Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for JOYCE-24 Off-shore from 27 Sep 2024 15:00 UTC to 01 Oct 2024 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for JOYCE-24

Off-shore

29 Sep 2024 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JOYCE-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (29 Sep 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	65 km/h	0.5 m	38 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	119 km/h	0.7 m	604 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

119 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2024 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	27 Sep 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	27 Sep 2024 18:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	28 Sep 2024 00:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	28 Sep 2024 06:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	28 Sep 2024 12:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	28 Sep 2024 18:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	29 Sep 2024 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	29 Sep 2024 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	29 Sep 2024 12:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2024 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	27 Sep 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	27 Sep 2024 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	28 Sep 2024 00:00	470	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	28 Sep 2024 06:00	296	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	28 Sep 2024 12:00	208	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	28 Sep 2024 18:00	407	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	29 Sep 2024 00:00	134	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	29 Sep 2024 06:00	200	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	29 Sep 2024 12:00	572	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Fullarton, Trinidad and Tobago. This height is estimated for 29 Sep 2024 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2024 12:00 UTC

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Fullarton	Trinidad and Tobago	0.5
	29 Sep 2024 15:00	Unare	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 15:00	Puerto Piritu	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	San Francique	Trinidad and Tobago	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	San Pedro de Coche	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	La Uva	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	El Yaque	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	San Antonio	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Guamache	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Porlamar	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Pampatar	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Coromandel Settlement	Trinidad and Tobago	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Irois	Trinidad and Tobago	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Chatham	Trinidad and Tobago	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Point Fortin	Trinidad and Tobago	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Parry Lands	Trinidad and Tobago	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Agua Fria	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	San Juan de las Galdonas	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Yaguaraparo	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	San Juan	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Unare	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Los Bajos	Trinidad and Tobago	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 15:00	El Jose	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Matelot	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Grande Riviere	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Salibea	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Rampanalgas	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Redhead	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	El Tunal	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	San Francisco	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	El Horcon	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Chacachacare	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Punta de Piedras	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Piedras Negras	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	La Guardia	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Nieuw Nickerie	Suriname	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Guiria	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Puerto de Hierro	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Burnside	Suriname	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Irapa	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Soro	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Tarlogie Farm	Guyana	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Brighton	Guyana	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Goldspie	Guyana	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Number Forty-six	Guyana	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Leeds	Guyana	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Number Sixty-one	Guyana	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Manzanillo	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Paraguchi	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:45	Rosehall	Guyana	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 14:45	El Morro de Barcelona	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 14:45	Barcelona	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 14:45	Puerto la Cruz	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 14:45	El Chaure	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Enmore	Guyana	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Helena	Guyana	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	De Kinderen	Guyana	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Perth	Guyana	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Mahaicony	Guyana	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Belladrum	Guyana	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Weldaad	Guyana	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	Aurora	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	Maswa	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	Maria Johanna	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	Caledonia	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	Parika	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	Leguan I	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	De Kinderen	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	Den Amstel	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Blanchisseuse	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Number Forty	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Onverwagt	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Fort Wellington	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:00	Fyrish	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Totness	Suriname	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Hamilton	Suriname	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:00	Waterloo	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:00	Blairmont	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:30	Queenstown	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:30	Taymoutn Manor Place	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:30	Anna Regina	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:30	Suddie	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:30	Capoey	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:30	Crabwood Creek	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:30	Number 80	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:30	Corriverton	Suriname	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:30	Soburojo	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:30	La Linea	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:00	Hackney	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:00	Marlborough	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:00	Bounty Hall	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	Lower Manzanilla	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	Saint Margaret	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	Saint Joseph	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:00	New Amsterdam	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Belfield	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Georgetown	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Courida Park	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Buxton	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	El Guamache	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	Caimancito	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Lower Fishing Pond	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Lowlands	Netherlands Antilles	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Sandy Ground	Guadeloupe	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Marigot	Guadeloupe	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Blowing Point	Anguilla	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Koolbaai	Netherlands Antilles	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Concordia	Guadeloupe	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	St Louis	Guadeloupe	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	The Valley	Anguilla	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Fort Amsterdam	Netherlands Antilles	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Dutch Cul de Sac	Netherlands Antilles	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Grand Case	Guadeloupe	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Colombier	Guadeloupe	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Philipsburg	Netherlands Antilles	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Orleans	Guadeloupe	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Point Blanche	Netherlands Antilles	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Anse Marcel	Guadeloupe	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	French Cul de Sac	Guadeloupe	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Green Cay	Guadeloupe	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Capure	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	Pta de Araya	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	El Rincon	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	Punta Arenas	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	Manicuare	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Hampton Court	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Contant	Virgin Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Adrian	Virgin Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Fish Bay	Virgin Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Belle Vue	British Virgin Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Annaberg	Virgin Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Bordeaux	Virgin Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Calabash Boom	Virgin Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Hermitage	Virgin Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	East End	Virgin Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Road Town	British Virgin Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Pacham Town	British Virgin Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Altagracia	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Jenipapo	Brazil	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:30	Arapo	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:30	Santa Fe	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Morne Diablo	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Pomona	Suriname	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Clevia	Suriname	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Nieuw Amsterdam	Suriname	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:45	Saint-Claude	Guadeloupe	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:45	Baie-Mahault	Guadeloupe	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:45	Capesterre	Guadeloupe	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:45	Pointe-a-Pitre	Guadeloupe	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:00	Plaisance	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:00	California	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:00	San Fernando	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:00	Carapichaima	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:00	Hermitage	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:00	Yaguaracual	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Puerto Escondido	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:00	Soledad	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Spanish Town	British Virgin Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:00	Palencho	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:30	Barbacoas	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Guaca	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Carupano	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Puerto Santo	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	Tajerias	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Cabo Blanco	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	La Esmeralda	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	Cumana	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	El Penon	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	No Alonso	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Cacandee Settlement	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	Robledal	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:30	West End Village	Anguilla	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	Guayaguayare	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Farnous	French Guiana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Cayenne	French Guiana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Remire	French Guiana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Montjoly	French Guiana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Sinnamary	French Guiana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Macuro	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Adelphi	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Neltjeberg	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Cabritaberg	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Barrett	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Charlotte Amalie	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Enighed	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Bellevue	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Mandal	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Bolongo	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Donoe	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Benner	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Mount Pleasant	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Scarborough	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Castara	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Belle Garden	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	La Lune	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Ribeirinha	Portugal	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Madalena	Portugal	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Candelaria	Portugal	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	S. Mateus	Portugal	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Cachorro	Portugal	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	'Companhia de Baixo'	Portugal	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Sao Roque do Pico	Portugal	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Coppenamepunt	Suriname	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	La Retraite	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Coolie Block	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Dibe	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Port-of-Spain	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	La Pastora	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Rio Caribe	Venezuela	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	'Lajes'	Portugal	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	'Castelo Branco'	Portugal	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Cedros	Portugal	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Horta	Portugal	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:45	Les Hattes	French Guiana	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:45	Camp de Coswine	French Guiana	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:45	Aouara	French Guiana	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Las Cuevas	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Lero	Martinique	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Fonds Panier	Martinique	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Hyacinthe	Martinique	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Le Vauclin	Martinique	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	The Settlement	British Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Kourou	French Guiana	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Caussade	French Guiana	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Tonate	French Guiana	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Speyside	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Castries	St. Lucia	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Cap Estate	St. Lucia	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	'Praia do Norte'	Portugal	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	Trou Poisson	French Guiana	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	Roche Brigandin	French Guiana	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	La Pointe-Noire	Guadeloupe	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	Bas Vent	Guadeloupe	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Union	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Calliaqua	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Mustique	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	L'Appelle	Grenada	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	Ashton	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	Engagement Umbrella	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	Canouan	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:45	Saint George's	Grenada	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:45	Argyle	Grenada	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 15:00	Ariota	Venezuela	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	Grande Anse	Guadeloupe	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	Point du Nord	Guadeloupe	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Grenville	Grenada	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	The Lance	Grenada	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Prickley Bay	Grenada	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Victoria	Grenada	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Thebaide	Grenada	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:00	Gustavia	Guadeloupe	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.