Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MORA-17
in Bangladesh, India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MORA-17 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 55 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (30 May 19:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 55 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 56 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

126 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 30 May 2017 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 May 2017 18:00 120 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 May 2017 00:00 116 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 May 2017 06:00 103 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 May 2017 12:00 117 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 May 2017 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 6 29 May 2017 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 29 May 2017 06:00 109 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 29 May 2017 12:00 98 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 May 2017 18:00 100 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 30 May 2017 00:00 100 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 30 May 2017 06:00 64 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 30 May 2017 12:00 56 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 May 2017 18:00 55 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 30 May 2017 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 May 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 28 May 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 28 May 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 28 May 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 May 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 29 May 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 29 May 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 29 May 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 May 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 30 May 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 30 May 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 30 May 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 May 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Ghoshbagh, Bangladesh. This height is estimated for 30 May 2017 19:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 May 2017 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 May 2017 19:30 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 19:30 Lamchhi Prasad Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 19:30 Bamnia Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 19:30 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 19:30 Tulatali Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 19:30 Char Fakura Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 19:30 Char Chandia Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 19:30 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 19:30 Banskhali Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 19:30 Bariakhali Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 20:00 Sandwip Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 20:00 Maitbhanga Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 20:00 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 20:00 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 20:00 Barabkunda Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 20:00 Bansbaria Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 19:45 Kumira Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 19:00 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 19:00 Nayamasti Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 19:15 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.5
30 May 2017 19:15 Hatia Bangladesh  0.5
30 May 2017 19:15 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  0.5
30 May 2017 19:15 Nalchira Bangladesh  0.5
30 May 2017 18:30 Sitalpur Bangladesh  0.5
30 May 2017 18:30 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.5
30 May 2017 18:30 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.5
30 May 2017 18:30 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.5
30 May 2017 18:30 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.5
30 May 2017 18:30 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.5
02 Jun 2017 18:00 Dublat India  0.4
30 May 2017 18:00 Gahira Bangladesh  0.4
30 May 2017 18:00 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.4
30 May 2017 18:00 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  0.4
30 May 2017 18:00 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.4
30 May 2017 18:00 Napura Bangladesh  0.4
30 May 2017 18:00 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.3
30 May 2017 18:00 Magnama Bangladesh  0.3
30 May 2017 18:00 Bethua Bangladesh  0.3
30 May 2017 18:00 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  0.3
30 May 2017 18:00 Jahajmara Bangladesh  0.3
30 May 2017 18:00 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.3
30 May 2017 18:00 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.3
31 May 2017 01:00 Damathat Myanmar  0.3
31 May 2017 01:00 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.3
31 May 2017 01:00 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.3
31 May 2017 01:00 Zokali Myanmar  0.3
31 May 2017 01:00 Taungxun Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 18:00 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.3
30 May 2017 18:00 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.3
30 May 2017 18:00 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.3
31 May 2017 01:15 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.3
31 May 2017 01:30 Budin Myanmar  0.3
31 May 2017 01:30 Kadaik Myanmar  0.3
31 May 2017 01:30 Mahameik Myanmar  0.3
31 May 2017 01:30 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.3
31 May 2017 01:30 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.3
31 May 2017 01:00 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.2
31 May 2017 01:00 Darein Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.2
31 May 2017 00:45 Khindan Myanmar  0.2
31 May 2017 00:30 Paung Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Silkhali Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.2
31 May 2017 02:00 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.2
31 May 2017 00:30 Munaing Myanmar  0.2
31 May 2017 00:30 Tagukana Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 13:00 Bijavbati India  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Saflapur Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Dineshpur Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 23:45 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 19:00 Pyapon Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 19:00 Apaung Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 19:00 Akechaungwa Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 19:00 Ase Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 19:15 Tawgyaik Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 19:15 Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 10:30 Rasalpur India  0.2
30 May 2017 23:00 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 11:00 Chandipur India  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Inani Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 19:30 Kadonkani Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 19:30 Yegyawgyi Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 19:30 Ama Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 19:30 Tawbaing Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 23:00 Kayindaung Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 18:00 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.2
30 May 2017 18:30 Dawnvein Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 19:00 Tumbru Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 19:00 Whaikhyang Bangladesh  0.1
30 May 2017 23:15 Wagaru Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 23:15 Wegalaung Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 23:15 Karokpi Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Anauk Myinhlut Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Kyaukpandu Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Hparabyin Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Thawinchaung Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Atet Kyaungdaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 11:00 Kyatchaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 11:00 Yedwindaung Ywa Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 11:00 Sidongyaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 11:00 Wadawchaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 11:00 Kanmaw Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 11:00 Bemagyauk Ywa Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 20:00 Sandawshin Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 20:00 Myaukpyin Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 20:00 Kyaukmaung Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 20:00 Ponnagyi Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 20:00 Gwedaukchaung Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 20:00 Chaunggya Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 19:45 Peikseik Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Alandaing Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Hseikma Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 19:45 Tandin Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 19:45 Khamaungdwe Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 23:00 Anin Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 02:45 Medaw Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 02:45 Tawbya Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 02:45 Thedangyi Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 02:45 Leiktaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 02:45 Awebindat Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 14:00 Yengangyi Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:00 Donbaik Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Ywathitke Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Sittwe Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Kangyaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 10:30 Ban Bang Pu Kao Thailand  0.1
02 Jun 2017 10:30 Ban Tambon Khlon Dan Thailand  0.1
02 Jun 2017 10:30 Ban Pak Khlong Thailand  0.1
02 Jun 2017 10:30 Ban Hua Khao Thailand  0.1
02 Jun 2017 10:30 Anghila Thailand  0.1
02 Jun 2017 10:30 Ban Rong Khoei Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 18:00 Aindin Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:00 Pyaingdaung Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:00 Kyaukpyinseik Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 02:45 Thechaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 02:45 Mawgaungdon Ywa Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 08:15 Kyaukiwe Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 08:15 Kokkabyin Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 08:15 Thabyichaung Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 08:15 Nga Thamok Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 08:15 Kyaungbyin-ok Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 08:15 Magyi-ywa Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Koyanbyin Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Byichaung Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Kyunthaya Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Phapholting Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Auktarngdshe Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Wabawgyi Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 07:30 Amaw Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 07:30 Hpanchaung Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 07:30 Gyibyin Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 07:30 Temauk Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 07:30 Shwehle Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 11:30 Satabhaya India  0.1
02 Jun 2017 10:15 Ban Si Racha Thailand  0.1
02 Jun 2017 10:15 Si Racha Thailand  0.1
02 Jun 2017 10:15 Chon Buri Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 18:45 Andin Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 18:45 Thinbawzeik Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 16:45 Ban Map Lat Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 16:45 Samut Songkhram Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 16:45 Ban Bang Bo Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 16:45 Ban Rong Kung Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 16:45 Ban Bang Khut Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 16:45 Samut Sakhon Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 19:45 Chauklangwe Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 19:45 Seiktaya Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 19:45 Chindaung Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 19:45 Dokekan Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 19:45 Mawhun Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 07:45 Taung-ywa Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 07:45 Taikkyua Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 19:00 Tharawuntaungnge Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 10:15 Sakanthit Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 08:30 Kabingyaung Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 08:30 Mayanchaung Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 08:30 Mergui Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 08:30 Kanbyin Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 23:15 Puri India  0.1
30 May 2017 23:15 Balighai India  0.1
02 Jun 2017 10:15 Ban Hlem Chabang Thailand  0.1
02 Jun 2017 10:15 Ban Ao Udom Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 18:15 Kyaukpyu Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 01:15 Konarak India  0.1

Calculation folder at this link