Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for GENEVIEVE-26
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GENEVIEVE-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 198 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (27 Jul 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 198 km/h 0.3 m 171 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 212 km/h 0.8 m 445 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jul 2026 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico7,593 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Jul 2026 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 24 Jul 2026 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Jul 2026 00:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 4 25 Jul 2026 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 25 Jul 2026 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 25 Jul 2026 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Jul 2026 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 26 Jul 2026 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 26 Jul 2026 12:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 26 Jul 2026 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 27 Jul 2026 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 27 Jul 2026 06:00 198 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

445 mm

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jul 2026 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico25,448 
50-100 mmMexico4,124,412 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Jul 2026 12:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 24 Jul 2026 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Jul 2026 00:00 150 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 25 Jul 2026 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 25 Jul 2026 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 25 Jul 2026 18:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Jul 2026 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 26 Jul 2026 06:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 26 Jul 2026 12:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 26 Jul 2026 18:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 27 Jul 2026 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 27 Jul 2026 06:00 458 30 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 27 Jul 2026 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Jul 2026 06:00 UTC
    
Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Jul 2026 08:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
27 Jul 2026 07:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
27 Jul 2026 08:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Franciscan Village United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Carpinteria United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Rincon United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Shepards United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Punta United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Faria United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Dulah United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:15 San Buenaventura United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Ventura United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Cedros Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 La Choya Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Molino Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 El Sauzal Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Ensenada Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:45 El Roble Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:45 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 08:15 Summerland United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 08:15 Serena Park United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:30 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:30 Coronado United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:30 Imperial Beach United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:30 Boal United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:30 Rosarito Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Erendria Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:15 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:15 Oxnard United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 08:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 08:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 08:15 Arista Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 08:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 08:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:30 Azure Vista United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:30 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:30 Roseville United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:30 San Diego United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:30 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Rolling Hills United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 San Pedro United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Wilmington United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Signal Hill United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Belmont Shore United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Surfside United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Seal Beach United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Sunset Beach United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 08:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Mission United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Montecito United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Malibu United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Monte Nido United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Las Flores United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Castellammare United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Pacific Palisades United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Santa Monica United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Sawtelle United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Marina del Rey United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Playa del Rey United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Alsace United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 El Segundo United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Manhattan Beach United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Hermosa Beach United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Clifton United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Redondo Beach United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:30 La Majada Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 07:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 08:15 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 08:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Constance Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 08:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Sycamore United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Solromar United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Malibu West United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Point Dume United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Malibu Vista United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Coromar United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Isla Vista United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Goleta United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:15 Two Harbors United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:15 Avalon United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:30 Sabine United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:30 Sabine Pass United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Ligui Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:15 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Mission Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Loma Portal United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 El Nido United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Malibu Bowl United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 11:45 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:00 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 08:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 08:00 Concepcion United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 08:00 San Augustine United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 08:00 Sacate United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 08:00 Las Cruces United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 08:00 Gaviota United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 08:00 Lento United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:45 Naples United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Newport Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Bay Shores United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Balboa United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:30 Tajiguas United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:30 Capitan United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 El Descanso Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Corona del Mar United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Crystal Cove United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 San Joaquin Hills United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Emerald Bay United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Laguna Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Canyon Acres United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Top of the World United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 South Laguna United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 08:00 Sudden United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 08:00 Jalama United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 09:00 Flake United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 09:00 Oak Island United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 09:00 Elmgrove United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 09:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 09:00 Patton United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 09:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 09:00 Caplen United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 09:00 Gilchrist United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 09:30 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 Capistrano Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 La Jolla United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 The Muirlands United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Easter Cross United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:15 La Mision Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:15 Encino Solo Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:00 San Clemente United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Agra United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Las Flores United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Sorrento United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Leucadia United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Encinitas United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Cardiff-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Solana Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Green Valley Mobile Estates United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Del Mar United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 08:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 08:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:30 High Island United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 08:30 La Playa Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Stuart United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Fallbrook Junction United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Camp Pendleton South United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Escondido Junction United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Oceanside United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:45 Ponto United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Liliba Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:00 Carlsbad United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 09:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 09:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:15 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:15 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 08:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 08:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 08:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 08:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 07:15 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1