Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for NORMA-23 in Mexico from 17 Oct 2023 21:00 UTC to 23 Oct 2023 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NORMA-23

in Mexico

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORMA-23 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	158 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (19 Oct 10:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	158 km/h	0.3 m	270 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	191 km/h	0.5 m	812 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Oct 2023 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	724,342

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	17 Oct 2023 18:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	18 Oct 2023 00:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	18 Oct 2023 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	18 Oct 2023 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	18 Oct 2023 18:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	19 Oct 2023 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	19 Oct 2023 06:00	166	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

812 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Oct 2023 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Mexico, Guatemala	1,368,882	+
	Mexico	566,806
	Guatemala	802,075

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	17 Oct 2023 18:00	143	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	18 Oct 2023 00:00	146	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	18 Oct 2023 06:00	114	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	18 Oct 2023 12:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	18 Oct 2023 18:00	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	19 Oct 2023 00:00	186	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	19 Oct 2023 06:00	682	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico, Guatemala

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in San Felipe, Mexico. This height is estimated for 19 Oct 2023 10:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Oct 2023 06:00 UTC

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	19 Oct 2023 10:45	San Felipe	Mexico	0.3
	19 Oct 2023 08:45	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.3
	19 Oct 2023 10:15	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.2
	19 Oct 2023 09:15	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	19 Oct 2023 09:15	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	19 Oct 2023 10:15	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.2
	19 Oct 2023 09:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	19 Oct 2023 09:15	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	19 Oct 2023 12:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	19 Oct 2023 06:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	19 Oct 2023 11:00	La Choya	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 11:00	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:45	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:00	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:00	Dimas	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Summerland	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Serena Park	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Franciscan Village	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Carpinteria	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Rincon	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Shepards	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Punta	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Faria	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Dulah	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:45	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:15	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 11:15	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:45	San Buenaventura	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:45	Ventura	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:45	Hollywood By The Sea	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:45	Channel Islands Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:45	Oxnard	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:45	Montecito	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:15	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Muir Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Kentfield	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Tamalpais Valley	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Mill Valley	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Larkspur	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Almonte	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Green Brae	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Marin City	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Strawberry	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Corte Madera	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Sunset District	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Sausalito	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Edgemar	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	San Quentin	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Broadmoor	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Paradise Cay	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Stonestown	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Fort Winfield Scott	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Richmond District	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Daly City	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Westborough	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Tiburon	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Belvedere	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Colma	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Baden	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Little Osaka	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Fort McDowell	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	San Francisco	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Bayshore	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	South San Francisco	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	North Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Brisbane	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Bayview District	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	North Richmond	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Richmond	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	San Pablo	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Stege	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	East Richmond Heights	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	El Cerrito	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Berkeley	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Albany	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	West Oakland	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Emeryville	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Alameda	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Kensington	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Shelter Cove	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Moss Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Montara	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Rockaway Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Princeton	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	El Granada	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Pacifica	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Miramar	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	San Bruno	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Half Moon Bay	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Tanforan	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Millbrae	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Burlingame	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Hillsborough	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 12:00	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:15	Signal Hill	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:15	Belmont Shore	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:15	Surfside	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:15	Seal Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:15	Sunset Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:15	Huntington Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:15	Newport Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:15	Cliff Haven	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:15	Bay Shores	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:15	Balboa	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:15	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 11:45	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 11:45	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Hope Ranch	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Mission	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Del Monte Forest	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Pebble Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Carmel-by-the-Sea	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Pacific Grove	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Carmel	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Monterey	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Del Rey Oaks	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Workfield	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Seaside	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Ord	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Marina	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Moss Landing	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Neponset	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Nashua	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Castroville	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:15	El Sauzal	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:15	Cabo Punta Banda	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:15	Ensenada	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:15	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 11:30	Tecomate	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 11:30	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:15	Rancho Cepeda	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:15	Rancho San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:15	Colonia Camalu	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:00	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:00	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 12:00	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Accent Homes Mobile Home Park	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Martins Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Tunitas	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	San Gregorio	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Pescadero	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 11:45	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Azure Vista	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Ocean Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Fort Rosecrans	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Roseville	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Loma Portal	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	San Diego	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Coronado	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Imperial Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Boal	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:30	Cayucos	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:30	Morro Bay	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:30	Baywood Park	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:30	Port San Luis	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:30	Avila Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:30	Sycamore Springs	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:15	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:15	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:45	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:45	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:15	San Pedro	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:15	Wilmington	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 12:00	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:45	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:45	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 09:00	Rosarito	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:30	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:45	Coromar	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:45	Isla Vista	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:45	Goleta	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 11:00	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:30	San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:30	Monteon	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:30	La Lima	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:15	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:15	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 07:00	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 11:30	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:45	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:30	Capitan	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:30	Naples	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:45	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:30	Tajiguas	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:30	Stinson Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 12:00	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:45	Pismo Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:45	Oceano	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:45	Grover City	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:45	Callender	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 06:30	Lento	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 12:00	Molino	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Terra Linda	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Marinwood	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Gallinas	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Santa Venetia	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	McNears Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Nitro	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Tara Hills	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Pinole	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	El Sobrante	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2023 08:00	Hercules	United States	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.