Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for LUANA-26
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUANA-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.7 m (24 Jan 18:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 104 km/h 1.7 m 108 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 108 km/h 2.2 m 349 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

108 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Jan 2026 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia25,456
+
Australia25,443 
Other countries12 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Jan 2026 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Jan 2026 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Jan 2026 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Jan 2026 18:00 104 -
- - - - - Australia, Other countries
GREEN 5 24 Jan 2026 00:00 108 -
- - - - - Australia, Other countries
GREEN 6 24 Jan 2026 06:00 108 -
- - - - - Australia, Other countries
GREEN 7 24 Jan 2026 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Australia, Other countries
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Jan 2026 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmAustralia14 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Australia194,524
+
Indonesia49,512 
Australia145,012 
50-100 mmIndonesia, East Timor, Christmas Island, Australia7,541,976
+
Indonesia7,433,612 
Other countries17 
East Timor56,483 
Christmas Island3,582 
Australia48,280 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Jan 2026 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Jan 2026 06:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Jan 2026 12:00 136 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 4 23 Jan 2026 18:00 92 -
- - - - - Australia, Other countries
Blue 5 24 Jan 2026 00:00 82 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 6 24 Jan 2026 06:00 126 Few people
- - - - Australia
Blue 7 24 Jan 2026 12:00 312 190 thousand
- - - Indonesia, Other countries, East Timor, Christmas Island, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.7m in Derby, Australia. This height is estimated for 24 Jan 2026 18:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Jan 2026 12:00 UTC
    
Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Jan 2026 18:15 Derby Australia  1.7
24 Jan 2026 12:15 Derby Australia  1.3
24 Jan 2026 12:00 Pender Australia  0.7
25 Jan 2026 00:15 Kotad Indonesia  0.4
25 Jan 2026 00:15 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.4
25 Jan 2026 00:15 Alakoe Indonesia  0.4
25 Jan 2026 00:15 Alatepi Indonesia  0.4
25 Jan 2026 00:45 Okaba Indonesia  0.4
25 Jan 2026 00:30 Kobiem Indonesia  0.4
25 Jan 2026 14:30 Thundulda Australia  0.4
27 Jan 2026 08:00 Bing Bong Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2026 14:30 Eyre Australia  0.4
26 Jan 2026 22:30 Welab Indonesia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 22:45 Papisote Indonesia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 06:15 Numbulwar Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 12:00 Larrakeyah Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 12:00 Fannie Bay Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 12:00 Parap Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 12:00 Darwin Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 12:00 Nightcliff Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 12:00 Ludmilla Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 12:00 Bagot Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 12:00 Leanyer Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 12:00 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 12:00 Berrimah Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 07:30 Alyangula Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 12:00 The Palms Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 22:00 Gelib Indonesia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 22:00 Dokib Indonesia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 20:30 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 20:30 Wamal Indonesia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 23:00 Dodalim Indonesia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 23:00 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.3
24 Jan 2026 12:00 Kollan I Australia  0.3
25 Jan 2026 02:30 Binningup Australia  0.3
25 Jan 2026 02:30 Myalup Australia  0.3
25 Jan 2026 02:30 Burragenup Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 00:15 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 00:15 Yirrkala Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 16:15 Venus Bay Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 16:15 Port Kenny Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 22:15 Komoran Indonesia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 00:15 Gove Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 00:15 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 01:15 Denial Bay Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 08:30 Caburinga Village Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 08:45 Soeam Indonesia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 15:30 Thevenard Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 15:30 Ceduna Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 15:30 Haslam Australia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 01:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 15:30 Streaky Bay Australia  0.3
26 Jan 2026 09:30 Heits Indonesia  0.3
27 Jan 2026 01:00 Selemit Indonesia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 01:00 Wan Indonesia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 01:00 Konerau Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 15:30 Laura Bay Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 15:30 Smoky Bay Australia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 00:45 Tor Indonesia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 00:45 Kladar Indonesia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 00:45 Sabon Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 09:15 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 05:00 Broome Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 05:00 Thangoo Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 15:45 Sceale Bay Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 15:45 Toorna Park Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 08:30 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 10:45 Jofar Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 10:45 Per Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 10:45 Agats Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 10:45 Amborip Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 09:30 Birab Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 08:45 Jow Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 08:45 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 02:30 Falcon Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 14:15 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 14:15 Waterbank Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 18:00 Safety Bay Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 18:00 Mandurah Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 18:00 Warnbro Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 18:00 Peelhurst Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 18:00 Singleton Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 18:00 Karnup Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 08:45 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 19:00 Fowlers Bay Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 18:00 Rockingham Australia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 09:00 Setiroek Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 10:45 Soengaiamang Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 17:30 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 17:30 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 17:30 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 13:45 Point Samson Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 13:45 Cossack Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 13:45 Mullalloo Beach Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 13:45 Fremantle Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 13:45 North Beach Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 13:45 North Fremantle Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 13:45 Scarborough Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 13:45 Mosman Park Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 13:45 Cottesloe Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 13:45 East Fremantle Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 13:45 Peppermint Grove Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 13:45 Swanbourne Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 13:45 Claremont Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 13:45 Spearwood Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 13:45 Bicton Australia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 17:30 Bapuju Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 17:30 Bahaur Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 14:00 Coogee Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 14:00 Wattleup Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Oetefoe-besar Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Besdale Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Akle Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Silain Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Oetefoe-ketjil Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Butuinan Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Hala Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Oeboeah Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Oisina Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Tablolong Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Hansisi Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Naioni Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Tenau Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Tuakdale Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Manoelairoti Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Namosain Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Kupang Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Maoelafa Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Sekalac Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:00 Masara Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:00 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:00 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:00 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:00 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:00 Bonea Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:00 Pamandali Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:00 Rumba Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:15 Toroboeloe Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 06:15 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 06:15 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 06:15 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 06:15 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 06:15 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 06:15 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 06:15 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 06:15 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 06:15 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 05:00 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 05:00 Pematangdoerian Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 05:00 Semisir Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 05:00 Tandjungserdang Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 05:00 Salinau Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:15 Lakara Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 12:15 Tinangea Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 18:00 Tabanio Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 07:30 Amamapare Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 11:00 Sabui Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 05:00 Semaras Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 13:15 Wickham Australia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 11:30 Wansabari Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 17:45 Pagetan Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 17:45 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 15:15 Longar Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 15:15 Baimoeh Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 15:15 Gomo Gomo Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Buraen Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Manikin Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 04:45 Langadai Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 04:45 Senaking Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 14:30 Dampier Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 14:30 Karratha Australia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 11:30 Roliai Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 15:30 Pono Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 15:30 Kobadangar Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 15:30 Masian Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 04:45 Boenati Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 15:45 Krei-lama Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 15:45 Krai Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 16:15 Diommon Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 16:15 Doka Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 16:15 Oud Krai Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 08:15 Ndapurutiri Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 07:45 Keawkwa Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 07:45 Timuka Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 05:00 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 12:45 Salebe Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 12:45 Modan Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 08:30 Kekatang Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 08:30 Menango Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 08:30 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 08:30 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 08:30 Tarahan Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 10:45 Loentji Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2026 10:45 Koealasapo Indonesia  0.1