Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FOURTEEN-E-24 Off-shore from 06 Nov 2024 15:00 UTC to 07 Nov 2024 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FOURTEEN-E-24

Off-shore

06 Nov 2024 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FOURTEEN-E-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	50 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (06 Nov 16:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	50 km/h	0.1 m	95 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	144 km/h	0.4 m	539 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

144 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2024 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	06 Nov 2024 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

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Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2024 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Honduras, Nicaragua	442,335	+
	Honduras	181,503
	Nicaragua	260,832
50-100 mm	Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua	1,042,345	+
	Guatemala	1,455
	Honduras	389,685
	Nicaragua	651,204

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	06 Nov 2024 12:00	388	440 thousand			-	-	-	-	Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.1m in Santo Domingo, Mexico. This height is estimated for 06 Nov 2024 16:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2024 12:00 UTC

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	06 Nov 2024 16:15	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 16:15	Rio Lagartos	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 16:45	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 16:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 16:15	El Cuyo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 16:15	Chipepte	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 17:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 17:00	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 16:45	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.