Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FOURTEEN-E-24 Off-shore from 06 Nov 2024 15:00 UTC to 07 Nov 2024 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FOURTEEN-E-24

Off-shore

07 Nov 2024 18 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FOURTEEN-E-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	122 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (08 Nov 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	122 km/h	0.2 m	64 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	144 km/h	0.4 m	539 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2024 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	06 Nov 2024 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	06 Nov 2024 18:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	07 Nov 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	07 Nov 2024 06:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	07 Nov 2024 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	07 Nov 2024 18:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

539 mm

Up to 890 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2024 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Honduras, Nicaragua	1,035,288	+
	Honduras	408,511
	Nicaragua	626,777
50-100 mm	Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador	889,762	+
	Honduras	431,971
	Nicaragua	316,101
	El Salvador	141,683
	Other countries	05

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	06 Nov 2024 12:00	95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	06 Nov 2024 18:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	07 Nov 2024 00:00	136	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	07 Nov 2024 06:00	93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	07 Nov 2024 12:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	07 Nov 2024 18:00	436	1 million			-	-	-	-	Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Other countries

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Las Pozas, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 08 Nov 2024 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2024 18:00 UTC

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	08 Nov 2024 00:00	Las Pozas	Nicaragua	0.2
	08 Nov 2024 00:00	El Capulin	Nicaragua	0.2
	08 Nov 2024 00:00	Condega	Honduras	0.2
	08 Nov 2024 00:00	Cedeno	Honduras	0.2
	08 Nov 2024 00:00	Albania	Honduras	0.2
	08 Nov 2024 00:00	Puerto Grande	Honduras	0.2
	08 Nov 2024 00:00	Gualora	Honduras	0.2
	08 Nov 2024 00:00	Las Piletas	Honduras	0.2
	08 Nov 2024 00:00	El Moray	Honduras	0.2
	08 Nov 2024 00:00	Barrancones	Honduras	0.2
	08 Nov 2024 00:00	Buena Vista	Honduras	0.2
	08 Nov 2024 00:00	El Tambor	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 23:45	El Carmen	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:00	El Carmen	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:00	Candelaria	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:00	Salinas Grandes	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:00	Puerto Somoza	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:00	San Jose	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:00	El Amparo	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:00	El Transito	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 21:00	El Mogotillo	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 21:00	El Cacao	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 21:00	La Union	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 21:00	Murucagua	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 21:00	Conchaguita	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 21:00	El Capulin	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 21:00	El Zapote	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 21:00	El Ajustillo	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 21:00	El Volcancillo	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 23:00	Guerrero	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	Mangle Alto	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	Canoguero	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 23:30	Estero del Espino	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 23:30	Campamento	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 23:00	Agua	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 23:00	Huajapan	Mexico	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 23:00	El Roble	Mexico	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	Hacienda La Chepona	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	Balneario El Espino	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	La Periquera	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 23:00	El Tanque	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	El Puente	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	La Chacara	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:15	El Tinco	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:15	Salamina	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:15	Poneloya	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 23:30	Isla de Mendez	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 23:30	El Espiritu Santo	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 23:30	Corral de Mulas	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:15	San Juan	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	San Francisco del Mar	Mexico	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	La Majada	Mexico	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:00	Linda Vista	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:00	Puerto el Barquito	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 23:00	Conchaguita	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 23:00	Boqueron	Mexico	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 23:00	Pasito de la Senora	Mexico	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	Venecia	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	Jiquilillo	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	Santo Tomas	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	Petacaltepe	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:00	Cangrejera	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:00	Canton Pimiental	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:00	La Herradura	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:00	El Zapote	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	Aposentillo	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	El Fortin	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 23:00	Cachimba	Mexico	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	Fatima	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	La Concepion	Mexico	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:15	El Realejo	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 23:00	Pesqueria	Mexico	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 23:00	San Dionisio del Mar	Mexico	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	Arista	Mexico	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	Buenavista	Mexico	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	Solo Dios	Mexico	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	San Pedro	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	Barra de la Gabina	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	Las Champas	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	Barra de Santiago	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:00	San Diego	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:15	El Nispero	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:15	Hacienda Taquillo	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:15	El Sunzal	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:15	La Libertad	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 23:00	Barra de San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	Buenos Aires	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	Metalio	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 23:00	Santa Maria Xandani	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 23:00	Costa Rica	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	Puerto de San Benito	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	Ocos	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	Acajutla	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	Los Cobanos	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:15	San Jose Rama Blanca	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:15	Sipacate	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:15	El Naranjo	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:15	La Barrita	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 18:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 18:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	La Verde	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	El Tulate	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	Tahuesco	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	Nueva Venecia	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	Huitzitzil	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 23:15	Barra Madre Vieja	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 23:15	Tecojate	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:00	San Jose	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:00	Iztapa	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 23:00	Salina Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 23:00	Lagarto	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:15	Acachapa	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	Astillero	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:45	El Chico	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:30	Agua Dulce	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 23:15	Papaturro	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 23:15	La Candelaria	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 23:00	Acapan	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 23:00	Champerico	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:00	El Pumpo	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 22:00	La Avellana	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 18:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 23:15	Majada Villalobos	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 18:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 23:45	La Gloria	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 23:45	Chaparral	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 23:15	Garrapateras	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.