Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MORA-17
in Bangladesh, India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MORA-17 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Bangladesh, Burma
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 100 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (30 May 02:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 100 km/h 1.2 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 56 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

126 km/h

Up to 4 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 May 2017 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormBangladesh, Burma3990638
+
Bangladesh2928025 
Burma1062613 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 May 2017 18:00 120 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 May 2017 00:00 116 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 May 2017 06:00 103 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 May 2017 12:00 117 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 May 2017 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 6 29 May 2017 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 29 May 2017 06:00 109 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 29 May 2017 12:00 98 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 May 2017 18:00 100 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, Burma




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 29 May 2017 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 May 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 28 May 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 28 May 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 28 May 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 May 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 29 May 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 29 May 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 29 May 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 May 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.2m in Jaliapara, Bangladesh. This height is estimated for 30 May 2017 02:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 May 2017 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 May 2017 02:15 Jaliapara Bangladesh  1.2
30 May 2017 02:15 Zawmadat Myanmar  1.2
30 May 2017 02:15 Anauk Myinhlut Myanmar  1.2
30 May 2017 02:15 Kyaukpandu Myanmar  1.2
30 May 2017 02:15 Hparabyin Myanmar  1.2
30 May 2017 02:15 Thawinchaung Myanmar  1.2
30 May 2017 02:15 Atet Kyaungdaung Myanmar  1.2
30 May 2017 04:15 Silkhali Bangladesh  1.1
30 May 2017 04:15 Bardeil Bangladesh  1.1
30 May 2017 04:15 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  1.1
30 May 2017 04:15 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  1.1
30 May 2017 04:15 Teknaf Bangladesh  1.1
30 May 2017 04:15 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  1.1
30 May 2017 04:15 Sabaigon Myanmar  1.1
30 May 2017 04:15 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  1.1
30 May 2017 04:15 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  1.1
30 May 2017 04:15 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  1.1
29 May 2017 21:15 Sandawshin Myanmar  1.0
29 May 2017 21:15 Myaukpyin Myanmar  1.0
29 May 2017 21:15 Kyaukmaung Myanmar  1.0
29 May 2017 21:15 Ponnagyi Myanmar  1.0
29 May 2017 21:15 Gwedaukchaung Myanmar  1.0
29 May 2017 21:45 Chaunggya Myanmar  1.0
29 May 2017 21:45 Peikseik Myanmar  1.0
29 May 2017 21:45 Khamaungdwe Myanmar  0.9
29 May 2017 21:45 Tandin Myanmar  0.9
29 May 2017 23:00 Ywathitke Myanmar  0.8
29 May 2017 23:00 Sittwe Myanmar  0.8
29 May 2017 23:00 Kangyaung Myanmar  0.8
29 May 2017 23:00 Aindin Myanmar  0.8
29 May 2017 23:00 Pyaingdaung Myanmar  0.8
29 May 2017 23:00 Kyaukpyinseik Myanmar  0.8
30 May 2017 06:15 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.7
30 May 2017 06:15 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.7
30 May 2017 06:15 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.7
30 May 2017 06:15 Magnama Bangladesh  0.7
30 May 2017 06:15 Napura Bangladesh  0.7
30 May 2017 06:15 Bethua Bangladesh  0.7
30 May 2017 01:30 Donbaik Myanmar  0.7
31 May 2017 08:45 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  0.7
31 May 2017 08:45 Lamchhi Prasad Bangladesh  0.7
31 May 2017 08:45 Bamnia Bangladesh  0.7
31 May 2017 08:45 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  0.7
31 May 2017 08:45 Tulatali Bangladesh  0.7
31 May 2017 08:45 Char Fakura Bangladesh  0.7
31 May 2017 08:45 Char Chandia Bangladesh  0.7
31 May 2017 08:45 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  0.7
31 May 2017 08:45 Banskhali Bangladesh  0.7
31 May 2017 08:45 Bariakhali Bangladesh  0.7
31 May 2017 08:00 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  0.7
31 May 2017 08:00 Sandwip Bangladesh  0.7
31 May 2017 08:45 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 08:45 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 08:45 Barabkunda Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 08:45 Bansbaria Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 08:00 Maitbhanga Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 08:45 Kumira Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 04:30 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 04:30 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 04:30 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 04:30 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 04:30 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 04:30 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 04:30 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 06:30 Gahira Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 06:30 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 03:15 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 03:15 Whaikhyang Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 07:30 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 07:30 Hatia Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 07:30 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 07:30 Nalchira Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 04:00 Inani Bangladesh  0.6
31 May 2017 08:00 Nayamasti Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 04:45 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 04:45 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 04:45 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 04:45 Saflapur Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 04:45 Dineshpur Bangladesh  0.6
30 May 2017 03:30 Tumbru Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 21:45 Koyanbyin Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 21:45 Byichaung Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 21:45 Kyunthaya Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 21:45 Phapholting Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 21:45 Auktarngdshe Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 21:45 Wabawgyi Myanmar  0.6
30 May 2017 05:30 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.6
29 May 2017 22:30 Chauklangwe Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 22:30 Seiktaya Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 22:30 Chindaung Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 22:30 Dokekan Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 22:30 Mawhun Myanmar  0.6
29 May 2017 23:00 Dodan Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 23:00 Pyindaung Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 18:00 Kyaukiwe Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 18:00 Kokkabyin Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 18:00 Thabyichaung Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 18:00 Nga Thamok Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 18:00 Kyaungbyin-ok Myanmar  0.5
29 May 2017 18:00 Magyi-ywa Myanmar  0.5
30 May 2017 10:15 Sitalpur Bangladesh  0.5
30 May 2017 10:15 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.5
30 May 2017 10:15 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.5
30 May 2017 10:15 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.5
30 May 2017 10:15 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.5
30 May 2017 10:15 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.5
29 May 2017 22:30 Kyaukpyu Myanmar  0.4
31 May 2017 06:30 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  0.4
31 May 2017 06:30 Jahajmara Bangladesh  0.4
31 May 2017 06:30 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.4
29 May 2017 18:00 Taung-ywa Myanmar  0.4
29 May 2017 18:00 Taikkyua Myanmar  0.4
29 May 2017 20:45 Amaw Myanmar  0.4
29 May 2017 20:45 Hpanchaung Myanmar  0.4
29 May 2017 20:45 Gyibyin Myanmar  0.4
29 May 2017 20:45 Temauk Myanmar  0.4
29 May 2017 20:45 Shwehle Myanmar  0.4
30 May 2017 07:30 Damathat Myanmar  0.4
30 May 2017 07:30 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.4
30 May 2017 07:30 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.4
30 May 2017 07:30 Zokali Myanmar  0.4
30 May 2017 07:30 Taungxun Myanmar  0.4
29 May 2017 22:45 Chaung-wa Myanmar  0.3
29 May 2017 22:45 Kalaba Myanmar  0.3
01 Jun 2017 14:30 Dublat India  0.3
30 May 2017 07:30 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 07:45 Budin Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 07:45 Kadaik Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 07:30 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 08:00 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 07:15 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 06:00 Mahameik Myanmar  0.3
29 May 2017 19:30 Leiktaung Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 07:15 Darein Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 07:15 Khindan Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 06:15 Paung Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 05:45 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 07:15 Munaing Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 07:15 Tagukana Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 07:00 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 07:45 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 05:30 Awadaung Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 05:30 Kabaingchaung Myanmar  0.3
30 May 2017 09:15 Kayindaung Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 20:30 Thitpon Myanmar  0.2
01 Jun 2017 14:15 Bijavbati India  0.2
30 May 2017 09:00 Wagaru Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 09:00 Wegalaung Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 09:00 Karokpi Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 06:00 Pyapon Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 06:00 Apaung Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 06:00 Akechaungwa Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 06:00 Ase Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 06:00 Tawgyaik Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 06:15 Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 20:45 Gyeiktaw Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 08:30 Rasalpur India  0.2
30 May 2017 09:00 Anin Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 20:15 Kadonkani Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 20:15 Yegyawgyi Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 20:15 Ama Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 20:15 Tawbaing Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 07:15 Andin Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 07:15 Thinbawzeik Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 19:00 Sachet Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 18:00 Dawnvein Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 19:30 Mawyen Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 08:45 Chandipur India  0.2
30 May 2017 08:00 Duya Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 18:15 Alandaing Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 18:15 Hseikma Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 18:45 Meinmagwe Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 20:15 Owa Myanmar  0.2
30 May 2017 07:45 Khawsa Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 19:45 Kyeintali Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 19:30 Pyinkayaing Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 19:30 Wagon Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 19:30 Ledaung Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 19:30 Chaunggwa Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 19:30 Magyigyaing Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 19:30 Payahla Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 19:30 Thetkethaung Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 19:30 Saluzeik Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 19:30 Thingangyi Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 19:30 Okkan Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 18:15 Seikkyi Myanmar  0.2
29 May 2017 18:15 Thingangon Myanmar  0.2
01 Jun 2017 10:45 Kyatchaung Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:45 Yedwindaung Ywa Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:45 Sidongyaung Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:45 Wadawchaung Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:45 Kanmaw Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:45 Bemagyauk Ywa Myanmar  0.1
29 May 2017 19:00 Chaungtaungbe Myanmar  0.1
29 May 2017 19:00 Zibyugyaung Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 00:00 Kakinada India  0.1
31 May 2017 15:30 Ban Map Lat Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 15:30 Samut Songkhram Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 15:30 Ban Bang Bo Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 15:30 Ban Rong Kung Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 15:30 Ban Bang Khut Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 15:30 Samut Sakhon Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 06:45 Puri India  0.1
30 May 2017 06:45 Balighai India  0.1
30 May 2017 08:15 Dani-thagya Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 05:00 Konarak India  0.1
01 Jun 2017 13:30 Medaw Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 13:30 Tawbya Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 13:30 Thedangyi Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 13:30 Leiktaung Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 13:30 Awebindat Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 03:45 Dakshin Char Fasson Bangladesh  0.1
30 May 2017 03:45 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  0.1
30 May 2017 03:45 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  0.1
30 May 2017 03:45 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.1
30 May 2017 03:45 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.1
30 May 2017 03:45 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  0.1
30 May 2017 03:45 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  0.1
30 May 2017 03:45 Char Manpura Bangladesh  0.1
30 May 2017 07:30 Bogyiywa Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 07:30 Kalawni Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 12:00 Satabhaya India  0.1
01 Jun 2017 13:30 Yengangyi Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 13:45 Thechaung Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 13:45 Mawgaungdon Ywa Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 12:00 Hukitala India  0.1
01 Jun 2017 17:00 Ban Bang Pu Kao Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 17:00 Ban Tambon Khlon Dan Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 17:00 Ban Pak Khlong Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 17:00 Ban Hua Khao Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 17:00 Anghila Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 17:00 Ban Rong Khoei Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 04:15 Malud India  0.1
30 May 2017 08:45 Kyauktwin Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 08:45 Thayetchaung Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 08:45 Pyinbyugyi Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 08:45 Bok Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 17:00 Ban Si Racha Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 17:00 Si Racha Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 17:00 Chon Buri Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 07:30 Kaungma Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 07:30 Onbingwin Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 05:00 Nuliasahi India  0.1
30 May 2017 04:00 Nuagan India  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:15 Sakanthit Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 04:15 Panasapada India  0.1
01 Jun 2017 16:45 Ban Hlem Chabang Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 16:45 Ban Ao Udom Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 07:30 Htawa Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 07:30 Zadi Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 07:30 Nabule Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 08:00 Aukthayetchaung Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 12:30 Vishakhapatnam India  0.1
30 May 2017 07:45 Pandin-in Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 07:45 Pyingyi Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 07:45 Maungmagan Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 01:15 Chittivalasa India  0.1
30 May 2017 01:15 Bhimunipatnam India  0.1
30 May 2017 01:15 Konada India  0.1
01 Jun 2017 16:45 Ban Bang Kalo Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 16:45 Bang Lamung Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 16:45 Ban Bo Ta Sing Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 14:00 Chatrapur India  0.1
30 May 2017 14:00 Canjam India  0.1
30 May 2017 14:00 Paluru India  0.1
29 May 2017 19:15 Satthwa Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 12:00 Koyyam India  0.1
30 May 2017 12:00 Dharmavaram India  0.1
30 May 2017 12:00 Srikurman India  0.1
31 May 2017 15:45 Laem Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 15:45 Ban Bang Khun Sai Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 15:45 Ban Pak Tale Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 15:45 Ban Bang Kaeo Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 16:30 Ban Kok San Thailand  0.1
30 May 2017 04:45 Nuralrevu India  0.1
30 May 2017 04:45 Gopalpur India  0.1
01 Jun 2017 13:15 Tanzon Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 13:15 Kabyachaung Myanmar  0.1
30 May 2017 11:15 Kalingapatnam India  0.1
30 May 2017 11:15 Naupada India  0.1
30 May 2017 11:15 Baruva India  0.1
30 May 2017 11:00 Pudimadaka India  0.1
30 May 2017 11:00 Chipurupalle India  0.1
30 May 2017 11:00 Ammalapadu India  0.1
01 Jun 2017 13:15 Taung-pi Ywa Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 13:15 Kalonga Ywa Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 16:30 Ban Na Chom Thian Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 16:30 Ban Amphoe Thailand  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:00 Shangan Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:00 Taungkamet Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:00 Hangapru Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 10:00 Karathuri Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 08:45 Kabingyaung Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 08:45 Mayanchaung Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 08:45 Mergui Myanmar  0.1
01 Jun 2017 08:45 Kanbyin Myanmar  0.1

Calculation folder at this link