Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MARIE-26
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIE-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 119 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (03 Sep 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 119 km/h 0.5 m 158 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 72 km/h 0.5 m 673 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 03 Sep 2026 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 31 Aug 2026 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Sep 2026 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Sep 2026 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Sep 2026 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 02 Sep 2026 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Sep 2026 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

673 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Sep 2026 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico195,993
+
United States93,856 
Mexico102,136 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 31 Aug 2026 12:00 281 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 01 Sep 2026 00:00 283 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Sep 2026 12:00 221 10 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 4 02 Sep 2026 00:00 199 1 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 5 02 Sep 2026 12:00 186 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 6 03 Sep 2026 00:00 312 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 03 Sep 2026 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Sep 2026 00:00 UTC
    
Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Sep 2026 06:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.5
03 Sep 2026 03:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.4
03 Sep 2026 03:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.4
03 Sep 2026 00:30 La Choya Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2026 00:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2026 05:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2026 06:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2026 06:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2026 02:30 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2026 06:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2026 06:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2026 06:30 La Playa Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2026 00:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2026 09:15 Boqueron Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2026 09:15 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2026 06:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2026 06:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2026 02:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2026 02:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2026 02:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2026 09:00 Arista Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 09:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 09:30 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 08:45 La Concepion Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 08:45 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 04:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 04:45 Cedros Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Del Monte Forest United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Pebble Beach United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Carmel Highlands United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Carmel-by-the-Sea United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Pacific Grove United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Carmel United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Monterey United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Del Rey Oaks United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Workfield United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Seaside United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Ord United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Marina United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Moss Landing United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Neponset United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Nashua United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Castroville United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 09:00 El Roble Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 09:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Monteon Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 05:00 La Lima Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 08:45 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 08:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 08:45 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 01:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 00:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Dillon Beach United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Brazil Beach United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Hamlet United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Nicks Cove United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Lairds Landing United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 05:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 05:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 05:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 09:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 09:15 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:30 Tangair United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:30 Narlon United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 00:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 00:00 Molino Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 00:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 05:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 08:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 08:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 08:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 01:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 06:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 09:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 09:00 La Majada Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 00:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 00:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Constance Beach United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:15 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:00 Holly Beach United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:00 Cameron United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 00:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 03:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:45 Montecito United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:45 Summerland United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:45 Serena Park United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:45 Franciscan Village United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:45 Carpinteria United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:45 Rincon United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:45 Shepards United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 07:45 Punta United States  0.2
03 Sep 2026 01:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2026 02:15 Datilito Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 02:15 La Paz Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 02:15 Rosario Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 00:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 03:45 San Blas Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 08:00 Erendria Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 06:00 Oak Grove United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 06:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 08:45 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 08:45 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 08:00 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 10:45 Cedar Point United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 10:45 Beach City United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 10:45 Oak Island United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 10:45 Anahuac United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Woodville United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Bolinas United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Stinson Beach United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Muir Beach United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Kentfield United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Terra Linda United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Mill Valley United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Larkspur United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Almonte United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Green Brae United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Gallinas United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Marin City United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Strawberry United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Corte Madera United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Santa Venetia United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Sunset District United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Sausalito United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 San Quentin United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Paradise Cay United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Stonestown United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Richmond District United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 00:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 07:45 Sabine United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 07:45 Sabine Pass United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Faria United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Dulah United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Ventura United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Oxnard United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Edgemar United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Broadmoor United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Daly City United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Westborough United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Tiburon United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Belvedere United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Colma United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Baden United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Little Osaka United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Fort McDowell United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 San Francisco United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Bayshore United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 South San Francisco United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 North Beach United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Tanforan United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 03:30 La Florida Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 08:15 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 08:15 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:15 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 07:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:45 Maudlowe United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:45 Tivoli United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:45 Spanish Village United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:45 Austwell United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:45 Green Lake United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:45 North Seadrift United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:45 Long Mott United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:45 Seadrift United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 09:30 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 09:30 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 03:45 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 03:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 11:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 08:45 High Island United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 07:30 Brisbane United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 07:30 Bayview District United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 07:30 North Richmond United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 07:30 Richmond United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 07:30 San Pablo United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 03:45 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 06:45 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 06:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 06:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 00:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 07:30 Arguello United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 07:30 Honda United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 07:30 Surf United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 07:30 Sudden United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 07:30 Jalama United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:00 Chula Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:00 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 09:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 09:00 Patton United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 09:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 09:00 Caplen United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 09:00 Gilchrist United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 02:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 02:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 02:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 11:45 San Leon United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 11:45 Smith Point United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 11:45 Elmgrove United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Port San Luis United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Avila Beach United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Sycamore Springs United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Pismo Beach United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Oceano United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Grover City United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Callender United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 08:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 01:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 01:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Moss Beach United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Montara United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Princeton United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 El Granada United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Miramar United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Accent Homes Mobile Home Park United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Half Moon Bay United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Martins Beach United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Tunitas United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 San Gregorio United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Pescadero United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Hillsborough United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 San Mateo United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Hillsdale United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 06:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 06:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 01:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 07:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 01:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 06:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Shelter Cove United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Rockaway Beach United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Pacifica United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 San Bruno United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Millbrae United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:00 Burlingame United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 09:15 Flake United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:00 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:00 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:00 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 08:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 12:00 Red Bluff United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 12:00 Seabrook United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 12:00 Morgan Point United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 12:00 Baytown United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 12:00 Bacliff United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 12:00 Pelly United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 07:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 09:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 09:00 Fort Travis United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 00:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 00:15 North Beach United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 00:15 Gardendale United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 00:15 Doyle United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 00:15 Orange Grove United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 00:15 Portland United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 00:15 Gregory United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 00:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 00:15 Ingleside United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:00 Avalon United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Colonia Simon Bolivar Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 Ejido Lavaderos Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:15 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 07:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:45 San Pedro United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:45 Wilmington United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:45 Signal Hill United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:45 Surfside United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:45 Seal Beach United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:45 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 02:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Clifton United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:30 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:00 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:00 Mission United States  0.1
03 Sep 2026 07:30 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 04:00 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 06:45 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 06:45 Santiago Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 06:45 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 08:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:30 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:30 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 05:30 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 08:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 08:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2026 06:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1