Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MARIE-26
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIE-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (07 Sep 06:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 90 km/h 0.4 m 169 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 72 km/h 0.5 m 673 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

72 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 07 Sep 2026 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 31 Aug 2026 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Sep 2026 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Sep 2026 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Sep 2026 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 02 Sep 2026 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Sep 2026 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 03 Sep 2026 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 04 Sep 2026 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 04 Sep 2026 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 05 Sep 2026 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 05 Sep 2026 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 06 Sep 2026 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 06 Sep 2026 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 07 Sep 2026 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Sep 2026 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico717,791 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 31 Aug 2026 12:00 281 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 01 Sep 2026 00:00 283 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Sep 2026 12:00 221 10 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 4 02 Sep 2026 00:00 199 1 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 5 02 Sep 2026 12:00 186 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 6 03 Sep 2026 00:00 158 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 7 03 Sep 2026 12:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 04 Sep 2026 00:00 285 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 04 Sep 2026 12:00 539 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 05 Sep 2026 00:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 05 Sep 2026 12:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 06 Sep 2026 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 06 Sep 2026 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 07 Sep 2026 00:00 207 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 07 Sep 2026 06:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Sep 2026 00:00 UTC
    
Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Sep 2026 06:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
07 Sep 2026 00:00 La Choya Mexico  0.3
07 Sep 2026 00:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
07 Sep 2026 00:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:45 Cedros Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 02:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 02:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 00:15 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 04:45 El Sauzal Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 04:45 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 04:45 Ensenada Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 06:15 Erendria Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 04:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 04:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 04:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:15 El Roble Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 06:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 04:45 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 07:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 07:00 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 07:00 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 12:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 02:45 La Concepion Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Del Monte Forest United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Pebble Beach United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Carmel Highlands United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Carmel-by-the-Sea United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Pacific Grove United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Carmel United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Monterey United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Del Rey Oaks United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Workfield United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Seaside United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Ord United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Marina United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Moss Landing United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Neponset United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Nashua United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Castroville United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 01:30 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 03:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 03:15 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Signal Hill United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Belmont Shore United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Surfside United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Seal Beach United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Sunset Beach United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Huntington Beach United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Newport Beach United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Cliff Haven United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Bay Shores United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Balboa United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Corona del Mar United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 04:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 03:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 03:30 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 03:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 08:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 07:15 Gordola United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 07:15 Santa Cruz United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 07:15 Twin Lakes United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 07:15 Live Oak United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 07:15 Opal Cliffs United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 07:15 Capitola United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 07:15 Soquel United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 07:15 Aptos United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 07:15 Rio del Mar United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 07:15 Rob Roy Junction United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 07:15 La Selva Beach United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 07:15 Ellicott United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Arista Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2026 04:15 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:15 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 11:15 Novillero Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 11:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 11:00 Quinones Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:30 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:15 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:45 La Lima Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 La Majada Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:00 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:45 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:00 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 00:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 Encino Solo Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 00:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:00 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:00 Mission United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:00 Montecito United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:00 Summerland United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:00 Serena Park United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:00 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:00 Carpinteria United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:00 Rincon United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:45 Coronado United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:45 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:45 Boal United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:45 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Bolinas United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Stinson Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Muir Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Almonte United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Shelter Cove United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Marin City United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Strawberry United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Sunset District United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Rockaway Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Sausalito United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Edgemar United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Broadmoor United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Stonestown United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Pacifica United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Richmond District United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Daly City United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Westborough United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Tiburon United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Belvedere United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Colma United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Baden United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Little Osaka United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 San Bruno United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Fort McDowell United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 San Francisco United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Bayshore United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 South San Francisco United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 North Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Tanforan United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:00 Tangair United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:00 Narlon United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 02:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 02:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 11:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 11:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 01:00 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 01:00 El Real Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 01:00 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:00 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 09:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 00:00 Molino Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 00:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 08:15 Shepards United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 08:15 Punta United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 Datilito Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 La Paz Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 Rosario Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 07:30 Lairds Landing United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:00 La Playa Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 08:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Wilmington United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 02:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 01:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 01:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:30 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 00:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 00:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 Coromar United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 Isla Vista United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 Goleta United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:45 San Pedro United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 07:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:00 El Marques Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:15 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 08:00 Faria United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 08:00 Dulah United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 08:00 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 08:00 Ventura United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 08:00 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 08:00 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 08:00 Oxnard United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:15 Moss Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:15 Montara United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:15 Princeton United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:15 El Granada United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:30 Azure Vista United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:30 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:30 Roseville United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:30 Loma Portal United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:30 San Diego United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Cardiff-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 La Jolla United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 The Muirlands United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Solana Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Del Mar United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Mission Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Easter Cross United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Sorrento United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Santiago Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:45 El Descanso Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:45 La Mision Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 02:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 01:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 00:45 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 00:45 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Leucadia United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Encinitas United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Green Valley Mobile Estates United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 00:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Clifton United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:15 Copala Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:45 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:45 Chula Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:45 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Capistrano Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 San Clemente United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Agra United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Las Flores United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:15 Stuart United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 08:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:00 Woodville United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 07:15 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 07:15 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 Malibu West United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 Point Dume United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 Malibu Vista United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 El Nido United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 Malibu Bowl United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 Malibu United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 Monte Nido United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 Las Flores United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:45 Castellammare United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 05:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 04:15 Avalon United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 01:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 01:30 North Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 01:30 Gardendale United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 01:30 Doyle United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 01:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 01:30 Portland United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 01:30 Gregory United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 01:30 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 01:30 Ingleside United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:15 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 07:00 Accent Homes Mobile Home Park United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 07:00 Martins Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 07:00 Tunitas United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 07:00 San Gregorio United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 07:00 Pescadero United States  0.1
07 Sep 2026 06:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2026 00:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1