Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MARIE-26
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIE-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 119 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (04 Sep 20:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 119 km/h 0.5 m 539 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 72 km/h 0.5 m 673 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 04 Sep 2026 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 31 Aug 2026 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Sep 2026 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Sep 2026 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Sep 2026 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 02 Sep 2026 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Sep 2026 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 03 Sep 2026 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 04 Sep 2026 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 04 Sep 2026 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

673 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Sep 2026 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico449,953
+
United States108 
Mexico449,845 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 31 Aug 2026 12:00 281 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 01 Sep 2026 00:00 283 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Sep 2026 12:00 221 10 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 4 02 Sep 2026 00:00 199 1 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 5 02 Sep 2026 12:00 186 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 6 03 Sep 2026 00:00 158 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 7 03 Sep 2026 12:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 04 Sep 2026 00:00 285 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 04 Sep 2026 12:00 783 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 04 Sep 2026 20:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Sep 2026 12:00 UTC
    
Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
04 Sep 2026 20:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.5
04 Sep 2026 20:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
04 Sep 2026 21:30 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Stinson Beach United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Muir Beach United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Kentfield United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Mill Valley United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Larkspur United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Almonte United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Green Brae United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Marin City United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Strawberry United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Corte Madera United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Sunset District United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Sausalito United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Edgemar United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 San Quentin United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Broadmoor United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Paradise Cay United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Stonestown United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Richmond District United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Daly City United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Westborough United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Tiburon United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Belvedere United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Colma United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Baden United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Little Osaka United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Fort McDowell United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 San Francisco United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Bayshore United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 South San Francisco United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 North Beach United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Tanforan United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Brisbane United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Bayview District United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 North Richmond United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Richmond United States  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:15 San Pablo United States  0.3
05 Sep 2026 00:00 La Choya Mexico  0.3
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
04 Sep 2026 22:30 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
04 Sep 2026 19:30 Cedros Mexico  0.3
04 Sep 2026 21:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 23:45 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 22:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 18:45 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 18:45 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 18:45 La Concepion Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 18:45 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 18:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 18:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 18:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 22:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 22:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 12:15 La Playa Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 22:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 22:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 23:45 Molino Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 23:45 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 18:45 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 18:45 El Roble Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Del Monte Forest United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Pebble Beach United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Carmel Highlands United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Carmel-by-the-Sea United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Pacific Grove United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Carmel United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Monterey United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Del Rey Oaks United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Workfield United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Seaside United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Ord United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Marina United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Moss Landing United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Neponset United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Nashua United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Castroville United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Woodville United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Bolinas United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Terra Linda United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Gallinas United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Santa Venetia United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 22:30 Arista Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:45 Shelter Cove United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:45 Moss Beach United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:45 Montara United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:45 Rockaway Beach United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:45 Princeton United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:45 El Granada United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:45 Pacifica United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:45 Miramar United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:45 San Bruno United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:45 Half Moon Bay United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 12:30 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 12:30 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 12:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 12:30 La Majada Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 14:45 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 18:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 18:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 18:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 23:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Millbrae United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Burlingame United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Hillsborough United States  0.2
04 Sep 2026 17:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:15 San Blas Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 13:15 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 18:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:00 Monteon Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:00 La Lima Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 19:30 La Florida Mexico  0.2
04 Sep 2026 20:15 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:15 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:15 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Montecito United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Summerland United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Serena Park United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Carpinteria United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Rincon United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Shepards United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Punta United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 23:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 23:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 23:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Mission United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 North Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Doyle United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Portland United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Gregory United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:15 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 23:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 17:45 San Pedro United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 17:45 Wilmington United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 17:45 Signal Hill United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 17:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 17:45 Surfside United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 17:45 Seal Beach United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 17:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 17:45 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 22:15 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 22:15 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 22:15 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:30 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 15:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 15:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 15:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 14:45 Florida Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 14:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 14:45 Barron Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 23:30 Bayside United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 23:30 Estes United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 23:30 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 23:30 Port Aransas United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 23:30 Rockport United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 23:30 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 23:30 Copano Village United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 23:30 Fulton United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 14:15 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Dillon Beach United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Brazil Beach United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Hamlet United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Nicks Cove United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Lairds Landing United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 17:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 17:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:45 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:45 Chula Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:15 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:15 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:15 Clifton United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:15 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:15 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:15 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:15 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:15 Accent Homes Mobile Home Park United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:15 Martins Beach United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:15 Tunitas United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:15 San Gregorio United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:15 Pescadero United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 17:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 14:15 Copala Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Faria United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:15 Dulah United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Las Flores United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Castellammare United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Pacific Palisades United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Santa Monica United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Sawtelle United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Marina del Rey United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Playa del Rey United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Alsace United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:00 El Segundo United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Manhattan Beach United States  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Colonia Simon Bolivar Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 Ejido Lavaderos Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2026 00:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:30 Encino Solo Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:00 San Mateo United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 21:00 Hillsdale United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:30 Arguello United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:30 Honda United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:30 Tangair United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:30 Surf United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:30 Narlon United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:30 Sudden United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:30 Jalama United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:30 Azure Vista United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:30 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:30 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:30 Roseville United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:30 Loma Portal United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:30 San Diego United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:30 Coronado United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:30 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:30 Boal United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 14:00 Santiago Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 14:00 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 14:00 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:15 Datilito Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:15 La Paz Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 18:15 Rosario Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:30 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:30 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 14:00 Calvario Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:30 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:15 Port San Luis United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:15 Avila Beach United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:15 Sycamore Springs United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:15 Pismo Beach United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:15 Oceano United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:15 Grover City United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:15 Callender United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:15 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Ventura United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 19:15 Oxnard United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:15 Newport Beach United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:15 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:15 Bay Shores United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:15 Balboa United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:15 Corona del Mar United States  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:00 Corrales Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 20:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 22:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 22:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 14:00 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 14:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 14:00 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 15:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
04 Sep 2026 13:45 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1