Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MARIE-26
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIE-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (05 Sep 01:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 126 km/h 0.4 m 213 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 72 km/h 0.5 m 673 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 05 Sep 2026 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 31 Aug 2026 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Sep 2026 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Sep 2026 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Sep 2026 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 02 Sep 2026 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Sep 2026 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 03 Sep 2026 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 04 Sep 2026 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 04 Sep 2026 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 05 Sep 2026 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

673 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Sep 2026 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico939,406 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 31 Aug 2026 12:00 281 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 01 Sep 2026 00:00 283 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Sep 2026 12:00 221 10 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 4 02 Sep 2026 00:00 199 1 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 5 02 Sep 2026 12:00 186 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 6 03 Sep 2026 00:00 158 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 7 03 Sep 2026 12:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 04 Sep 2026 00:00 285 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 04 Sep 2026 12:00 539 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 05 Sep 2026 00:00 346 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Buenaventura, Mexico. This height is estimated for 05 Sep 2026 01:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Sep 2026 00:00 UTC
    
Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Sep 2026 01:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.4
05 Sep 2026 01:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.4
05 Sep 2026 02:15 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
05 Sep 2026 06:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
05 Sep 2026 05:45 La Playa Mexico  0.3
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
05 Sep 2026 06:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.3
05 Sep 2026 00:30 La Choya Mexico  0.3
05 Sep 2026 00:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
05 Sep 2026 01:15 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
05 Sep 2026 02:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 00:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:15 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:15 El Roble Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Stinson Beach United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Muir Beach United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Kentfield United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Mill Valley United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Larkspur United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Almonte United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Green Brae United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Marin City United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Strawberry United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Corte Madera United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Sunset District United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Sausalito United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Edgemar United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 San Quentin United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Broadmoor United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Paradise Cay United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Stonestown United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Richmond District United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Daly City United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Westborough United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Tiburon United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Belvedere United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Colma United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Baden United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Little Osaka United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Fort McDowell United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 San Francisco United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Bayshore United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 South San Francisco United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 North Beach United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Tanforan United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Brisbane United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Bayview District United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 North Richmond United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Richmond United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 San Pablo United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 08:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 08:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 08:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Summerland United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Serena Park United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Franciscan Village United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Carpinteria United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Rincon United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Shepards United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Punta United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Faria United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Dulah United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Molino Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 La Concepion Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Hope Ranch United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Mission United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Montecito United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Shelter Cove United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Moss Beach United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Montara United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Rockaway Beach United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Princeton United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 El Granada United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Pacifica United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 San Bruno United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Millbrae United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Burlingame United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Hillsborough United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 01:00 Monteon Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 01:00 La Lima Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:30 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 01:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 01:15 North Beach United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 01:15 Gardendale United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 01:15 Doyle United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 01:15 Orange Grove United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 01:15 Portland United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 01:15 Gregory United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 01:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 01:15 Ingleside United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Port San Luis United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Avila Beach United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Sycamore Springs United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Pismo Beach United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Oceano United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Grover City United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Callender United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 05:15 Quinones Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 07:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:15 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 02:30 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 02:30 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 02:30 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Cedros Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 01:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 07:15 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 01:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 01:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 01:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 01:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 01:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 01:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Coromar United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Isla Vista United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Goleta United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:15 Miramar United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:15 Accent Homes Mobile Home Park United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:15 Half Moon Bay United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:15 Martins Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 07:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 03:30 Del Monte Forest United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 03:30 Pebble Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 03:30 Carmel Highlands United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 03:30 Carmel-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 03:30 Pacific Grove United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 03:30 Carmel United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 03:30 Monterey United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 03:30 Del Rey Oaks United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 03:30 Workfield United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 03:30 Seaside United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 03:30 Ord United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 03:30 Marina United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 03:30 Moss Landing United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 03:30 Neponset United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 03:30 Nashua United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 03:30 Castroville United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 01:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 San Pedro United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Wilmington United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Signal Hill United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Surfside United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Seal Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:45 Peary Place United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 09:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 09:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Ventura United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Oxnard United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:15 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 02:45 La Majada Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 01:45 Colonia Simon Bolivar Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 01:45 Ejido Lavaderos Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 01:45 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 09:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 09:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 08:30 Arguello United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 08:30 Honda United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 08:30 Tangair United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 08:30 Surf United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 08:30 Narlon United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 08:30 Sudden United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 08:30 Jalama United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 01:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Woodville United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Bolinas United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Bayside United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Estes United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Rockport United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Fulton United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Naples United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:15 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:15 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:15 Clifton United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:15 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:15 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:15 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:15 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:45 Datilito Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:45 La Paz Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Capitan United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 08:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:30 San Blas Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 12:00 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 12:00 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 12:00 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Terra Linda United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Gallinas United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Santa Venetia United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Newport Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Bay Shores United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Balboa United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Corona del Mar United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 01:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 01:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:30 Erendria Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 03:45 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 08:45 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:45 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:45 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:45 Point Comfort United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:45 Indianola United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:45 Olivia United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:45 Weedhaven United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:45 Port Alto United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:45 Carancahua United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Malibu West United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Point Dume United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Malibu Vista United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 El Nido United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Malibu Bowl United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Malibu United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Monte Nido United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Las Flores United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Castellammare United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 06:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:30 Maudlowe United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:30 Tivoli United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:30 Spanish Village United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:30 Austwell United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:30 Green Lake United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:30 North Seadrift United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:30 Long Mott United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:30 Seadrift United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:00 Tunitas United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:00 San Gregorio United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 04:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 05:45 Tajiguas United States  0.1