Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for KARINA-26
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KARINA-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 151 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (02 Sep 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 151 km/h 0.7 m 210 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 158 km/h 1.2 m 376 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Sep 2026 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Aug 2026 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Aug 2026 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 Aug 2026 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 Aug 2026 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 29 Aug 2026 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 29 Aug 2026 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 30 Aug 2026 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 30 Aug 2026 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 31 Aug 2026 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 31 Aug 2026 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Sep 2026 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 01 Sep 2026 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Sep 2026 00:00 191 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

376 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Sep 2026 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico, United States111,024
+
Mexico97,340 
United States13,683 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Aug 2026 00:00 260 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Aug 2026 12:00 221 Few people
- - - - Kiribati
Blue 3 28 Aug 2026 00:00 270 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 28 Aug 2026 12:00 199 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 29 Aug 2026 00:00 291 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 29 Aug 2026 12:00 415 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 30 Aug 2026 00:00 252 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 30 Aug 2026 12:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 31 Aug 2026 00:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 31 Aug 2026 12:00 281 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 11 01 Sep 2026 00:00 308 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 01 Sep 2026 12:00 321 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Sep 2026 00:00 440 -
- - - - - Mexico, United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 02 Sep 2026 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Sep 2026 00:00 UTC
    
Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Sep 2026 00:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.7
02 Sep 2026 00:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.6
02 Sep 2026 00:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.6
02 Sep 2026 00:00 La Choya Mexico  0.4
02 Sep 2026 00:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.4
02 Sep 2026 10:30 El Sauzal Mexico  0.4
02 Sep 2026 10:30 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.4
02 Sep 2026 10:30 Ensenada Mexico  0.4
02 Sep 2026 00:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.3
02 Sep 2026 10:45 Encino Solo Mexico  0.3
02 Sep 2026 00:15 Molino Mexico  0.3
02 Sep 2026 00:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.3
02 Sep 2026 00:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
02 Sep 2026 01:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.3
02 Sep 2026 01:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.3
02 Sep 2026 02:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 03:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 03:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 08:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 03:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 03:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 00:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 03:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:30 Dimas Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:45 El Barril Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Marconi United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Kahuku United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Laie United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Hauula United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Punaluu United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Waikane United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Kaaawa United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Kahana United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Kahaluu United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Ahuimanu United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Heeia United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Kaneohe United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Kaneohe Station United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 03:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 11:00 Haleiwa United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 11:00 Kamooloa United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 11:00 Kawailoa Camp United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 11:00 Kawailoa Beach United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 11:00 Waimea United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 11:00 Sunset Beach United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 11:00 Pupukea United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 11:00 Waialee United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 11:00 Kawela Bay United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:45 Erendria Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 09:45 Umipaa United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 09:45 Kaunakakai United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 09:45 Moku United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 09:45 Kamalo United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 09:45 Kaluaaha United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 09:45 Keomuku United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 09:45 Ualapue United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 09:45 Pukoo United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 03:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 08:15 Halena United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 08:15 Wahilauhue United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 08:15 Kepuhi United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 08:15 Mauna Loa United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 08:15 Moomomi United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 08:15 Hoolehua United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 08:15 Kualapuu United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 03:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 04:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 03:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 03:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:45 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 10:45 Kalaupapa United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 10:45 Waialua United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 10:45 Halawa United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:30 Altata Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:45 Empalme Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 00:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 03:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 04:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 04:00 Playa Azul Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 10:30 Puunene United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 10:30 Village Eight United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 10:30 Hawaiian Village United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 10:30 Paia United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 10:30 Haiku United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 10:30 Pauwela United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 10:30 Ulumalu United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 10:30 Kailua United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 10:30 Wailua United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 09:30 Maalaea United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 09:30 Kihei United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 09:30 Keawakapu United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 09:30 Makena United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 09:30 Keoneoio United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 09:30 Ulupalakua United States  0.2
02 Sep 2026 03:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 03:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:45 San Jose Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:45 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:45 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 01:00 Barron Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 03:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2026 02:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:15 Liliba Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 01:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 01:15 Cedros Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 01:00 Waieli United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 01:00 Mana United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 01:00 Kalalau United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 01:00 Haena United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 01:00 Wainiha United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:00 Ligui Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 09:45 Halawa United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 09:45 Halawa Heights United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 09:45 Aliamanu United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 09:45 Fort Shafter United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 09:45 Maunawili United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 09:45 Kailua United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 09:45 Lanikai United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 04:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 04:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 04:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:00 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:00 Santiago Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:00 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 08:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 00:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 00:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:30 Kaanapali United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:30 Puukolii United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:30 Lahaina United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:30 Crater Village United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:30 Honokahua United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:30 Mahinahina Camp United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:30 Kapalua United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:30 Kahakuloa United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:30 Waihee United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:30 Wailuku United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:30 Kahului United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 01:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:00 Quinones Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 11:00 Olowalu United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Kaupulehu United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Kiholo United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Weliweli United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Anaehoomalu United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Puako United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Waikoloa Village United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:00 Kawaihae United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 09:00 Hyashi Village United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Hanalei United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Princeville United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Kilauea United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Kealia United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Moloaa United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Kapaa United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Anahola United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Kumukumu United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:00 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:00 Joluta Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:15 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 08:15 Nahiku United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 05:30 El Real Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 05:30 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 05:30 Apisa Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:15 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 08:45 Napari Kiribati  0.1
02 Sep 2026 08:45 Weston Point Kiribati  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:45 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 09:30 Honolulu United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 09:30 Aina Haina United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 09:30 Waimanalo United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 09:30 Maunalua United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 03:45 La Lima Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:00 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:00 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:45 Mahukona United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:45 Hawi United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:45 Kapaau United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:45 Halaula United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:45 Makapala United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:45 Niulii United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 01:45 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:00 Ninole United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:00 Hakalau United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:00 Honomu United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:00 Pepeekeo United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:00 Wainaku United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:00 Papaikou United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:00 Paukaa United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:00 Hilo United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 11:00 Mahaiula United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 01:45 La Playa Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 08:45 Chola Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:15 Paauilo United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:15 Kukaiau United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:15 Ookala United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:15 Laupahoehoe United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:15 Papaaloa United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 10:15 Weloka United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 08:15 Makaha Valley United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 08:15 Mokuleia United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 08:15 Dillingham Ranch United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 08:15 Waialua United States  0.1
02 Sep 2026 02:15 Pizota Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:45 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2026 07:45 San Telmo Mexico  0.1