Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NORMA-23
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORMA-23 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (22 Oct 23:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 101 km/h 0.5 m 149 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 191 km/h 0.5 m 812 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

191 km/h

Up to 320 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Oct 2023 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico320,449 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Oct 2023 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Oct 2023 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Oct 2023 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Oct 2023 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Oct 2023 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 19 Oct 2023 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Oct 2023 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 19 Oct 2023 12:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 19 Oct 2023 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 20 Oct 2023 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 20 Oct 2023 06:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 20 Oct 2023 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 20 Oct 2023 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 21 Oct 2023 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 21 Oct 2023 06:00 155 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 16 21 Oct 2023 12:00 144 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 17 21 Oct 2023 18:00 119 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 18 22 Oct 2023 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 19 22 Oct 2023 06:00 94 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 20 22 Oct 2023 12:00 97 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 21 22 Oct 2023 18:00 115 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Oct 2023 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico779,458 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala4,281,411
+
United States1,685,394 
Mexico1,823,544 
Guatemala772,472 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Oct 2023 18:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Oct 2023 00:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Oct 2023 06:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 18 Oct 2023 12:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Oct 2023 18:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 19 Oct 2023 00:00 186 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 19 Oct 2023 06:00 270 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 19 Oct 2023 12:00 287 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 19 Oct 2023 18:00 285 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 20 Oct 2023 00:00 216 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 20 Oct 2023 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 20 Oct 2023 12:00 200 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 20 Oct 2023 18:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 21 Oct 2023 00:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 21 Oct 2023 06:00 161 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 16 21 Oct 2023 12:00 192 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 17 21 Oct 2023 18:00 106 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 18 22 Oct 2023 00:00 94 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 19 22 Oct 2023 06:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 22 Oct 2023 12:00 240 Few people
- - - - Mexico
Blue 21 22 Oct 2023 18:00 380 780 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in El Castillo, Mexico. This height is estimated for 22 Oct 2023 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Oct 2023 18:00 UTC
    
Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Oct 2023 23:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.5
22 Oct 2023 23:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.5
22 Oct 2023 18:15 La Paz Mexico  0.4
22 Oct 2023 18:15 Rosario Mexico  0.4
22 Oct 2023 21:30 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
22 Oct 2023 22:45 La Boca Mexico  0.3
22 Oct 2023 18:15 Datilito Mexico  0.3
22 Oct 2023 21:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
22 Oct 2023 19:45 La Choya Mexico  0.3
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
22 Oct 2023 18:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.3
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.3
22 Oct 2023 21:15 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 23:45 Altata Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 22:15 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 22:15 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 18:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 18:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2023 00:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 22:30 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 22:15 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 18:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 18:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 18:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 18:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 18:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 22:45 El Roble Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 22:45 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 22:00 Molino Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 22:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 22:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 22:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 22:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 21:45 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 22:30 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 21:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 21:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 18:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 23:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:45 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:45 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:45 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:45 La Majada Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 22:30 Arista Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 22:30 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 22:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 22:30 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 22:15 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 22:15 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 21:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Muir Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Kentfield United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Mill Valley United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Larkspur United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Almonte United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Green Brae United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Marin City United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Strawberry United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Corte Madera United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Sunset District United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Sausalito United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Edgemar United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 San Quentin United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Broadmoor United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Paradise Cay United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Stonestown United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Richmond District United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Daly City United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Westborough United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Tiburon United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Belvedere United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Colma United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Baden United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Little Osaka United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Fort McDowell United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 San Francisco United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Bayshore United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 South San Francisco United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 North Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Brisbane United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Bayview District United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 North Richmond United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Richmond United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 San Pablo United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Stege United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 East Richmond Heights United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 El Cerrito United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Berkeley United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Albany United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 West Oakland United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Emeryville United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Alameda United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Kensington United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:45 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:45 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
22 Oct 2023 22:30 El Barril Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 22:30 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:15 El Tule Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:30 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:30 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:00 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:30 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:30 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:30 Empalme Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:15 Champerico Guatemala  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:15 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:45 Woodville United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:45 Bolinas United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:45 Stinson Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:30 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Mission United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Montecito United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Summerland United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Serena Park United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Carpinteria United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Rincon United States  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Point Comfort United States  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Indianola United States  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Olivia United States  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Weedhaven United States  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Port Alto United States  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Carancahua United States  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 22:45 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:15 Ocos Guatemala  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:30 Shelter Cove United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:30 Moss Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:30 Montara United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:30 Rockaway Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:30 Pacifica United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:30 Princeton United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:30 El Granada United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:30 Miramar United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:30 Accent Homes Mobile Home Park United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:30 Half Moon Bay United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:30 Martins Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:30 Tunitas United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:30 San Gregorio United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:30 Pescadero United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 McNears Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Sears Point United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Nitro United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Tara Hills United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Pinole United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Guadalcanal Village United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 El Sobrante United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Hercules United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Herpoco United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Tormey United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Selby United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Carquinez Heights United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Rodeo United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Vallejo United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:45 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:45 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:45 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:15 Jenner United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:15 Bridgehaven United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:15 Carnet United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Shepards United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Punta United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Burdell United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Terra Linda United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Marinwood United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Gallinas United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Bel Marin Keys United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Black Point United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Santa Venetia United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:15 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 20:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:30 El Chico Guatemala  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:30 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 San Bruno United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:15 Tanforan United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Dillon Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Brazil Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Hamlet United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Nicks Cove United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Lairds Landing United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:00 Ligui Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 19:45 Quinones Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Hillsborough United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 San Mateo United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Hillsdale United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 23:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2023 00:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1