Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Yemen,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 91 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (14 Oct 01:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 91 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
ECMWF Overall 110 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

122 km/h

Up to 150 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormYemen152551
+
Yemen152412 
Other countries139 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 Oct 2018 12:00 87 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 00:00 88 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 09 Oct 2018 00:00 102 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 12:00 103 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 Oct 2018 00:00 99 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 Oct 2018 12:00 107 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 11 Oct 2018 00:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 11 Oct 2018 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 12 Oct 2018 00:00 91 -
- - - - - Yemen, Other countries




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 11 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 12 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Qishn, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 01:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2018 01:15 Qishn Yemen  0.4
14 Oct 2018 18:30 Kambhat India  0.3
14 Oct 2018 18:30 Kavi India  0.3
14 Oct 2018 18:30 Sarod India  0.3
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Itab Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 18:30 Wadgam India  0.3
14 Oct 2018 22:00 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 22:00 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 22:00 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 22:00 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Sharkhat Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Tamnum Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Musaina'a Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 11:15 Bargaal Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:15 Saqr Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Hasana Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Sarar Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Raida Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Beylu Eritrea  0.2
14 Oct 2018 10:30 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 02:15 Qaysad Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:15 Haswayn Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 05:30 Qusayir Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 17:00 Asarsa India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 17:00 Harinagar India  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Geeri Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:30 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 17:00 Dahej India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 17:00 Tankari India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 17:00 Muler India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Dhafghan Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Lughaye Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Carmaale Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Harag Jid Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 02:00 Shaqra Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Khird Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Hami Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:15 Hundegal Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Marero Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Bacaad Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Aantaara Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Ash Shihr Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 16:45 Ghogha India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 02:30 Lakba Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 02:30 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 02:30 Lakabi Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Takhushih Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Saylac Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Ankhor Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Kraytar Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 13:45 'Imran Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Qa'wa Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 11:00 Markaz ash Shurtah Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Ghadir Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 02:00 Maallah Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 13:00 As Sufal Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Mayyun Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Murad Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 01:45 Mutra Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 01:45 Siqirah Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Zulumah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Burum Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Fuwwah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Al Mukalla Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Al Juwaibiyat Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:00 Al-Raiyan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:00 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:00 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Jilah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 'Adan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Berbera Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 11:00 Nahud Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:45 Bereeda Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:45 Tooxin Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Obock Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Seyara Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Qadub Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Hadiboh Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:30 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 11:00 Al Birk Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Alela Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Anteral Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Maydh Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Mach Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Boho Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Al Hawrah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Al Haibala Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Al 'Aws Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:00 Tabut Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:00 Hayrut Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:15 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Nishtun Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Hais Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Quddam Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:45 Midi Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:45 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:00 Botiala Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:00 Balhaf Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Al Mabrak Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Hisn Bal'id Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Bir Ali Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 01:00 Hasik Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Boosaaso Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Caluula Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Bi'r Qa'ati Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Buro Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Muqaibirah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Ceelaayo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Bender Siyaada Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Yakhtul Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:15 Sair Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:15 Khatib Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:15 Haima Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:15 Fugwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:15 Bu Tawq Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:15 Sajid Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:00 Qandala Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 01:30 Ghubbah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Jarub Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Al Faydami Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:30 Mughsayl Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:30 Araft Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:30 Hajambar Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:30 'Arid Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 01:00 Fararah Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Dhurbo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Bandar Murcaayo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Geesaley Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Abo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:30 Al Madaya Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:30 Maushij Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:30 Jirdan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:00 Qawz al Ja'afirah Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:00 Mansiyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Sala Gon Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Xaafuun Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:45 Al Qahmah Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:45 Musaykah Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Al Butays Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 01:30 Salalah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 01:30 Al Kathir Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 01:30 Sudh Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 00:45 Miji Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Bhagva India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Damka India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Olpad India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:30 Humr Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:30 Farasan Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:45 Jizan Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 09:00 Palghar India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 09:00 Mahim India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 09:00 Nalasopara India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 09:00 Agashi India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 09:00 Vasai India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 09:00 Navghar India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Al Karbus Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Al Fazah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Cadayo Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 00:45 Sadh Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:15 Ascira Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Al Fatk Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 01:30 Taqah Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:30 Al Madasikah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:30 Buyut al Muhamirah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Beraisole Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Behld Eritrea  0.1

Calculation folder at this link