Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Yemen,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 105 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 Oct 02:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 105 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
ECMWF Overall 110 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

122 km/h

Up to 50 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormYemen45733
+
Yemen45685 
Other countries48 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 Oct 2018 12:00 87 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 00:00 88 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 09 Oct 2018 00:00 102 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 12:00 103 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 Oct 2018 00:00 99 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 Oct 2018 12:00 107 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 11 Oct 2018 00:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 11 Oct 2018 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 12 Oct 2018 00:00 91 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 12 Oct 2018 12:00 105 -
- - - - - Yemen, Other countries




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 11 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 12 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 12 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Qishn, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 02:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Qishn Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 01:15 Saqr Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 00:15 Haswayn Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Itab Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Nishtun Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 18:15 Kambhat India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 18:15 Kavi India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 18:15 Sarod India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 18:15 Wadgam India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:15 Tabut Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:15 Hayrut Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 22:15 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 22:15 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 22:15 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 22:15 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 04:30 Sharkhat Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 10:30 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Musaina'a Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Tamnum Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:45 Bargaal Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 17:45 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 17:45 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Beylu Eritrea  0.2
14 Oct 2018 16:45 Asarsa India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 16:45 Harinagar India  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Sarar Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Raida Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Hasana Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Geeri Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 16:45 Dahej India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 16:45 Tankari India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 16:45 Muler India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Biyafoge Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:30 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:30 Saylac Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:45 Ghogha India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:00 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 'Imran Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:15 Hundegal Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:30 Qaysad Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Qusayir Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Marero Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Bacaad Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Aantaara Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:30 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Dhafghan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:45 Markaz ash Shurtah Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:15 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:30 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:30 Maallah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 'Adan Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Hami Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Jarub Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Faydami Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:30 Nahud Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Murad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:00 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:00 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Jilah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Alela Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Mach Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:00 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 20:15 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 20:15 Lakabi Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Ash Shihr Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Khird Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Qadub Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Hadiboh Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Maydh Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Hais Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Anteral Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Berbera Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:45 Al Birk Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:00 Lakba Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:30 Obock Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Al Hawrah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Al Haibala Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:45 Ceelaayo Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:45 Bender Siyaada Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Seyara Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Balhaf Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Al Mabrak Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:00 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:30 Midi Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Hisn Bal'id Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Mughsayl Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Araft Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:30 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Al 'Aws Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:15 Salalah Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:15 Al Kathir Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:15 Sudh Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:30 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Bi'r Qa'ati Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Zulumah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Burum Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Fuwwah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Al Mukalla Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:15 Buro Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:15 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:15 Caluula Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:15 Boho Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:15 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 10:15 Al Madaya Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Boosaaso Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Quddam Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Sala Gon Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Xaafuun Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Botiala Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Muqaibirah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Al-Raiyan Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Al Fatk Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Bir Ali Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:00 Al Juwaibiyat Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:00 As Sufal Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:00 Sair Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:00 Khatib Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:00 Haima Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:00 Fugwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:00 Bu Tawq Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:00 Sajid Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Yakhtul Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:30 Maushij Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:30 Jirdan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:15 Qandala Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Dhurbo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Bandar Murcaayo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Geesaley Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Abo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Bhagva India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:15 Dhalqut Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:15 Al Kharifut Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:15 Safqut Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 11:00 Al Qahmah Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 11:00 Musaykah Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Damqawt Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Al Butays Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Cadayo Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 10:15 Jizan Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 10:15 Al Karbus Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Hajambar Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 'Arid Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:15 Kharfat Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Humr Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Farasan Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Al Fazah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:30 Qawz al Ja'afirah Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:30 Mansiyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Damka India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Olpad India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:30 Taqah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link