Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Yemen,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (15 Oct 18:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 97 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 118 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

118 km/h

Up to 40 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormYemen36994
+
Yemen36931 
Other countries63 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 188 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 172 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 186 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 165 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 142 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 147 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 135 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 127 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 13 Oct 2018 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Yemen, Other countries




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 21 13 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 15 Oct 2018 18:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Oct 2018 18:30 Kambhat India  0.2
15 Oct 2018 18:30 Kavi India  0.2
15 Oct 2018 18:30 Sarod India  0.2
15 Oct 2018 18:30 Wadgam India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Tabut Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Hayrut Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Nishtun Yemen  0.2
15 Oct 2018 22:00 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 22:00 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 22:00 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 22:00 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 11:00 Qishn Yemen  0.2
15 Oct 2018 21:45 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 02:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 16:45 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Takhushih Somalia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Saylac Somalia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 16:45 Asarsa India  0.2
15 Oct 2018 16:45 Harinagar India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:30 Hundegal Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:15 Bargaal Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 21:45 Markaz ash Shurtah Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
15 Oct 2018 16:45 Dahej India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 16:45 Tankari India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 16:45 Muler India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Obock Djibouti  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Geeri Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 16:45 Ghogha India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Itab Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Saqr Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Qadub Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Hadiboh Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Murad Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Berbera Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Haswayn Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:30 Anteral Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 21:45 Nahud Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 21:45 Al Birk Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:45 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 'Imran Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:30 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:00 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:00 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:00 Jilah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Maallah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 'Adan Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:15 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:45 Marero Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:45 Bacaad Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:45 Aantaara Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:30 Sharkhat Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 14:30 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Seyara Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:00 Balhaf Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Hais Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Maydh Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:00 Buro Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:15 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:45 Lakabi Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:45 Qaysad Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Qandala Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Botiala Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Alela Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Tamnum Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:15 Cadayo Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:30 Lakba Oman  0.1
15 Oct 2018 03:00 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:45 Boho Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:45 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:15 Mach Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Musaina'a Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Jarub Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Al Faydami Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Hasana Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Al 'Aws Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Bi'r Qa'ati Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Al Mabrak Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Sarar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Raida Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:15 Ascira Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 03:15 Quddam Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Muqaibirah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Hisn Bal'id Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:45 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 As Sufal Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Qusayir Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 22:15 Al Qahmah Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 22:15 Musaykah Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:45 Midi Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:45 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.1

Calculation folder at this link