Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for LUANA-26
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUANA-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.2 m (24 Jan 07:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 108 km/h 2.2 m 126 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 108 km/h 2.2 m 349 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

108 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Jan 2026 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia25,642
+
Australia25,629 
Other countries12 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Jan 2026 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Jan 2026 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Jan 2026 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Jan 2026 18:00 104 -
- - - - - Australia, Other countries
GREEN 5 24 Jan 2026 00:00 108 -
- - - - - Australia, Other countries
GREEN 6 24 Jan 2026 06:00 115 -
- - - - - Australia, Other countries
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Jan 2026 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmAustralia591 
100-250 mmAustralia21,634 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Christmas Island, Australia2,427,398
+
Indonesia2,400,377 
Other countries17 
Christmas Island3,582 
Australia23,420 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Jan 2026 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Jan 2026 06:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Jan 2026 12:00 136 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 4 23 Jan 2026 18:00 92 -
- - - - - Australia, Other countries
Blue 5 24 Jan 2026 00:00 82 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 6 24 Jan 2026 06:00 322 20 thousand
- - - Indonesia, Other countries, Christmas Island, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

2.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.2m in Derby, Australia. This height is estimated for 24 Jan 2026 07:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Jan 2026 06:00 UTC
    
Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Jan 2026 07:15 Derby Australia  2.2
24 Jan 2026 17:15 Derby Australia  1.9
24 Jan 2026 06:00 Pender Australia  1.1
24 Jan 2026 06:00 Kollan I Australia  0.7
27 Jan 2026 05:00 Bing Bong Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2026 01:45 Kotad Indonesia  0.4
25 Jan 2026 12:45 Thundulda Australia  0.4
26 Jan 2026 13:00 Venus Bay Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 13:00 Port Kenny Australia  0.3
25 Jan 2026 01:15 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.3
25 Jan 2026 01:15 Alakoe Indonesia  0.3
25 Jan 2026 01:15 Alatepi Indonesia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 07:45 Soeam Indonesia  0.3
25 Jan 2026 01:30 Okaba Indonesia  0.3
25 Jan 2026 12:45 Eyre Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Numbulwar Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 15:15 Haslam Australia  0.3
25 Jan 2026 01:45 Kobiem Indonesia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 13:15 Denial Bay Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 13:15 Thevenard Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 13:15 Ceduna Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 07:45 Heits Indonesia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 03:00 Caburinga Village Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Alyangula Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 13:00 Laura Bay Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 13:00 Smoky Bay Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 14:15 Streaky Bay Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 00:15 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 00:15 Wamal Indonesia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 00:15 Gelib Indonesia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 00:15 Dokib Indonesia  0.3
25 Jan 2026 02:30 Binningup Australia  0.3
25 Jan 2026 02:30 Myalup Australia  0.3
25 Jan 2026 02:30 Burragenup Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 21:30 Welab Indonesia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 02:15 Gove Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 02:15 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 02:15 Yirrkala Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 19:30 Dodalim Indonesia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 19:30 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 19:30 Papisote Indonesia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 02:00 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 22:15 Komoran Indonesia  0.3
25 Jan 2026 17:15 Larrakeyah Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 17:15 Fannie Bay Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 17:15 Parap Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 17:15 Darwin Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 17:15 Nightcliff Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 17:15 Ludmilla Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 17:15 Bagot Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 17:15 Leanyer Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 17:15 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 17:15 Berrimah Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 07:15 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 23:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 22:00 Thangoo Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 23:30 Selemit Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 23:30 Konerau Indonesia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 17:00 The Palms Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 21:30 Broome Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 23:45 Wan Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 10:30 Pardoo Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 13:00 Sceale Bay Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 13:00 Toorna Park Australia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 00:30 Tor Indonesia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 00:30 Kladar Indonesia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 00:30 Sabon Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 04:15 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 06:45 Port Hedland Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 06:45 Wedgefield Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 08:15 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 04:45 Per Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 04:45 Amborip Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 04:45 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 04:45 Jow Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 04:30 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 06:30 Birab Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 08:15 Waterbank Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 02:30 Falcon Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 14:15 Fowlers Bay Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 08:45 Setiroek Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 10:15 Condon Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 06:00 Dampier Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 06:00 Karratha Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 18:00 Safety Bay Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 18:00 Mandurah Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 18:00 Warnbro Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 18:00 Peelhurst Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 18:00 Singleton Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 18:00 Karnup Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 08:45 East Lewis I Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 06:15 Wickham Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 03:00 Jofar Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 03:00 Agats Indonesia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 09:30 Soengaiamang Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 18:00 Rockingham Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 06:45 Point Samson Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 06:45 Cossack Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 10:45 Mullalloo Beach Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 10:45 Fremantle Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 10:45 North Beach Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 10:45 North Fremantle Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 10:45 Scarborough Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 10:45 Mosman Park Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 10:45 Cottesloe Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 10:45 East Fremantle Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 10:45 Peppermint Grove Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 10:45 Swanbourne Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 10:45 Claremont Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 10:45 Spearwood Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 10:45 Bicton Australia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 10:00 Sabui Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 22:45 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 22:45 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 22:45 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 22:45 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 22:45 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 22:45 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 22:45 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 22:45 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 22:45 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 17:45 Wattleup Australia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 08:15 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 17:45 Coogee Australia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 04:45 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Oetefoe-besar Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Besdale Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Akle Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Silain Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Oetefoe-ketjil Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Butuinan Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Hala Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Oeboeah Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Oisina Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Tablolong Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Hansisi Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Naioni Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Tenau Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Tuakdale Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Manoelairoti Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Namosain Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Kupang Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Maoelafa Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Sekalac Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 05:00 Semisir Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 05:00 Salinau Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 05:00 Semaras Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 04:00 Pematangdoerian Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 04:00 Tandjungserdang Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 01:30 Amamapare Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:00 Masara Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:00 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:00 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:00 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:00 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:00 Bonea Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:15 Pamandali Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:15 Rumba Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 08:45 Mardie Australia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:15 Toroboeloe Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:15 Lakara Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:15 Tinangea Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 10:45 Loentji Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 10:45 Koealasapo Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 04:45 Boenati Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 11:45 Wansabari Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Buraen Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Manikin Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 05:45 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 05:45 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 05:45 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 04:45 Langadai Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 04:45 Senaking Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 04:30 Okaoka Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:15 Roliai Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 17:00 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 12:45 Salebe Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 12:45 Modan Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 02:00 Ndapurutiri Indonesia  0.1