	12 Oct 2023 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	12 Oct 2023 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	13 Oct 2023 00:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	13 Oct 2023 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	13 Oct 2023 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	13 Oct 2023 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2023 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Guyana	10,540

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	11 Oct 2023 00:00	123	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	11 Oct 2023 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	11 Oct 2023 12:00	147	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	11 Oct 2023 18:00	78	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	12 Oct 2023 00:00	98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	12 Oct 2023 06:00	91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	12 Oct 2023 12:00	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	12 Oct 2023 18:00	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	13 Oct 2023 00:00	84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	13 Oct 2023 06:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	13 Oct 2023 12:00	93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	13 Oct 2023 18:00	231	-		-	-	-	-	-	Guyana

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Tarlogie Farm, Guyana. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2023 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2023 18:00 UTC

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Tarlogie Farm	Guyana	0.4
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Brighton	Guyana	0.4
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Goldspie	Guyana	0.4
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Number Forty-six	Guyana	0.4
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Leeds	Guyana	0.4
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Fyrish	Guyana	0.4
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Rosehall	Guyana	0.4
	13 Oct 2023 19:00	Minerva	Brazil	0.3
	13 Oct 2023 19:00	Agua Doce	Brazil	0.3
	13 Oct 2023 19:00	Nazare	Brazil	0.3
	13 Oct 2023 19:00	Maye	Brazil	0.3
	13 Oct 2023 20:15	Bela Vista	Brazil	0.3
	13 Oct 2023 20:15	Almeriana	Brazil	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Belladrum	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Weldaad	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Number Forty	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Onverwagt	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Fort Wellington	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Waterloo	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Blairmont	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Everton	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Rosignol	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	New Amsterdam	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Burnside	Suriname	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Totness	Suriname	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Hamilton	Suriname	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	De Kinderen	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Perth	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Mahaicony	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Belfield	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Enmore	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Helena	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Nieuw Nickerie	Suriname	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Aouara	French Guiana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Buxton	Guyana	0.3
	13 Oct 2023 20:15	Colonia do Pescadores	Brazil	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Number Sixty-one	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Georgetown	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Courida Park	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Les Hattes	French Guiana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Camp de Coswine	French Guiana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Langamankondre	Suriname	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Galibi	Suriname	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Organabo	French Guiana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Fleche	French Guiana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Mamaribo	French Guiana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Bounty Hall	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Queenstown	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Taymoutn Manor Place	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Anna Regina	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Hampton Court	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Capoey	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Leguan I	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Caledonia	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Coppenamepunt	Suriname	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Suddie	Guyana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	De Kinderen	Guyana	0.3
	13 Oct 2023 23:45	Bellevue	French Guiana	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Pomona	Suriname	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	La Linea	Venezuela	0.3
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Nieuw Amsterdam	Suriname	0.2
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Hackney	Guyana	0.2
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Marlborough	Guyana	0.2
	13 Oct 2023 18:45	Euca	Brazil	0.2
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Clevia	Suriname	0.2
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Geertruidenberg	Suriname	0.2
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Den Amstel	Guyana	0.2
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Iracoubo	French Guiana	0.2
	13 Oct 2023 23:45	Trou Poisson	French Guiana	0.2
	13 Oct 2023 23:45	Roche Brigandin	French Guiana	0.2
	13 Oct 2023 23:45	Sinnamary	French Guiana	0.2
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Parika	Guyana	0.2
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Cayenne	French Guiana	0.2
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Remire	French Guiana	0.2
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Montjoly	French Guiana	0.2
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Jenipapo	Brazil	0.2
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Kourou	French Guiana	0.2
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Crabwood Creek	Guyana	0.2
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Number 80	Guyana	0.2
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Corriverton	Suriname	0.2
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Caussade	French Guiana	0.2
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Tonate	French Guiana	0.2
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Farnous	French Guiana	0.1
	13 Oct 2023 18:00	Bofareira	Cape Verde	0.1
	13 Oct 2023 18:00	Espingueira	Cape Verde	0.1
	13 Oct 2023 18:00	Derrubado	Cape Verde	0.1
	13 Oct 2023 18:00	Fundo de Figueiras	Cape Verde	0.1
	13 Oct 2023 18:00	Cabeco Dos Tarefes	Cape Verde	0.1
	13 Oct 2023 18:00	Gata	Cape Verde	0.1
	13 Oct 2023 23:45	Bridgetown	Barbados	0.1
	13 Oct 2023 23:45	Saint Lawrence Gap	Barbados	0.1
	13 Oct 2023 23:45	Oistins	Barbados	0.1
	13 Oct 2023 23:45	Gibbons	Barbados	0.1
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Speightstown	Barbados	0.1
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Mullins Bay	Barbados	0.1
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Holetown	Barbados	0.1
	14 Oct 2023 00:00	Bathsheba	Barbados	0.1
	13 Oct 2023 23:45	Sam Lord's Castle	Barbados	0.1
	13 Oct 2023 23:45	Collins	Barbados	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.