Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MARIE-26
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIE-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (05 Sep 18:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 126 km/h 0.3 m 305 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 72 km/h 0.5 m 673 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 05 Sep 2026 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 31 Aug 2026 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Sep 2026 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Sep 2026 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Sep 2026 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 02 Sep 2026 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Sep 2026 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 03 Sep 2026 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 04 Sep 2026 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 04 Sep 2026 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 05 Sep 2026 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 05 Sep 2026 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

673 mm

Up to Few people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Sep 2026 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico06 
50-100 mmMexico1,629,074 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 31 Aug 2026 12:00 281 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 01 Sep 2026 00:00 283 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Sep 2026 12:00 221 10 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 4 02 Sep 2026 00:00 199 1 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 5 02 Sep 2026 12:00 186 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 6 03 Sep 2026 00:00 158 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 7 03 Sep 2026 12:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 04 Sep 2026 00:00 285 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 04 Sep 2026 12:00 539 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 05 Sep 2026 00:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 05 Sep 2026 12:00 352 Few people
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 05 Sep 2026 18:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Sep 2026 12:00 UTC
    
Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Sep 2026 18:45 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
05 Sep 2026 18:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
05 Sep 2026 13:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.3
05 Sep 2026 13:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.3
05 Sep 2026 21:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
05 Sep 2026 13:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
05 Sep 2026 13:15 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 21:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 21:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 19:00 La Choya Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 19:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Woodville United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Bolinas United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Stinson Beach United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Muir Beach United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Kentfield United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Mill Valley United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Larkspur United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Almonte United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Green Brae United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Marin City United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Strawberry United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Corte Madera United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Sunset District United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Sausalito United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Edgemar United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 San Quentin United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Broadmoor United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Paradise Cay United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Stonestown United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Richmond District United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Daly City United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Westborough United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Tiburon United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Belvedere United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Colma United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Baden United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Little Osaka United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Fort McDowell United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 San Francisco United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Bayshore United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 South San Francisco United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 North Beach United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Tanforan United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 13:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 18:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 22:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 00:00 Cedros Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 13:45 Erendria Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 12:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 22:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 22:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 22:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 22:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 23:30 Montecito United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 23:30 Summerland United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 23:30 Serena Park United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 23:30 Franciscan Village United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 23:30 Carpinteria United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 23:30 Rincon United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 23:30 Shepards United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 23:30 Punta United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 17:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 23:45 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 23:45 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 23:45 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 19:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 19:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 23:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 18:00 Brisbane United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 18:00 Bayview District United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 18:00 North Richmond United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 18:00 Richmond United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 18:00 San Pablo United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 17:15 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 12:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 00:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 22:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 22:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 19:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 17:15 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 18:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 18:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 19:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 19:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:45 San Blas Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 18:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 18:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 18:30 El Roble Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 13:00 La Florida Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 20:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 12:45 La Playa Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 15:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 15:45 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 14:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 23:00 Tangair United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 23:00 Narlon United States  0.2
05 Sep 2026 20:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 00:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 17:00 La Majada Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 20:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 17:15 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Molino Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 16:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 16:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 18:15 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 16:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:45 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 20:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:45 El Barril Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 20:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 18:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:30 Empalme Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 19:30 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Shelter Cove United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Moss Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Montara United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Rockaway Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Princeton United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 El Granada United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Pacifica United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Miramar United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Accent Homes Mobile Home Park United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 San Bruno United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Half Moon Bay United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Martins Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Millbrae United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Tunitas United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 San Gregorio United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Burlingame United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Hillsborough United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 17:45 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:00 Faria United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:00 Dulah United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:00 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:00 Ventura United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:00 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:00 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:00 Oxnard United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 21:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 21:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 21:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 21:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 18:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 12:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 00:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 18:15 Terra Linda United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 18:15 Gallinas United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 18:15 Santa Venetia United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 18:15 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 18:15 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 16:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 17:45 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 18:15 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 12:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:30 Mulege Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:45 Datilito Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 14:30 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 14:30 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:45 San Pedro United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:45 Wilmington United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:45 Signal Hill United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:45 Surfside United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:45 Seal Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:45 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 21:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 20:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:30 El Real Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:30 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:30 Apisa Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:30 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 14:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 14:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:15 North Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:15 Gardendale United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:15 Doyle United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:15 Orange Grove United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:15 Portland United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:15 Gregory United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:15 Ingleside United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:30 Lairds Landing United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:45 Azure Vista United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:45 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:45 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:45 Roseville United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:45 Loma Portal United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:45 San Diego United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:45 Coronado United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:45 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:45 Boal United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:30 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:30 Mission United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 00:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 20:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 00:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Ligui Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 19:15 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 19:15 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 19:15 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:45 Del Monte Forest United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:45 Pebble Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:45 Carmel Highlands United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:45 Carmel-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:45 Pacific Grove United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:45 Carmel United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:45 Monterey United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:45 Del Rey Oaks United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:45 Workfield United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:45 Seaside United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:45 Ord United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:45 Marina United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:45 Moss Landing United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:45 Neponset United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:45 Nashua United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:45 Castroville United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 00:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 14:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 00:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 00:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 00:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 00:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 00:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 00:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 19:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 17:45 Pescadero United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 17:45 San Mateo United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 17:45 Hillsdale United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 18:00 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 22:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 14:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 19:00 El Marques Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 15:15 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 19:15 Chola Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 14:15 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:45 Peary Place United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 23:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 13:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 20:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 20:30 Barron Mexico  0.1