Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ALETTA-24
in Mexico
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ALETTA-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries United States,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 47 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (05 Jul 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 47 km/h 0.2 m 129 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 104 km/h 1.5 m 335 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

104 km/h

Up to 70 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Jul 2024 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States69,900 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 04 Jul 2024 00:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 04 Jul 2024 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 05 Jul 2024 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 05 Jul 2024 12:00 144 -
- - - - - United States, Other countries
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Jul 2024 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala107,603
+
Mexico14,317 
Guatemala93,286 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala2,368,418
+
United States78,703 
Mexico1,256,453 
Guatemala1,033,260 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 04 Jul 2024 00:00 160 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 04 Jul 2024 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 05 Jul 2024 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 05 Jul 2024 12:00 235 110 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 05 Jul 2024 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Jul 2024 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Jul 2024 22:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
05 Jul 2024 22:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
05 Jul 2024 21:45 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
05 Jul 2024 13:45 La Choya Mexico  0.2
05 Jul 2024 13:45 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
05 Jul 2024 17:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
05 Jul 2024 18:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
05 Jul 2024 18:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 16:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 12:15 Arista Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 12:00 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 12:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 12:15 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 12:15 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 12:15 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 12:15 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 12:15 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 14:00 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
05 Jul 2024 14:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
05 Jul 2024 18:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 14:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 12:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 16:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 16:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 16:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 18:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 15:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 14:00 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
05 Jul 2024 14:00 Champerico Guatemala  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 16:15 Datilito Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 16:15 La Paz Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 16:15 Rosario Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 13:45 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:15 Mulege Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2024 00:00 Vattman United States  0.1
06 Jul 2024 00:00 Loyola Beach United States  0.1
06 Jul 2024 00:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
06 Jul 2024 00:00 La Parra Landing United States  0.1
05 Jul 2024 13:15 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 18:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 18:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 18:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 18:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 23:30 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2024 00:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2024 00:00 La Majada Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 12:15 El Roble Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 18:15 Liliba Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:15 Novillero Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 22:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 18:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:30 Cedros Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 14:15 Ocos Guatemala  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 17:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2024 13:45 El Chico Guatemala  0.1